338Canada.com - Conservative Party of Canada






338Canada Projection for the Conservative Party of Canada

Latest update: May 12th 2019



Regional Popular Vote Projection







Regional Seat Projection







National Seat Projection






Ordered list of districts

(Percentages indicate the odds of winning the districts according to the 338Canada Projection of May 12th 2019.)

#1 48002 Battle River–Crowfoot Safe CPC>99%
#2 48003 Bow River Safe CPC>99%
#3 48022 Foothills Safe CPC>99%
#4 48029 Red Deer–Mountain View Safe CPC>99%
#5 48024 Grande Prairie–Mackenzie Safe CPC>99%
#6 48008 Calgary Midnapore Safe CPC>99%
#7 48033 Sturgeon River–Parkland Safe CPC>99%
#8 48025 Lakeland Safe CPC>99%
#9 48034 Yellowhead Safe CPC>99%
#10 47013 Souris–Moose Mountain Safe CPC>99%
#11 47002 Cypress Hills–Grasslands Safe CPC>99%
#12 48030 Red Deer–Lacombe Safe CPC>99%
#13 48007 Calgary Heritage Safe CPC>99%
#14 47001 Battlefords–Lloydminster Safe CPC>99%
#15 48021 Edmonton–Wetaskiwin Safe CPC>99%
#16 48027 Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner Safe CPC>99%
#17 48032 Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan Safe CPC>99%
#18 48011 Calgary Shepard Safe CPC>99%
#19 47004 Carlton Trail–Eagle Creek Safe CPC>99%
#20 48028 Peace River–Westlock Safe CPC>99%
#21 48001 Banff–Airdrie Safe CPC>99%
#22 48009 Calgary Nose Hill Safe CPC>99%
#23 48023 Fort McMurray–Cold Lake Safe CPC>99%
#24 46007 Portage–Lisgar Safe CPC>99%
#25 48012 Calgary Signal Hill Safe CPC>99%
#26 47014 Yorkton–Melville Safe CPC>99%
#27 48010 Calgary Rocky Ridge Safe CPC>99%
#28 48031 St. Albert–Edmonton Safe CPC>99%
#29 46010 Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman Safe CPC>99%
#30 46004 Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa Safe CPC>99%
#31 59024 Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies Safe CPC>99%
#32 24010 Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis Safe CPC>99%
#33 47006 Prince Albert Safe CPC>99%
#34 48018 Edmonton Riverbend Safe CPC>99%
#35 47008 Regina–Qu'Appelle Safe CPC>99%
#36 24045 Louis-Saint-Laurent Safe CPC>99%
#37 48006 Calgary Forest Lawn Safe CPC>99%
#38 48020 Edmonton West Safe CPC>99%
#39 24042 Lévis–Lotbinière Safe CPC>99%
#40 24058 Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier Safe CPC>99%
#41 59001 Abbotsford Safe CPC>99%
#42 24019 Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles Safe CPC>99%
#43 47005 Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan Safe CPC>99%
#44 46001 Brandon–Souris Safe CPC>99%
#45 46008 Provencher Safe CPC>99%
#46 48026 Lethbridge Safe CPC>99%
#47 47011 Saskatoon–University Safe CPC>99%
#48 47010 Saskatoon–Grasswood Safe CPC>99%
#49 48005 Calgary Confederation Safe CPC>99%
#50 24061 Richmond–Arthabaska Safe CPC>99%
#51 35048 Lambton–Kent–Middlesex Safe CPC>99%
#52 35025 Elgin–Middlesex–London Safe CPC>99%
#53 48004 Calgary Centre Safe CPC>99%
#54 48017 Edmonton Mill Woods Safe CPC>99%
#55 48016 Edmonton Manning Safe CPC>99%
#56 13010 Tobique–Mactaquac Safe CPC>99%
#57 24047 Mégantic–L'Érable Safe CPC>99%
#58 59016 Langley–Aldergrove Safe CPC>99%
#59 59020 North Okanagan–Shuswap Safe CPC>99%
#60 13008 New Brunswick Southwest Safe CPC>99%
#61 46006 Kildonan–St. Paul Safe CPC>99%
#62 35049 Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston Safe CPC>99%
#63 35068 Niagara West Safe CPC>99%
#64 35034 Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock Safe CPC>99%
#65 35080 Oxford Safe CPC>99%
#66 35113 Wellington–Halton Hills Safe CPC>99%
