338Canada.com - Bloc québécois






338Canada Projection for the Bloc québécois

Latest update: October 23, 2019



Regional Popular Vote Projection






Regional Seat Projection






National Seat Projection





Ordered list of districts

(Percentages indicate the odds of winning the districts according to the 338Canada Projection of October 23, 2019.)

#1 24009 Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel Safe BQ>99%
#2 24046 Manicouagan Safe BQ>99%
#3 24063 Rivière-du-Nord Safe BQ>99%
#4 24014 Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères Safe BQ>99%
#5 24031 Joliette Safe BQ>99%
#6 24050 Montcalm Safe BQ>99%
#7 24038 Laurentides–Labelle Safe BQ>99%
#8 24075 Terrebonne Safe BQ>99%
#9 24011 Beloeil–Chambly Safe BQ>99%
#10 24060 Repentigny Likely BQ>99%
#11 24048 Mirabel Likely BQ>99%
#12 24032 Jonquière Likely BQ99%
#13 24018 Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques Likely BQ98%
#14 24033 La Pointe-de-l'Île Likely BQ98%
#15 24025 Drummond Likely BQ98%
#16 24006 Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia Likely BQ97%
#17 24066 Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot Likely BQ96%
#18 24028 Hochelaga Leaning BQ89%
#19 24043 Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Leaning BQ85%
#20 24071 Salaberry–Suroît Leaning BQ78%
#21 24013 Thérèse-De Blainville Leaning BQ72%
#22 24035 Lac-Saint-Jean Leaning BQ72%
#23 24051 Montmagny–L'Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup Leaning BQ71%
#24 24026 Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine Toss up68%
#25 24002 Abitibi–Témiscamingue Toss up68%
#26 24020 Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-Charlevoix Toss up66%
#27 24067 Saint-Jean Toss up66%
#28 24041 Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne Toss up64%
#29 24049 Montarville Toss up62%
#30 24062 Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up61%
#31 24001 Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou Toss up61%
#32 24034 La Prairie Toss up60%
#33 24012 Berthier–Maskinongé Toss up55%
#34 24023 Compton–Stanstead Toss up55%
#35 24072 Shefford Toss up47%
#36 24016 Brome–Missisquoi Toss up47%
#37 24008 Beauport–Limoilou Toss up44%
#38 24039 Laurier–Sainte-Marie Toss up44%
#39 24076 Trois-Rivières Toss up39%
#40 24061 Richmond–Arthabaska Toss up38%
#41 24021 Châteauguay–Lacolle Toss up34%
#42 24070 Saint-Maurice–Champlain Toss up33%
#43 24022 Chicoutimi–Le Fjord Toss up33%
#44 24073 Sherbrooke Toss up32%
#45 24065 Marc-Aurèle-Fortin Leaning LPC25%
#46 24064 Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie Leaning NDP24%
#47 24059 Québec Leaning LPC15%
#48 24005 Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation Leaning LPC13%