338Canada.com - Bloc Québécois





Last update: November 29, 2020

LeaderYves-François Blanchet
National popular vote in 20197.6% (QC: 32.5%)
Current vote projection6.8% ± 0.9% (QC: 29.2% ± 4.0%)
Current number of MP's32
Current seat projection27 ± 10



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Bloc Québécois



Rank Electoral districts Province Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe >99%
2. Montcalm BQ safe >99%
3. Joliette BQ safe >99%
4. Manicouagan BQ safe >99%
5. Drummond BQ safe >99%
6. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe >99%
7. Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe >99%
8. Mirabel BQ likely 99%
9. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely 99%
10. Repentigny BQ likely 99%
11. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ likely 99%
12. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ likely 98%
13. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ likely 97%
14. Jonquière BQ likely 96%
15. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ likely 96%
16. Terrebonne BQ likely 96%
17. Salaberry–Suroît BQ likely 92%
18. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ leaning 88%
19. La Pointe-de-l'Île BQ leaning 88%
20. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ leaning 87%
21. Saint-Jean BQ leaning 83%
22. Laurentides–Labelle BQ leaning 80%
23. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-Charlevoix Toss up 68%
24. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou Toss up 60%
25. Montarville Toss up 53%
26. Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up 45%
27. La Prairie Toss up 40%
28. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Toss up 38%
29. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up 37%
30. Beauport–Limoilou Toss up 35%
31. Trois-Rivières Toss up 26%
32. Shefford LPC leaning 23%
33. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord CPC leaning 21%
34. Québec LPC leaning 17%
35. Hochelaga LPC leaning 15%
36. Châteauguay–Lacolle LPC leaning 15%
37. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC leaning 14%
38. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine LPC leaning 13%
39. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC leaning 12%
40. Sherbrooke LPC leaning 11%
41. Brome–Missisquoi LPC likely 7%
42. Compton–Stanstead LPC likely 5%
43. Saint-Maurice–Champlain LPC likely 4%
44. Montmagny–L'Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup CPC likely 3%
45. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles CPC likely 1%
46. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe
2. Montcalm BQ safe
3. Joliette BQ safe
4. Manicouagan BQ safe
5. Drummond BQ safe
6. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe
7. Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe
8. Mirabel BQ likely
9. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely
10. Repentigny BQ likely
11. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ likely
12. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ likely
13. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ likely
14. Jonquière BQ likely
15. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ likely
16. Terrebonne BQ likely
17. Salaberry–Suroît BQ likely
18. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ leaning
19. La Pointe-de-l'Île BQ leaning
20. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ leaning
21. Saint-Jean BQ leaning
22. Laurentides–Labelle BQ leaning
23. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-Charlevoix Toss up
24. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou Toss up
25. Montarville Toss up
26. Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up
27. La Prairie Toss up
28. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Toss up
29. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up
30. Beauport–Limoilou Toss up
31. Trois-Rivières Toss up
32. Shefford LPC leaning
33. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord CPC leaning
34. Québec LPC leaning
35. Hochelaga LPC leaning
36. Châteauguay–Lacolle LPC leaning
37. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC leaning
38. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine LPC leaning
39. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC leaning
40. Sherbrooke LPC leaning
41. Brome–Missisquoi LPC likely
42. Compton–Stanstead LPC likely
43. Saint-Maurice–Champlain LPC likely
44. Montmagny–L'Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup CPC likely
45. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles CPC likely
46. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC likely