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Canada

Bloc Québécois





Last update: October 2, 2022

LeaderYves-François Blanchet
National popular vote in 20217.6% (QC: 32.1%)
Current vote projection6.9% ± 0.7% (QC: 29.4% ± 3.8%)
Current number of MP's32
Current seat projection29 [24-36]



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Bloc Québécois



Rank Electoral districts Province Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ safe hold >99%
2. Joliette BQ safe hold >99%
3. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ safe hold >99%
4. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe hold >99%
5. Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe hold >99%
6. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe hold >99%
7. Montcalm BQ safe hold >99%
8. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ safe hold >99%
9. Laurentides–Labelle BQ safe hold >99%
10. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ safe hold >99%
11. Drummond BQ safe hold >99%
12. Mirabel BQ safe hold >99%
13. Repentigny BQ safe hold >99%
14. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ safe hold >99%
15. Manicouagan BQ safe hold >99%
16. Salaberry–Suroît BQ safe hold >99%
17. Saint-Jean BQ safe hold >99%
18. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ likely hold 99%
19. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ likely hold 98%
20. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ likely hold 98%
21. Terrebonne BQ likely hold 97%
22. Montarville BQ likely hold 92%
23. Shefford BQ likely hold 91%
24. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles BQ likely hold 91%
25. La Prairie BQ leaning hold 89%
26. Thérèse-De Blainville BQ leaning hold 88%
27. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ leaning hold 81%
28. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert BQ leaning hold 78%
29. Jonquière Toss up CPC/BQ 67%
30. Châteauguay–Lacolle Toss up LPC/BQ 44%
31. Brome–Missisquoi Toss up LPC/BQ 43%
32. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix CPC leaning gain 30%
33. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC leaning hold 26%
34. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC leaning hold 18%
35. Compton–Stanstead LPC leaning hold 12%
36. Québec LPC leaning hold 12%
37. Beauport–Limoilou CPC leaning gain 12%
38. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine LPC leaning hold 11%
39. Hochelaga LPC leaning hold 9%
40. Trois-Rivières CPC likely gain 5%
41. Sherbrooke LPC likely hold 5%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ safe hold
2. Joliette BQ safe hold
3. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ safe hold
4. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe hold
5. Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe hold
6. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe hold
7. Montcalm BQ safe hold
8. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ safe hold
9. Laurentides–Labelle BQ safe hold
10. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ safe hold
11. Drummond BQ safe hold
12. Mirabel BQ safe hold
13. Repentigny BQ safe hold
14. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ safe hold
15. Manicouagan BQ safe hold
16. Salaberry–Suroît BQ safe hold
17. Saint-Jean BQ safe hold
18. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ likely hold
19. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ likely hold
20. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ likely hold
21. Terrebonne BQ likely hold
22. Montarville BQ likely hold
23. Shefford BQ likely hold
24. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles BQ likely hold
25. La Prairie BQ leaning hold
26. Thérèse-De Blainville BQ leaning hold
27. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ leaning hold
28. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert BQ leaning hold
29. Jonquière Toss up CPC/BQ
30. Châteauguay–Lacolle Toss up LPC/BQ
31. Brome–Missisquoi Toss up LPC/BQ
32. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix CPC leaning gain
33. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC leaning hold
34. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC leaning hold
35. Compton–Stanstead LPC leaning hold
36. Québec LPC leaning hold
37. Beauport–Limoilou CPC leaning gain
38. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine LPC leaning hold
39. Hochelaga LPC leaning hold
40. Trois-Rivières CPC likely gain
41. Sherbrooke LPC likely hold