338Canada.com - Bloc Québécois





Last update: January 17, 2021

LeaderYves-François Blanchet
National popular vote in 20197.6% (QC: 32.5%)
Current vote projection7.1% ± 1.0% (QC: 30.5% ± 4.2%)
Current number of MP's32
Current seat projection30 ± 11



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Bloc Québécois



Rank Electoral districts Province Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Montcalm BQ safe >99%
2. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe >99%
3. Joliette BQ safe >99%
4. Manicouagan BQ safe >99%
5. Drummond BQ safe >99%
6. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe >99%
7. Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe >99%
8. Mirabel BQ safe >99%
9. Repentigny BQ safe >99%
10. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ likely 99%
11. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely 99%
12. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ likely 99%
13. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ likely 99%
14. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ likely 98%
15. Terrebonne BQ likely 98%
16. Jonquière BQ likely 97%
17. Salaberry–Suroît BQ likely 95%
18. La Pointe-de-l'Île BQ likely 93%
19. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ likely 92%
20. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ likely 90%
21. Saint-Jean BQ leaning 90%
22. Laurentides–Labelle BQ leaning 88%
23. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-Charlevoix BQ leaning 78%
24. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ leaning 72%
25. Montarville Toss up 66%
26. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up 62%
27. Beauport–Limoilou Toss up 60%
28. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Toss up 60%
29. Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up 59%
30. La Prairie Toss up 54%
31. Shefford Toss up 47%
32. Trois-Rivières Toss up 44%
33. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord Toss up 32%
34. Québec LPC leaning 28%
35. Hochelaga LPC leaning 26%
36. Châteauguay–Lacolle LPC leaning 25%
37. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC leaning 24%
38. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine LPC leaning 23%
39. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC leaning 20%
40. Sherbrooke LPC leaning 19%
41. Brome–Missisquoi LPC leaning 14%
42. Compton–Stanstead LPC leaning 10%
43. Saint-Maurice–Champlain LPC likely 9%
44. Montmagny–L'Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup CPC likely 7%
45. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles CPC likely 3%
46. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC likely 2%
47. Louis-Hébert LPC likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Montcalm BQ safe
2. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe
3. Joliette BQ safe
4. Manicouagan BQ safe
5. Drummond BQ safe
6. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe
7. Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe
8. Mirabel BQ safe
9. Repentigny BQ safe
10. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ likely
11. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely
12. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ likely
13. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ likely
14. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ likely
15. Terrebonne BQ likely
16. Jonquière BQ likely
17. Salaberry–Suroît BQ likely
18. La Pointe-de-l'Île BQ likely
19. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ likely
20. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ likely
21. Saint-Jean BQ leaning
22. Laurentides–Labelle BQ leaning
23. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-Charlevoix BQ leaning
24. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ leaning
25. Montarville Toss up
26. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up
27. Beauport–Limoilou Toss up
28. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Toss up
29. Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up
30. La Prairie Toss up
31. Shefford Toss up
32. Trois-Rivières Toss up
33. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord Toss up
34. Québec LPC leaning
35. Hochelaga LPC leaning
36. Châteauguay–Lacolle LPC leaning
37. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC leaning
38. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine LPC leaning
39. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC leaning
40. Sherbrooke LPC leaning
41. Brome–Missisquoi LPC leaning
42. Compton–Stanstead LPC leaning
43. Saint-Maurice–Champlain LPC likely
44. Montmagny–L'Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup CPC likely
45. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles CPC likely
46. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC likely
47. Louis-Hébert LPC likely



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