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Canada


Sarnia–Lambton (federal)


MP: Marilyn Gladu (CPC)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

CPC safe hold
Sarnia–Lambton 54% ± 8% CPC 21% ± 6% NDP 16% ± 5% LPC 5% ± 5% PPC 4% ± 3% GPC CPC 2021 46.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Sarnia–Lambton >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Sarnia–Lambton

LPC 16% ± 5% CPC 54% ± 8% NDP 21% ± 6% PPC 5% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Sarnia–Lambton 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP PPC

Odds of winning | Sarnia–Lambton

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Sarnia–Lambton



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 38.8% 49.4% 46.3% 54% ± 8% NDP 31.1% 21.8% 21.03% 21% ± 6% LPC 27.3% 20.8% 19.13% 16% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 2.7% 11.2% 5% ± 5% GPC 2.8% 4.3% 1.49% 4% ± 3% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%