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Canada

Brampton Centre


MP: Amandeep Sodhi (LPC)

Latest projection: July 6, 2025
Toss up LPC/CPC

Recent electoral history | Brampton Centre


2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 49% ± 9% 48.5% 48.3% 48.4% CPC 46% ± 9% 27.7% 31.4% 46.9% NDP 3% ± 3% 16.9% 15.8% 2.7% GPC 1% ± 2% 4.9% 0.0% 1.2% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.2% 3.6% 0.7%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Brampton-Centre


Brampton Centre 49% ± 9% LPC 46% ± 9% CPC 3% ± 3% NDP LPC 2025 48.4% 338Canada vote projection | July 6, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton Centre 66%▼ LPC 34%▲ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | July 6, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brampton Centre

LPC 49% ± 9% CPC 46% ± 9% NDP 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Brampton Centre 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 6, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 44% LPC 32% NDP 18% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 18% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 17% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 17% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 15% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 13% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 47% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 48% CPC 36% NDP 11% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 47% CPC 36% NDP 11% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 50% CPC 35% NDP 10% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 52% CPC 34% NDP 9% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 53% CPC 33% NDP 9% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 53% CPC 33% NDP 9% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 53% CPC 33% NDP 9% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 53% CPC 33% NDP 9% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 53% CPC 33% NDP 9% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 55% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 55% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 7% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 7% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 7% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 7% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 58% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 58% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 58% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 57% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 57% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 58% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 52% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 50% CPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 49% CPC 41% NDP 6% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 48% CPC 42% NDP 6% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 46% CPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 46% CPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 47% CPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 48% CPC 42% NDP 6% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 48% CPC 42% NDP 6% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 47% CPC 42% NDP 6% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 47% CPC 42% NDP 6% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 47% CPC 42% NDP 6% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 47% CPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 47% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 48% CPC 47% NDP 3% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 48% CPC 47% NDP 3% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 48% CPC 47% NDP 3% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 48% CPC 47% NDP 3% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 48% CPC 47% NDP 3% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 49% CPC 47% NDP 3% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 49% CPC 46% NDP 3% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 49% CPC 46% NDP 3% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 49% CPC 46% NDP 3% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 49% CPC 46% NDP 3% 2025-07-06 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Brampton Centre

LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 6, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 87% CPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 79% CPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 65% CPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 65% CPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 69% CPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 73% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 73% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 73% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 54% CPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 58% CPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 60% CPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 69% CPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 67% CPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader