338Canada | Bloc Québécois





Last update: January 16, 2022

LeaderYves-François Blanchet
National popular vote in 20217.7% (QC: 32.1%)
Current vote projection7.0% ± 0.7% (QC: 29.6% ± 3.9%)
Current number of MP's32
Current seat projection31 [22-35]



Vote Projection | Bloc Québécois | January 16, 2022




Seat Projection | Bloc Québécois | January 16, 2022




Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Bloc Québécois



Rank Electoral districts Province Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe >99%
2. Manicouagan BQ safe >99%
3. Montcalm BQ safe >99%
4. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ safe >99%
5. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ safe >99%
6. Joliette BQ safe >99%
7. Drummond BQ safe >99%
8. Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe >99%
9. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe >99%
10. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ safe >99%
11. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ safe >99%
12. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ safe >99%
13. Laurentides–Labelle BQ safe >99%
14. Mirabel BQ safe >99%
15. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ safe >99%
16. Repentigny BQ safe >99%
17. Jonquière BQ likely 99%
18. Salaberry–Suroît BQ likely 99%
19. Saint-Jean BQ likely 97%
20. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely 95%
21. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix BQ likely 94%
22. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ leaning 86%
23. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ leaning 85%
24. Terrebonne BQ leaning 81%
25. Montarville Toss up LPC/BQ 69%
26. Shefford Toss up LPC/BQ 64%
27. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up LPC/BQ 64%
28. La Prairie Toss up LPC/BQ 60%
29. Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up LPC/BQ 59%
30. Beauport–Limoilou Toss up LPC/BQ 57%
31. Trois-Rivières Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ 55%
32. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Toss up LPC/BQ 43%
33. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord CPC leaning 21%
34. Châteauguay–Lacolle LPC leaning 13%
35. Brome–Missisquoi LPC leaning 10%
36. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC likely 5%
37. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC likely 3%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe
2. Manicouagan BQ safe
3. Montcalm BQ safe
4. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ safe
5. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ safe
6. Joliette BQ safe
7. Drummond BQ safe
8. Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe
9. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe
10. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ safe
11. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ safe
12. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ safe
13. Laurentides–Labelle BQ safe
14. Mirabel BQ safe
15. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ safe
16. Repentigny BQ safe
17. Jonquière BQ likely
18. Salaberry–Suroît BQ likely
19. Saint-Jean BQ likely
20. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely
21. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix BQ likely
22. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ leaning
23. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ leaning
24. Terrebonne BQ leaning
25. Montarville Toss up LPC/BQ
26. Shefford Toss up LPC/BQ
27. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up LPC/BQ
28. La Prairie Toss up LPC/BQ
29. Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up LPC/BQ
30. Beauport–Limoilou Toss up LPC/BQ
31. Trois-Rivières Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ
32. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Toss up LPC/BQ
33. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord CPC leaning
34. Châteauguay–Lacolle LPC leaning
35. Brome–Missisquoi LPC leaning
36. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC likely
37. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC likely



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