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Canada

Bloc Québécois





Last update: May 22, 2022

LeaderYves-François Blanchet
National popular vote in 20217.6% (QC: 32.1%)
Current vote projection6.4% ± 0.7% (QC: 27.0% ± 3.7%)
Current number of MP's32
Current seat projection25 [18-31]



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Bloc Québécois



Rank Electoral districts Province Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ safe hold >99%
2. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe hold >99%
3. Montcalm BQ safe hold >99%
4. Drummond BQ safe hold >99%
5. Joliette BQ safe hold >99%
6. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe hold >99%
7. Manicouagan BQ safe hold >99%
8. Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe hold >99%
9. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ safe hold >99%
10. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ safe hold >99%
11. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ safe hold >99%
12. Laurentides–Labelle BQ safe hold >99%
13. Mirabel BQ safe hold >99%
14. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ safe hold >99%
15. Repentigny BQ likely hold 99%
16. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ likely hold 99%
17. Salaberry–Suroît BQ likely hold 98%
18. Saint-Jean BQ likely hold 94%
19. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ leaning hold 81%
20. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ leaning hold 78%
21. Terrebonne BQ leaning hold 70%
22. Jonquière Toss up CPC/BQ 68%
23. Montarville Toss up LPC/BQ 56%
24. Shefford Toss up LPC/BQ 51%
25. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up LPC/BQ 51%
26. Berthier–Maskinongé Toss up NDP/BQ 49%
27. La Prairie Toss up LPC/BQ 47%
28. Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up LPC/BQ 47%
29. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Toss up LPC/BQ 31%
30. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix Toss up CPC/BQ 30%
31. Châteauguay–Lacolle LPC likely hold 8%
32. Brome–Missisquoi LPC likely hold 7%
33. Beauport–Limoilou CPC leaning gain 6%
34. Trois-Rivières CPC likely gain 5%
35. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC likely hold 3%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ safe hold
2. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe hold
3. Montcalm BQ safe hold
4. Drummond BQ safe hold
5. Joliette BQ safe hold
6. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe hold
7. Manicouagan BQ safe hold
8. Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe hold
9. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ safe hold
10. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ safe hold
11. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ safe hold
12. Laurentides–Labelle BQ safe hold
13. Mirabel BQ safe hold
14. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ safe hold
15. Repentigny BQ likely hold
16. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ likely hold
17. Salaberry–Suroît BQ likely hold
18. Saint-Jean BQ likely hold
19. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ leaning hold
20. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ leaning hold
21. Terrebonne BQ leaning hold
22. Jonquière Toss up CPC/BQ
23. Montarville Toss up LPC/BQ
24. Shefford Toss up LPC/BQ
25. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up LPC/BQ
26. Berthier–Maskinongé Toss up NDP/BQ
27. La Prairie Toss up LPC/BQ
28. Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up LPC/BQ
29. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Toss up LPC/BQ
30. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix Toss up CPC/BQ
31. Châteauguay–Lacolle LPC likely hold
32. Brome–Missisquoi LPC likely hold
33. Beauport–Limoilou CPC leaning gain
34. Trois-Rivières CPC likely gain
35. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC likely hold