Bloc Québécois

Latest update: April 25, 2025
Leader | Yves-François Blanchet |
National popular vote in 2021 | 7.6% (QC: 32.1%) |
Current vote projection | 6.2% ± 0.8% (QC: 26.1% ± 4.2%) |
Current number of MP's | TBD |
Current seat projection | 24 [14-33] |
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.
Projected gains and losses compared to 2021 results transposed onto new map.
Popular vote projection | April 25, 2025
Seat projection | April 25, 2025
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Bloc Québécois
Rank | Electoral districts | Province | Transposed 2021 winner |
Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ safe | >99% |
2. | Montcalm | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ safe | >99% |
3. | Joliette—Manawan | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ likely | >99% |
4. | Abitibi—Témiscamingue | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ likely | 99% |
5. | Beloeil—Chambly | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ likely | 99% |
6. | Rivière-du-Nord | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ likely | 99% |
7. | Berthier—Maskinongé | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ likely | 98% |
8. | Rimouski—La Matapédia | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ likely | 97% |
9. | Mirabel | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ likely | 97% |
10. | Laurentides—Labelle | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ likely | 95% |
11. | Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ likely | 94% |
12. | Drummond | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ likely | 93% |
13. | Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ likely | 92% |
14. | La Pointe-de-l’Île | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ leaning | 90% |
15. | Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ leaning | 89% |
16. | Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ leaning | 88% |
17. | Saint-Jean | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ leaning | 83% |
18. | Lac-Saint-Jean | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ leaning | 82% |
19. | Repentigny | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ leaning | 81% |
20. | Les Pays-d’en-Haut | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ leaning | 79% |
21. | Terrebonne | ![]() |
![]() |
BQ leaning | 77% |
22. | Jonquière | ![]() |
![]() |
Toss up CPC/BQ | 64% |
23. | Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou | ![]() |
![]() |
Toss up LPC/BQ | 54% |
24. | La Prairie—Atateken | ![]() |
![]() |
Toss up LPC/BQ | 53% |
25. | Longueuil—Saint-Hubert | ![]() |
![]() |
Toss up LPC/BQ | 45% |
26. | Montmorency—Charlevoix | ![]() |
![]() |
Toss up CPC/BQ | 42% |
27. | Thérèse-De Blainville | ![]() |
![]() |
Toss up LPC/BQ | 35% |
28. | Trois-Rivières | ![]() |
![]() |
Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ | 30% |
29. | Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie | ![]() |
![]() |
LPC leaning | 26% |
30. | Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj | ![]() |
![]() |
LPC leaning | 22% |
31. | Rivière-des-Milles-Îles | ![]() |
![]() |
LPC leaning | 16% |
32. | Shefford | ![]() |
![]() |
LPC leaning | 12% |
33. | Beauport—Limoilou | ![]() |
![]() |
CPC leaning | 9% |
34. | Chicoutimi—Le Fjord | ![]() |
![]() |
CPC likely | 5% |
35. | Québec Centre | ![]() |
![]() |
LPC likely | 5% |