#67 59006 Chilliwack–Hope Safe CPC>99%
#68 48013 Calgary Skyview Safe CPC>99%
#69 13004 Fundy Royal Safe CPC>99%
#70 24022 Chicoutimi–Le Fjord Safe CPC>99%
#71 35023 Durham Safe CPC>99%
#72 13006 Miramichi–Grand Lake Safe CPC>99%
#73 35086 Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke Safe CPC>99%
#74 35050 Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes Safe CPC>99%
#75 59004 Cariboo–Prince George Safe CPC>99%
#76 13009 Saint John–Rothesay Safe CPC>99%
#77 35004 Barrie–Innisfil Safe CPC>99%
#78 47007 Regina–Lewvan Safe CPC>99%
#79 24020 Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-Charlevoix Safe CPC>99%
#80 46005 Elmwood–Transcona Safe CPC>99%
#81 35067 Niagara Falls Safe CPC>99%
#82 48014 Edmonton Centre Safe CPC>99%
#83 35099 Simcoe–Grey Safe CPC>99%
#84 35014 Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound Safe CPC>99%
#85 35119 York–Simcoe Safe CPC>99%
#86 35033 Haldimand–Norfolk Safe CPC>99%
#87 59005 Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola Safe CPC>99%
#88 35022 Dufferin–Caledon Safe CPC>99%
#89 35013 Brantford–Brant Safe CPC>99%
#90 59025 Richmond Centre Safe CPC>99%
#91 35102 Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry Safe CPC>99%
#92 35104 Thornhill Safe CPC>99%
#93 24008 Beauport–Limoilou Safe CPC>99%
#94 46002 Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley Safe CPC>99%
#95 35040 Huron–Bruce Likely CPC99%
#96 35083 Perth–Wellington Likely CPC99%
#97 35088 Carleton Likely CPC99%
#98 35056 Markham–Unionville Likely CPC99%
#99 35017 Chatham-Kent–Leamington Likely CPC99%
#100 35057 Milton Likely CPC98%
#101 35030 Flamborough–Glanbrook Likely CPC98%
#102 35082 Parry Sound–Muskoka Likely CPC98%
#103 35100 Simcoe North Likely CPC98%
#104 59013 Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo Likely CPC98%
#105 47003 Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River Likely CPC98%
#106 24035 Lac-Saint-Jean Likely CPC97%
#107 59030 South Surrey–White Rock Likely CPC96%
#108 47012 Saskatoon West Likely CPC96%
#109 59017 Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon Likely CPC96%
#110 24051 Montmagny–L'Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup Likely CPC95%
#111 35046 Kitchener–Conestoga Likely CPC94%
#112 48015 Edmonton Griesbach Likely CPC94%
#113 59008 Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam Likely CPC94%
#114 35005 Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte Likely CPC94%
#115 35039 Hastings–Lennox and Addington Likely CPC93%
#116 59014 Kelowna–Lake Country Likely CPC92%
#117 11003 Egmont Likely CPC92%
#118 59022 Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Likely CPC91%
#119 35003 Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Likely CPC90%
#120 59031 Steveston–Richmond East Likely CPC90%
#121 35065 Newmarket–Aurora Likely CPC89%
#122 59015 Kootenay–Columbia Likely CPC88%
#123 35114 Whitby Likely CPC88%
#124 35118 York Centre Likely CPC88%
#125 35043 King–Vaughan Likely CPC88%
#126 35073 Oakville North–Burlington Likely CPC87%
#127 35071 Northumberland–Peterborough South Likely CPC87%
#128 35015 Burlington Likely CPC87%
#129 46013 Winnipeg South Likely CPC87%
#130 35087 Richmond Hill Likely CPC86%
#131 12009 South Shore–St. Margarets Likely CPC83%
#132 35091 Sarnia–Lambton Likely CPC83%
#133 35111 Vaughan–Woodbridge Likely CPC83%
#134 35016 Cambridge Likely CPC81%
#135 12003 Cumberland–Colchester Leaning CPC80%
#136 35024 Eglinton–Lawrence Leaning CPC78%
#137 12002 Central Nova Leaning CPC77%
