Bloc Québécois

Last update: May 22, 2022
Leader | Yves-François Blanchet |
National popular vote in 2021 | 7.6% (QC: 32.1%) |
Current vote projection | 6.4% ± 0.7% (QC: 27.0% ± 3.7%) |
Current number of MP's | 32 |
Current seat projection | 25 [18-31] |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Bloc Québécois
Rank | Electoral districts | Province | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
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1. | Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia | ![]() |
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BQ safe hold | >99% |
2. | Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel | ![]() |
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BQ safe hold | >99% |
3. | Montcalm | ![]() |
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BQ safe hold | >99% |
4. | Drummond | ![]() |
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BQ safe hold | >99% |
5. | Joliette | ![]() |
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BQ safe hold | >99% |
6. | Rivière-du-Nord | ![]() |
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BQ safe hold | >99% |
7. | Manicouagan | ![]() |
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BQ safe hold | >99% |
8. | Beloeil–Chambly | ![]() |
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BQ safe hold | >99% |
9. | Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères | ![]() |
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BQ safe hold | >99% |
10. | Abitibi–Témiscamingue | ![]() |
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BQ safe hold | >99% |
11. | Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot | ![]() |
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BQ safe hold | >99% |
12. | Laurentides–Labelle | ![]() |
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BQ safe hold | >99% |
13. | Mirabel | ![]() |
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BQ safe hold | >99% |
14. | Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques | ![]() |
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BQ safe hold | >99% |
15. | Repentigny | ![]() |
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BQ likely hold | 99% |
16. | Lac-Saint-Jean | ![]() |
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BQ likely hold | 99% |
17. | Salaberry–Suroît | ![]() |
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BQ likely hold | 98% |
18. | Saint-Jean | ![]() |
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BQ likely hold | 94% |
19. | Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou | ![]() |
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BQ leaning hold | 81% |
20. | La Pointe-de-l’Île | ![]() |
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BQ leaning hold | 78% |
21. | Terrebonne | ![]() |
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BQ leaning hold | 70% |
22. | Jonquière | ![]() |
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Toss up CPC/BQ | 68% |
23. | Montarville | ![]() |
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Toss up LPC/BQ | 56% |
24. | Shefford | ![]() |
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Toss up LPC/BQ | 51% |
25. | Rivière-des-Mille-Îles | ![]() |
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Toss up LPC/BQ | 51% |
26. | Berthier–Maskinongé | ![]() |
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Toss up NDP/BQ | 49% |
27. | La Prairie | ![]() |
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Toss up LPC/BQ | 47% |
28. | Thérèse-De Blainville | ![]() |
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Toss up LPC/BQ | 47% |
29. | Longueuil–Saint-Hubert | ![]() |
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Toss up LPC/BQ | 31% |
30. | Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix | ![]() |
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Toss up CPC/BQ | 30% |
31. | Châteauguay–Lacolle | ![]() |
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LPC likely hold | 8% |
32. | Brome–Missisquoi | ![]() |
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LPC likely hold | 7% |
33. | Beauport–Limoilou | ![]() |
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CPC leaning gain | 6% |
34. | Trois-Rivières | ![]() |
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CPC likely gain | 5% |
35. | Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation | ![]() |
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LPC likely hold | 3% |
Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
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1. | Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia | BQ safe hold |
2. | Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel | BQ safe hold |
3. | Montcalm | BQ safe hold |
4. | Drummond | BQ safe hold |
5. | Joliette | BQ safe hold |
6. | Rivière-du-Nord | BQ safe hold |
7. | Manicouagan | BQ safe hold |
8. | Beloeil–Chambly | BQ safe hold |
9. | Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères | BQ safe hold |
10. | Abitibi–Témiscamingue | BQ safe hold |
11. | Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot | BQ safe hold |
12. | Laurentides–Labelle | BQ safe hold |
13. | Mirabel | BQ safe hold |
14. | Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques | BQ safe hold |
15. | Repentigny | BQ likely hold |
16. | Lac-Saint-Jean | BQ likely hold |
17. | Salaberry–Suroît | BQ likely hold |
18. | Saint-Jean | BQ likely hold |
19. | Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou | BQ leaning hold |
20. | La Pointe-de-l’Île | BQ leaning hold |
21. | Terrebonne | BQ leaning hold |
22. | Jonquière | Toss up CPC/BQ |
23. | Montarville | Toss up LPC/BQ |
24. | Shefford | Toss up LPC/BQ |
25. | Rivière-des-Mille-Îles | Toss up LPC/BQ |
26. | Berthier–Maskinongé | Toss up NDP/BQ |
27. | La Prairie | Toss up LPC/BQ |
28. | Thérèse-De Blainville | Toss up LPC/BQ |
29. | Longueuil–Saint-Hubert | Toss up LPC/BQ |
30. | Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix | Toss up CPC/BQ |
31. | Châteauguay–Lacolle | LPC likely hold |
32. | Brome–Missisquoi | LPC likely hold |
33. | Beauport–Limoilou | CPC leaning gain |
34. | Trois-Rivières | CPC likely gain |
35. | Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation | LPC likely hold |