Bloc Québécois

Latest update: January 18, 2026

Leader	Yves-François Blanchet
National popular vote in 2025	6.3% (QC: 27.9%)
Current vote projection	7.2% ± 0.8% (QC: 31.7% ± 4.3%)
Current number of MP's	22
Current seat projection	31 [24-38]

Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Projected gains and losses compared to 2025 results.

Vote projection | January 18, 2026

Seat projection | January 18, 2026

List of favourable electoral districts | Bloc Québécois

	Districts and MPs	Current party	Projection
1.	Abitibi—Témiscamingue Sebastien Lemire	B	BQ safe
2.	Joliette—Manawan Gabriel Ste-Marie	B	BQ safe
3.	Beloeil—Chambly Yves-Francois Blanchet	B	BQ safe
4.	Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak Louis Plamondon	B	BQ safe
5.	Lac-Saint-Jean Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe	B	BQ safe
6.	Montcalm Luc Theriault	B	BQ safe
7.	Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan Marilene Gill	B	BQ safe
8.	Drummond Martin Champoux	B	BQ safe
9.	Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon Claude DeBellefeuille	B	BQ safe
10.	Rivière-du-Nord Rheal Fortin	B	BQ safe
11.	Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton Simon-Pierre Savard-Tremblay	B	BQ safe
12.	Jonquière Mario Simard	B	BQ safe
13.	Rimouski—La Matapédia Maxime Blanchette-Joncas	B	BQ safe
14.	Saint-Jean Christine Normandin	B	BQ safe
15.	Laurentides—Labelle Marie-Helene Gaudreau	B	BQ safe
16.	Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj Alexis Deschenes	B	BQ likely
17.	Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères Xavier Barsalou-Duval	B	BQ likely
18.	Mirabel Jean-Denis Garon	B	BQ likely
19.	La Pointe-de-l’Île Mario Beaulieu	B	BQ likely
20.	Berthier—Maskinongé Yves Perron	B	BQ likely
21.	Repentigny Patrick Bonin	B	BQ likely
22.	Montmorency—Charlevoix Gabriel Hardy	C	BQ likely
23.	Shefford Andreanne Larouche	B	BQ likely
24.	Terrebonne Tatiana Auguste	L	BQ likely
25.	Longueuil—Saint-Hubert Natilien Joseph	L	BQ likely
26.	Chicoutimi—Le Fjord Richard Martel	C	BQ likely
27.	Les Pays-d’en-Haut Timothy Watchorn	L	BQ leaning
28.	Beauport—Limoilou Steeve Lavoie	L	Toss up LPC/BQ
29.	Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou Mandy Gull	L	Toss up LPC/BQ
30.	Richmond—Arthabaska Éric Lefebvre	C	Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ
31.	La Prairie—Atateken Jacques Ramsay	L	Toss up LPC/BQ
32.	Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie Bienvenu-Olivier Ntumba	L	Toss up LPC/BQ
33.	Québec Centre Jean-Yves Duclos	L	Toss up LPC/BQ
34.	Rivière-des-Milles-Îles Linda Lapointe	L	Toss up LPC/BQ
35.	Thérèse-De Blainville Madeleine Chenette	L	Toss up LPC/BQ
36.	Trois-Rivières Caroline Desrochers	L	LPC leaning
37.	Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville Nathalie Provost	L	LPC leaning
38.	Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est Marie-Gabrielle Menard	L	LPC likely
39.	Compton—Stanstead Marianne Dandurand	L	LPC likely
40.	Brome—Missisquoi Louis Villeneuve	L	LPC likely
41.	Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne Sherry Romanado	L	LPC likely
42.	Sherbrooke Elisabeth Briere	L	LPC likely
43.	Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation Stephane Lauzon	L	LPC likely
44.	Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata Bernard Genereux	C	CPC likely
45.	Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles Pierre Paul-Hus	C	CPC leaning
46.	Marc-Aurèle-Fortin Carlos Leitao	L	LPC safe
47.	Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk Gérard Deltell	C	CPC likely
48.	Lévis—Lotbinière Jacques Gourde	C	CPC likely
49.	Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis Dominique Vien	C	CPC safe
50.	Saint-Maurice—Champlain Francois-Philippe Champagne	L	LPC safe
51.	LaSalle—Émard—Verdun Claude Guay	L	LPC safe
52.	Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier Joel Godin	C	CPC safe

Bloc Québécois

Infolettre Qc125

Vote projection | January 18, 2026

Seat projection | January 18, 2026

List of favourable electoral districts | Bloc Québécois