338Canada | Bloc Québécois





Last update: November 28, 2021

LeaderYves-François Blanchet
National popular vote in 20217.7% (QC: 32.1%)
Current vote projection7.3% ± 0.7% (QC: 30.7% ± 4.0%)
Current number of MP's32
Current seat projection30 [22-36]



Vote Projection | Bloc Québécois | November 28, 2021




Seat Projection | Bloc Québécois | November 28, 2021




Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Bloc Québécois



Rank Electoral districts Province Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ safe >99%
2. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe >99%
3. Joliette BQ safe >99%
4. Manicouagan BQ safe >99%
5. Montcalm BQ safe >99%
6. Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe >99%
7. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ safe >99%
8. Drummond BQ safe >99%
9. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ safe >99%
10. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe >99%
11. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ safe >99%
12. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ safe >99%
13. Laurentides–Labelle BQ safe >99%
14. Mirabel BQ safe >99%
15. Repentigny BQ safe >99%
16. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ safe >99%
17. Salaberry–Suroît BQ safe >99%
18. Jonquière BQ likely 99%
19. Saint-Jean BQ likely 99%
20. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ likely 94%
21. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix BQ likely 93%
22. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ likely 92%
23. Terrebonne BQ likely 90%
24. Montarville BQ leaning 83%
25. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ leaning 78%
26. La Prairie BQ leaning 76%
27. Shefford BQ leaning 76%
28. Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up LPC/BQ 58%
29. Beauport–Limoilou Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ 57%
30. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up LPC/BQ 56%
31. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Toss up LPC/BQ 37%
32. Trois-Rivières Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ 26%
33. Châteauguay–Lacolle LPC leaning 23%
34. Brome–Missisquoi LPC leaning 19%
35. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord CPC leaning 16%
36. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC leaning 10%
37. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC likely 6%
38. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine LPC likely 4%
39. Compton–Stanstead LPC likely 3%
40. Québec LPC likely 3%
41. Hochelaga LPC likely 2%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ safe
2. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe
3. Joliette BQ safe
4. Manicouagan BQ safe
5. Montcalm BQ safe
6. Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe
7. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ safe
8. Drummond BQ safe
9. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ safe
10. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe
11. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ safe
12. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ safe
13. Laurentides–Labelle BQ safe
14. Mirabel BQ safe
15. Repentigny BQ safe
16. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ safe
17. Salaberry–Suroît BQ safe
18. Jonquière BQ likely
19. Saint-Jean BQ likely
20. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ likely
21. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix BQ likely
22. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ likely
23. Terrebonne BQ likely
24. Montarville BQ leaning
25. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ leaning
26. La Prairie BQ leaning
27. Shefford BQ leaning
28. Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up LPC/BQ
29. Beauport–Limoilou Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ
30. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up LPC/BQ
31. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Toss up LPC/BQ
32. Trois-Rivières Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ
33. Châteauguay–Lacolle LPC leaning
34. Brome–Missisquoi LPC leaning
35. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord CPC leaning
36. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC leaning
37. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC likely
38. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine LPC likely
39. Compton–Stanstead LPC likely
40. Québec LPC likely
41. Hochelaga LPC likely



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