338Canada.com - Bloc Québécois





Last update: April 18, 2021

LeaderYves-François Blanchet
National popular vote in 20197.6% (QC: 32.5%)
Current vote projection6.7% ± 1.0% (QC: 28.7% ± 4.2%)
Current number of MP's32
Current seat projection25 ± 11



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Bloc Québécois



Rank Electoral districts Province Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe >99%
2. Montcalm BQ safe >99%
3. Manicouagan BQ safe >99%
4. Joliette BQ safe >99%
5. Drummond BQ safe >99%
6. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe >99%
7. Beloeil–Chambly BQ likely 99%
8. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely 99%
9. Mirabel BQ likely 99%
10. Repentigny BQ likely 98%
11. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ likely 97%
12. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ likely 95%
13. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ likely 95%
14. Jonquière BQ likely 94%
15. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ likely 93%
16. Terrebonne BQ likely 92%
17. Salaberry–Suroît BQ leaning 86%
18. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ leaning 84%
19. La Pointe-de-l`Île BQ leaning 82%
20. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ leaning 80%
21. Saint-Jean BQ leaning 75%
22. Laurentides–Labelle BQ leaning 71%
23. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d`Orléans-Charlevoix Toss up 69%
24. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou Toss up 52%
25. Montarville Toss up 44%
26. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Toss up 43%
27. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up 39%
28. Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up 37%
29. La Prairie Toss up 31%
30. Beauport–Limoilou Toss up 29%
31. Shefford LPC leaning 25%
32. Trois-Rivières Toss up 22%
33. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord CPC leaning 16%
34. Québec LPC leaning 13%
35. Hochelaga LPC leaning 11%
36. Châteauguay–Lacolle LPC leaning 11%
37. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC leaning 10%
38. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine LPC likely 9%
39. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC likely 8%
40. Sherbrooke LPC likely 8%
41. Brome–Missisquoi LPC likely 5%
42. Compton–Stanstead LPC likely 3%
43. Saint-Maurice–Champlain LPC likely 3%
44. Montmagny–L`Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup CPC likely 3%
45. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles CPC likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe
2. Montcalm BQ safe
3. Manicouagan BQ safe
4. Joliette BQ safe
5. Drummond BQ safe
6. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe
7. Beloeil–Chambly BQ likely
8. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely
9. Mirabel BQ likely
10. Repentigny BQ likely
11. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ likely
12. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ likely
13. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ likely
14. Jonquière BQ likely
15. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ likely
16. Terrebonne BQ likely
17. Salaberry–Suroît BQ leaning
18. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ leaning
19. La Pointe-de-l`Île BQ leaning
20. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ leaning
21. Saint-Jean BQ leaning
22. Laurentides–Labelle BQ leaning
23. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d`Orléans-Charlevoix Toss up
24. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou Toss up
25. Montarville Toss up
26. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Toss up
27. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up
28. Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up
29. La Prairie Toss up
30. Beauport–Limoilou Toss up
31. Shefford LPC leaning
32. Trois-Rivières Toss up
33. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord CPC leaning
34. Québec LPC leaning
35. Hochelaga LPC leaning
36. Châteauguay–Lacolle LPC leaning
37. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC leaning
38. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine LPC likely
39. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC likely
40. Sherbrooke LPC likely
41. Brome–Missisquoi LPC likely
42. Compton–Stanstead LPC likely
43. Saint-Maurice–Champlain LPC likely
44. Montmagny–L`Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup CPC likely
45. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles CPC likely



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