#138 35089 St. Catharines Leaning CPC77%
#139 35061 Mississauga–Lakeshore Leaning CPC76%
#140 35072 Oakville Leaning CPC76%
#141 35074 Oshawa Leaning CPC76%
#142 35047 Kitchener South–Hespeler Leaning CPC76%
#143 59007 Cloverdale–Langley City Leaning CPC74%
#144 35063 Mississauga–Streetsville Leaning CPC72%
#145 59002 Burnaby North–Seymour Leaning CPC67%
#146 10003 Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame Leaning CPC66%
#147 47009 Regina–Wascana Leaning CPC65%
#148 60001 Yukon Leaning CPC61%
#149 35093 Scarborough–Agincourt Leaning CPC60%
#150 35084 Peterborough–Kawartha Leaning CPC60%
#151 35060 Mississauga–Erin Mills Toss up58%
#152 62001 Nunavut Toss up57%
#153 24044 Louis-Hébert Toss up56%
#154 59023 Port Moody–Coquitlam Toss up56%
#155 24025 Drummond Toss up55%
#156 35054 Markham–Stouffville Toss up55%
#157 46009 Saint Boniface–Saint Vital Toss up55%
#158 35053 London West Toss up53%
#159 59029 South Okanagan–West Kootenay Toss up52%
#160 35041 Kanata–Carleton Toss up50%
#161 24059 Québec Toss up49%
#162 35085 Pickering–Uxbridge Toss up49%
#163 59009 Courtenay–Alberni Toss up47%
#164 13003 Fredericton Toss up47%
#165 12011 West Nova Toss up46%
#166 59011 Delta Toss up46%
#167 13007 Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe Toss up45%
#168 35011 Brampton South Toss up44%
#169 59040 Vancouver South Toss up44%
#170 46014 Winnipeg South Centre Toss up44%
#171 35020 Don Valley North Toss up42%
#172 24076 Trois-Rivières Toss up42%
#173 35008 Brampton Centre Toss up40%
#174 10004 Labrador Leaning LPC38%
#175 35010 Brampton North Leaning LPC37%
#176 35055 Markham–Thornhill Leaning LPC36%
#177 35012 Brampton West Leaning LPC36%
#178 35021 Don Valley West Leaning LPC34%
#179 35027 Etobicoke Centre Leaning LPC34%
#180 24032 Jonquière Toss up33%
#181 35115 Willowdale Leaning LPC33%
#182 59012 Fleetwood–Port Kells Leaning LPC32%
#183 35064 Nepean Leaning LPC31%
#184 61001 Northwest Territories Leaning LPC31%
#185 35092 Sault Ste. Marie Leaning LPC30%
#186 35001 Ajax Leaning LPC27%
#187 35059 Mississauga East–Cooksville Leaning LPC26%
#188 24066 Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot Leaning LPC26%
#189 10005 Long Range Mountains Leaning LPC26%
#190 35006 Bay of Quinte Leaning LPC24%
#191 35066 Niagara Centre Leaning NDP24%
#192 59036 Vancouver Granville Leaning LPC24%
#193 11001 Cardigan Leaning LPC24%
#194 12006 Halifax West Leaning LPC22%
#195 35038 Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas Leaning LPC22%
#196 35031 Glengarry–Prescott–Russell Likely LPC20%
#197 35112 Waterloo Likely LPC18%
#198 35094 Scarborough Centre Likely LPC18%
#199 13005 Madawaska–Restigouche Likely LPC17%
#200 12007 Kings–Hants Likely LPC17%
#201 11002 Charlottetown Likely LPC16%
#202 12008 Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook Toss up15%
#203 11004 Malpeque Toss up13%
#204 35045 Kitchener Centre Likely LPC13%
#205 59037 North Island–Powell River Likely NDP13%
#206 35058 Mississauga Centre Likely LPC13%
#207 35042 Kenora Likely NDP12%
#208 35026 Essex Likely NDP12%
#209 35028 Etobicoke–Lakeshore Likely LPC11%
#210 35052 London North Centre Likely LPC11%
#211 59010 Cowichan–Malahat–Langford Toss up10%
#212 35032 Guelph Toss up7%
#213 24007 Beauce Likely PPC7%
#214 48019 Edmonton Strathcona Likely NDP6%
#215 35096 Scarborough North Likely LPC6%
#216 59026 Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke Likely GPC5%
#217 35019 Don Valley East Likely LPC5%
#218 59021 North Vancouver Likely LPC5%