338Canada | St. Catharines (Ontario federal district)





35089 - St. Catharines

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 111,690 residents
Population density: 2030 pop./km² (rank: 86 of 338)
Median household income: $57 692 (rank: 274 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Chris Bittle (LPC)



Latest projection (November 28, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | St. Catharines

Last update: November 28, 2021






Odds of winning | St. Catharines

Last update: November 28, 2021










Electoral history of St. Catharines



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | St. Catharines



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


St. Catharines


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
35.6% ± 6.5% 37.8% Within confidence interval
31.1% ± 6.2% 32.6% Within confidence interval
23.8% ± 5.4% 21.1% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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