338Canada | Bloc Québécois





Last update: October 10, 2021

LeaderYves-François Blanchet
National popular vote in 20217.7% (QC: 32.1%)
Current vote projection7.6% ± 0.6% (QC: 32.2% ± 2.5%)
Current number of MP's33
Current seat projection32 [26-37]



Vote Projection | Bloc Québécois | October 10, 2021




Seat Projection | Bloc Québécois | October 10, 2021




Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Bloc Québécois



Rank Electoral districts Province Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ safe >99%
2. Joliette BQ safe >99%
3. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe >99%
4. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ safe >99%
5. Montcalm BQ safe >99%
6. Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe >99%
7. Manicouagan BQ safe >99%
8. Repentigny BQ safe >99%
9. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe >99%
10. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ safe >99%
11. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ safe >99%
12. Laurentides–Labelle BQ safe >99%
13. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ safe >99%
14. Drummond BQ safe >99%
15. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ safe >99%
16. Mirabel BQ safe >99%
17. Salaberry–Suroît BQ safe >99%
18. Saint-Jean BQ safe >99%
19. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ safe >99%
20. Jonquière BQ likely 99%
21. Terrebonne BQ likely 99%
22. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ likely 99%
23. Montarville BQ likely 98%
24. La Prairie BQ likely 96%
25. Shefford BQ likely 96%
26. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix BQ likely 91%
27. Thérèse-De Blainville BQ leaning 87%
28. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles BQ leaning 86%
29. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert BQ leaning 70%
30. Beauport–Limoilou Toss up CPC/BQ 65%
31. Berthier–Maskinongé Toss up NDP/BQ 64%
32. Châteauguay–Lacolle Toss up LPC/BQ 49%
33. Brome–Missisquoi Toss up LPC/BQ 47%
34. Trois-Rivières Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ 38%
35. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC leaning 28%
36. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC leaning 18%
37. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine LPC leaning 12%
38. Compton–Stanstead LPC likely 10%
39. Hochelaga LPC likely 9%
40. Québec LPC likely 9%
41. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord CPC likely 8%
42. Sherbrooke LPC likely 3%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ safe
2. Joliette BQ safe
3. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe
4. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ safe
5. Montcalm BQ safe
6. Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe
7. Manicouagan BQ safe
8. Repentigny BQ safe
9. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe
10. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ safe
11. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ safe
12. Laurentides–Labelle BQ safe
13. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ safe
14. Drummond BQ safe
15. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ safe
16. Mirabel BQ safe
17. Salaberry–Suroît BQ safe
18. Saint-Jean BQ safe
19. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ safe
20. Jonquière BQ likely
21. Terrebonne BQ likely
22. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ likely
23. Montarville BQ likely
24. La Prairie BQ likely
25. Shefford BQ likely
26. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix BQ likely
27. Thérèse-De Blainville BQ leaning
28. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles BQ leaning
29. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert BQ leaning
30. Beauport–Limoilou Toss up CPC/BQ
31. Berthier–Maskinongé Toss up NDP/BQ
32. Châteauguay–Lacolle Toss up LPC/BQ
33. Brome–Missisquoi Toss up LPC/BQ
34. Trois-Rivières Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ
35. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC leaning
36. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC leaning
37. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine LPC leaning
38. Compton–Stanstead LPC likely
39. Hochelaga LPC likely
40. Québec LPC likely
41. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord CPC likely
42. Sherbrooke LPC likely



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