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Canada

Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma


MP elect: Terry Sheehan (LPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
LPC leaning

Candidates | Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma


Liberal Terry Sheehan*
Conservative Hugh Stevenson
NDP Laura Mayer
Green Robyn Kiki Eshkibok
Christian Heritage James Collins

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma 47% ± 0%▲ LPC 45% ± 0%▲ CPC 7% ± 0%▼ NDP LPC 2025 47.3% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma 72%▲ LPC 28%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma

LPC 47% ± 0% CPC 45% ± 0% NDP 7% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 51% LPC 28% NDP 16% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 51% LPC 30% NDP 15% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 13% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 14% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 13% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 13% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 13% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 13% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 11% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 11% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 11% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 10% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 48% LPC 38% NDP 10% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 49% LPC 38% NDP 10% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 50% LPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 50% LPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 49% LPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 49% LPC 40% NDP 9% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 49% LPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 9% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 9% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 49% LPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 49% LPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 9% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 47% LPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 48% LPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 47% LPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 47% LPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 47% LPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 47% LPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 47% LPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 48% LPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 49% LPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 48% LPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 49% LPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 49% LPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 9% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 9% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 10% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 47% LPC 40% NDP 10% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 10% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 10% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 44% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 47% CPC 45% NDP 7% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma

LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 47% ± 0% 33.9% 32.4% 47.3% CPC 45% ± 0% 31.6% 35.6% 44.9% NDP 7% ± 0% 27.7% 25.9% 6.6% GPC 1% ± 0% 4.8% 0.6% 0.8% IND 0% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PPC 0% ± 0% 1.9% 5.2% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.