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Last update: January 16, 2022
| Leader | Yves-François Blanchet |
| National popular vote in 2021 | 7.7% (QC: 32.1%) |
| Current vote projection | 7.0% ± 0.7% (QC: 29.6% ± 3.9%) |
| Current number of MP's | 32 |
| Current seat projection | 31 [22-35] |
Vote Projection | Bloc Québécois | January 16, 2022
Seat Projection | Bloc Québécois | January 16, 2022
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Bloc Québécois
| Rank | Electoral districts | Province | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel |  |
 |
BQ safe | >99% |
| 2. | Manicouagan | |
|
BQ safe | >99% |
| 3. | Montcalm | |
|
BQ safe | >99% |
| 4. | Lac-Saint-Jean | |
|
BQ safe | >99% |
| 5. | Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia | |
|
BQ safe | >99% |
| 6. | Joliette | |
|
BQ safe | >99% |
| 7. | Drummond | |
|
BQ safe | >99% |
| 8. | Beloeil–Chambly | |
|
BQ safe | >99% |
| 9. | Rivière-du-Nord | |
|
BQ safe | >99% |
| 10. | Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères | |
|
BQ safe | >99% |
| 11. | Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot | |
|
BQ safe | >99% |
| 12. | Abitibi–Témiscamingue | |
|
BQ safe | >99% |
| 13. | Laurentides–Labelle | |
|
BQ safe | >99% |
| 14. | Mirabel | |
|
BQ safe | >99% |
| 15. | Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques | |
|
BQ safe | >99% |
| 16. | Repentigny | |
|
BQ safe | >99% |
| 17. | Jonquière | |
|
BQ likely | 99% |
| 18. | Salaberry–Suroît | |
|
BQ likely | 99% |
| 19. | Saint-Jean | |
|
BQ likely | 97% |
| 20. | Berthier–Maskinongé | |
|
BQ likely | 95% |
| 21. | Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix | |
|
BQ likely | 94% |
| 22. | La Pointe-de-l’Île | |
|
BQ leaning | 86% |
| 23. | Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou | |
|
BQ leaning | 85% |
| 24. | Terrebonne | |
|
BQ leaning | 81% |
| 25. | Montarville | |
|
Toss up LPC/BQ | 69% |
| 26. | Shefford | |
|
Toss up LPC/BQ | 64% |
| 27. | Rivière-des-Mille-Îles | |
|
Toss up LPC/BQ | 64% |
| 28. | La Prairie | |
|
Toss up LPC/BQ | 60% |
| 29. | Thérèse-De Blainville | |
|
Toss up LPC/BQ | 59% |
| 30. | Beauport–Limoilou | |
|
Toss up LPC/BQ | 57% |
| 31. | Trois-Rivières | |
|
Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ | 55% |
| 32. | Longueuil–Saint-Hubert | |
|
Toss up LPC/BQ | 43% |
| 33. | Chicoutimi–Le Fjord | |
 |
CPC leaning | 21% |
| 34. | Châteauguay–Lacolle | |
 |
LPC leaning | 13% |
| 35. | Brome–Missisquoi | |
|
LPC leaning | 10% |
| 36. | Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation | |
|
LPC likely | 5% |
| 37. | Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne | |
|
LPC likely | 3% |