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Recent electoral history | Brampton Centre


2019 2021 2025 Projection CPC 44% ± 8% 27.7% 31.4% 46.9% LPC 43% ± 8% 48.5% 48.3% 48.4% NDP 7% ± 4% 16.9% 15.8% 2.7% GPC 3% ± 3% 4.9% 0.0% 1.2% PPC 1% ± 2% 1.2% 3.6% 0.7%

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338Canada Brampton Centre projection

Latest update: January 18, 2026

Brampton Centre 36% 52% 44% ± 8% CPC 35% 51% 43% ± 8% LPC 3% 12% 7% ± 4% NDP 0% 6% 3% ± 3% GPC LPC 2025 48.4% 338Canada vote projection | January 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton Centre 54% CPC 46% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Brampton Centre

LPC 43% ± 8% CPC 44% ± 8% NDP 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Brampton Centre 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC IND January 18, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 47% CPC 42% NDP 6% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 47% CPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 47% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 48% CPC 47% NDP 3% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 48% CPC 47% NDP 3% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 48% CPC 47% NDP 3% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 48% CPC 47% NDP 3% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 48% CPC 47% NDP 3% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 49% CPC 47% NDP 3% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 49% CPC 46% NDP 3% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 49% CPC 46% NDP 3% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 49% CPC 46% NDP 3% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 49% CPC 46% NDP 3% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 50% CPC 45% NDP 3% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 50% CPC 45% NDP 3% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 50% CPC 45% NDP 3% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 50% CPC 45% NDP 3% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 50% CPC 44% NDP 4% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 50% CPC 44% NDP 4% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 49% CPC 45% NDP 4% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 49% CPC 45% NDP 4% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 48% CPC 46% NDP 4% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 48% CPC 45% NDP 4% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 47% CPC 46% NDP 4% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 46% LPC 46% NDP 4% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 47% LPC 46% NDP 4% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 46% LPC 46% NDP 4% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 47% LPC 46% NDP 4% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 46% CPC 46% NDP 4% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 47% CPC 46% NDP 4% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 47% CPC 46% NDP 4% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 47% CPC 46% NDP 4% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 46% CPC 46% NDP 4% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 46% CPC 46% NDP 4% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 48% CPC 45% NDP 4% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 47% CPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 LPC 47% CPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 LPC 44% CPC 44% NDP 7% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 LPC 44% CPC 44% NDP 7% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 44% LPC 43% NDP 7% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 44% LPC 43% NDP 7% 2026-01-18

Odds of winning | Brampton Centre

LPC 46% CPC 54% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP January 18, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 73% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 54% CPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 58% CPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 60% CPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 69% CPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 67% CPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 75% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 73% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 75% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 81% CPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 69% CPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 70% CPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 63% CPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 50% LPC 50% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 58% CPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 67% CPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 65% CPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 LPC 63% CPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 LPC 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 LPC 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2026-01-18


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Demographic data | Brampton Centre

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 74.3% English 8.4% Punjabi 2.2% Urdu 1.7% Portuguese 1.6% Hindi 1.6% Spanish 1.5% GujaratiBrampton CentreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 11.1% No diploma 27.0% High school 5.0% Trade 21.7% College / Cégep 3.4% Some university 20.6% Bachelor's 11.2% PostgraduateBrampton CentreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 63.9% Visible minority 36.1% Not visible minority 30.1% South Asian 16.6% Black 4.6% Filipino 3.4% Latin American 2.9% Other 1.8% MultipleBrampton CentreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 24.8% Catholic 17.5% No Religion 11.6% Hindu 11.5% Christian (n.o.s.) 10.4% Sikh 7.3% Muslim 3.3% Pentecostal 2.6% AnglicanBrampton CentreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 64.4% Owner 35.6% RenterBrampton CentreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 56.4% Employed 34.7% Not in labour force 8.9% UnemployedBrampton CentreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 99.0% Non-Indigenous 1.0% Indigenous identity 0.6% First Nations 0.3% MetisBrampton CentreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 83.3% Car / truck / van 11.9% Public transit 2.6% Other 2.0% Walking 0.3% BicycleBrampton CentreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.