Bloc Québécois

Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Bloc Québécois

Rank	Electoral districts	Province	Current party	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia			BQ safe hold	>99%
2.	Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel			BQ safe hold	>99%
3.	Montcalm			BQ safe hold	>99%
4.	Drummond			BQ safe hold	>99%
5.	Joliette			BQ safe hold	>99%
6.	Rivière-du-Nord			BQ safe hold	>99%
7.	Manicouagan			BQ safe hold	>99%
8.	Beloeil–Chambly			BQ safe hold	>99%
9.	Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères			BQ safe hold	>99%
10.	Abitibi–Témiscamingue			BQ safe hold	>99%
11.	Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot			BQ safe hold	>99%
12.	Laurentides–Labelle			BQ safe hold	>99%
13.	Mirabel			BQ safe hold	>99%
14.	Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques			BQ safe hold	>99%
15.	Repentigny			BQ likely hold	99%
16.	Lac-Saint-Jean			BQ likely hold	99%
17.	Salaberry–Suroît			BQ likely hold	98%
18.	Saint-Jean			BQ likely hold	94%
19.	Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou			BQ leaning hold	81%
20.	La Pointe-de-l’Île			BQ leaning hold	78%
21.	Terrebonne			BQ leaning hold	70%
22.	Jonquière			Toss up CPC/BQ	68%
23.	Montarville			Toss up LPC/BQ	56%
24.	Shefford			Toss up LPC/BQ	51%
25.	Rivière-des-Mille-Îles			Toss up LPC/BQ	51%
26.	Berthier–Maskinongé			Toss up NDP/BQ	49%
27.	La Prairie			Toss up LPC/BQ	47%
28.	Thérèse-De Blainville			Toss up LPC/BQ	47%
29.	Longueuil–Saint-Hubert			Toss up LPC/BQ	31%
30.	Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix			Toss up CPC/BQ	30%
31.	Châteauguay–Lacolle			LPC likely hold	8%
32.	Brome–Missisquoi			LPC likely hold	7%
33.	Beauport–Limoilou			CPC leaning gain	6%
34.	Trois-Rivières			CPC likely gain	5%
35.	Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation			LPC likely hold	3%