338Canada.com - Bloc Québécois





Last update: February 28, 2021

LeaderYves-François Blanchet
National popular vote in 20197.6% (QC: 32.5%)
Current vote projection6.8% ± 0.9% (QC: 29.2% ± 4.0%)
Current number of MP's0
Current seat projection29 ± 11



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Bloc Québécois



Rank Electoral districts Province Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Montcalm BQ safe >99%
2. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe >99%
3. Joliette BQ safe >99%
4. Manicouagan BQ safe >99%
5. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe >99%
6. Drummond BQ safe >99%
7. Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe >99%
8. Mirabel BQ safe >99%
9. Repentigny BQ safe >99%
10. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ likely 99%
11. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ likely 99%
12. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ likely 99%
13. Terrebonne BQ likely 98%
14. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely 98%
15. Salaberry–Suroît BQ likely 96%
16. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ likely 96%
17. La Pointe-de-l'Île BQ likely 95%
18. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ likely 94%
19. Saint-Jean BQ likely 92%
20. Laurentides–Labelle BQ likely 90%
21. Jonquière BQ leaning 89%
22. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ leaning 83%
23. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ leaning 75%
24. Montarville BQ leaning 71%
25. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up 67%
26. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Toss up 65%
27. Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up 64%
28. La Prairie Toss up 60%
29. Shefford Toss up 52%
30. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-Charlevoix Toss up 43%
31. Beauport–Limoilou Toss up 34%
32. Québec Toss up 33%
33. Hochelaga Toss up 31%
34. Châteauguay–Lacolle LPC leaning 30%
35. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC leaning 28%
36. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine LPC leaning 27%
37. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC leaning 24%
38. Sherbrooke LPC leaning 23%
39. Trois-Rivières Toss up 21%
40. Brome–Missisquoi LPC leaning 17%
41. Compton–Stanstead LPC leaning 13%
42. Saint-Maurice–Champlain LPC leaning 12%
43. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord CPC likely 7%
44. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC likely 2%
45. Louis-Hébert LPC likely <1%
46. Montmagny–L'Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup CPC likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Montcalm BQ safe
2. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe
3. Joliette BQ safe
4. Manicouagan BQ safe
5. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe
6. Drummond BQ safe
7. Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe
8. Mirabel BQ safe
9. Repentigny BQ safe
10. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ likely
11. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ likely
12. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ likely
13. Terrebonne BQ likely
14. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely
15. Salaberry–Suroît BQ likely
16. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ likely
17. La Pointe-de-l'Île BQ likely
18. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ likely
19. Saint-Jean BQ likely
20. Laurentides–Labelle BQ likely
21. Jonquière BQ leaning
22. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ leaning
23. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ leaning
24. Montarville BQ leaning
25. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up
26. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Toss up
27. Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up
28. La Prairie Toss up
29. Shefford Toss up
30. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-Charlevoix Toss up
31. Beauport–Limoilou Toss up
32. Québec Toss up
33. Hochelaga Toss up
34. Châteauguay–Lacolle LPC leaning
35. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC leaning
36. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine LPC leaning
37. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC leaning
38. Sherbrooke LPC leaning
39. Trois-Rivières Toss up
40. Brome–Missisquoi LPC leaning
41. Compton–Stanstead LPC leaning
42. Saint-Maurice–Champlain LPC leaning
43. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord CPC likely
44. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC likely
45. Louis-Hébert LPC likely
46. Montmagny–L'Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup CPC likely



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