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Canada

Richmond Hill South



Latest projection: January 19, 2025
CPC likely
Richmond Hill South 51% ± 8%▼ CPC 33% ± 8%▲ LPC 10% ± 5%▼ NDP LPC 2021 47.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 19, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Richmond Hill South >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 19, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Recent electoral history | Richmond Hill South



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 43.4% 38.8% 51% ± 8% LPC 43.0% 47.8% 33% ± 8% NDP 8.8% 8.8% 10% ± 5% GPC 3.4% 0.0% 2% ± 2% PPC 1.0% 3.0% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.