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Brampton Centre



Latest projection: November 17, 2024
Toss up LPC/CPC
Brampton Centre 40% ± 8%▼ CPC 37% ± 8%▲ LPC 17% ± 6%▲ NDP LPC 2021 48.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton Centre 69%▼ CPC 31%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brampton Centre

LPC 37% ± 8% CPC 40% ± 8% NDP 17% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Brampton Centre 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 17% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 17% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 40% LPC 38% NDP 16% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 40% LPC 38% NDP 17% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 40% LPC 38% NDP 17% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 39% LPC 39% NDP 17% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 40% LPC 38% NDP 18% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 40% LPC 37% NDP 17% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 40% LPC 37% NDP 17% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 40% LPC 37% NDP 17% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 40% LPC 37% NDP 16% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 40% LPC 37% NDP 17% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 40% LPC 36% NDP 17% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 40% LPC 37% NDP 17% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 39% LPC 37% NDP 17% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 38% CPC 38% NDP 17% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 39% LPC 39% NDP 16% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 40% LPC 38% NDP 16% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 15% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 42% LPC 36% NDP 15% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 43% LPC 36% NDP 15% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 43% LPC 35% NDP 16% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 42% LPC 35% NDP 16% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 41% LPC 36% NDP 16% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 41% LPC 36% NDP 16% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 41% LPC 36% NDP 17% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 41% LPC 36% NDP 16% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 40% LPC 37% NDP 17% 2024-11-17

Odds of winning | Brampton Centre

LPC 31% CPC 69% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 62% LPC 38% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2024-11-17

Recent electoral history | Brampton Centre



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 48.5% 48.3% 37% ± 8% CPC 27.7% 31.4% 40% ± 8% NDP 16.9% 15.8% 17% ± 6% PPC 1.2% 3.6% 2% ± 3% GPC 4.9% 0.0% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.