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Last update: January 17, 2021
Leader | Yves-François Blanchet |
National popular vote in 2019 | 7.6% (QC: 32.5%) |
Current vote projection | 7.1% ± 1.0% (QC: 30.5% ± 4.2%) |
Current number of MP's | 32 |
Current seat projection | 30 ± 11 |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Bloc Québécois
Rank | Electoral districts | Province | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Montcalm | ![]() |
BQ safe | >99% | |
2. | Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel | ![]() |
BQ safe | >99% | |
3. | Joliette | ![]() |
BQ safe | >99% | |
4. | Manicouagan | ![]() |
BQ safe | >99% | |
5. | Drummond | ![]() |
BQ safe | >99% | |
6. | Rivière-du-Nord | ![]() |
BQ safe | >99% | |
7. | Beloeil–Chambly | ![]() |
BQ safe | >99% | |
8. | Mirabel | ![]() |
BQ safe | >99% | |
9. | Repentigny | ![]() |
BQ safe | >99% | |
10. | Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot | ![]() |
BQ likely | 99% | |
11. | Berthier–Maskinongé | ![]() |
BQ likely | 99% | |
12. | Abitibi–Témiscamingue | ![]() |
BQ likely | 99% | |
13. | Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères | ![]() |
BQ likely | 99% | |
14. | Lac-Saint-Jean | ![]() |
BQ likely | 98% | |
15. | Terrebonne | ![]() |
BQ likely | 98% | |
16. | Jonquière | ![]() |
BQ likely | 97% | |
17. | Salaberry–Suroît | ![]() |
BQ likely | 95% | |
18. | La Pointe-de-l'Île | ![]() |
BQ likely | 93% | |
19. | Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia | ![]() |
BQ likely | 92% | |
20. | Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques | ![]() |
BQ likely | 90% | |
21. | Saint-Jean | ![]() |
BQ leaning | 90% | |
22. | Laurentides–Labelle | ![]() |
BQ leaning | 88% | |
23. | Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-Charlevoix | ![]() |
BQ leaning | 78% | |
24. | Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou | ![]() |
BQ leaning | 72% | |
25. | Montarville | ![]() |
Toss up | 66% | |
26. | Rivière-des-Mille-Îles | ![]() |
Toss up | 62% | |
27. | Beauport–Limoilou | ![]() |
Toss up | 60% | |
28. | Longueuil–Saint-Hubert | ![]() |
Toss up | 60% | |
29. | Thérèse-De Blainville | ![]() |
Toss up | 59% | |
30. | La Prairie | ![]() |
Toss up | 54% | |
31. | Shefford | ![]() |
Toss up | 47% | |
32. | Trois-Rivières | ![]() |
Toss up | 44% | |
33. | Chicoutimi–Le Fjord | ![]() |
Toss up | 32% | |
34. | Québec | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 28% | |
35. | Hochelaga | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 26% | |
36. | Châteauguay–Lacolle | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 25% | |
37. | Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 24% | |
38. | Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 23% | |
39. | Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 20% | |
40. | Sherbrooke | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 19% | |
41. | Brome–Missisquoi | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 14% | |
42. | Compton–Stanstead | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 10% | |
43. | Saint-Maurice–Champlain | ![]() |
LPC likely | 9% | |
44. | Montmagny–L'Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup | ![]() |
CPC likely | 7% | |
45. | Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles | ![]() |
CPC likely | 3% | |
46. | Marc-Aurèle-Fortin | ![]() |
LPC likely | 2% | |
47. | Louis-Hébert | ![]() |
LPC likely | <1% |