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St. Catharines (federal)
MP: Chris Bittle (LPC)
Latest projection: February 5, 2023
CPC leaning gain
St. Catharines
37% ± 7%
CPC
33% ± 7%
LPC
22% ± 6%
NDP
4% ± 3%
GPC
4% ± 3%
PPC
LPC 2021
37.82%
338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50%
100%
St. Catharines
72%
CPC
28%
LPC
<1%
NDP
Odds of winning | February 5, 2023
Popular vote projection | St. Catharines
LPC 33% ± 7%
CPC 37% ± 7%
NDP 22% ± 6%
GPC 4% ± 3%
Popular vote projection % | St. Catharines
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Odds of winning | St. Catharines
LPC 28%
CPC 72%
NDP <1%
GPC <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | St. Catharines
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
LPC
43.2%
40.2%
37.82%
33% ± 7%
CPC
37.6%
31.6%
32.64%
37% ± 7%
NDP
16.5%
20.7%
21.06%
22% ± 6%
PPC
0.0%
1.4%
6.61%
4% ± 3%
GPC
2.6%
6.1%
1.87%
4% ± 3%
BQ
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0% ± 0%