338Canada | Sarnia–Lambton (Ontario federal district)




35091 - Sarnia–Lambton

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 105,340 residents
Population density: 71.3 pop./km² (rank: 207 of 338)
Median household income: $71 267 (rank: 153 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Marilyn Gladu (CPC)



Latest projection (July 25, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Sarnia–Lambton

Last update: July 25, 2021








Odds of winning | Sarnia–Lambton

Last update: July 25, 2021







Electoral history of Sarnia–Lambton



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Map of Sarnia–Lambton




(Credits: Elections Canada)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Sarnia–Lambton



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Sarnia–Lambton


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
35.8% ± 8.3% 49.4% Outside confidence interval
34.6% ± 8.7% 21.8% Outside confidence interval
19.8% ± 6.0% 20.8% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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