Conservative Party of Canada
Latest update: April 21, 2024
Leader | Pierre Poilievre |
National popular vote in 2021 | 33.7% |
Current vote projection | 41.4% ± 4.0% |
Current number of MP's | 126 |
Current seat projection | 207 [176-231] |
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.
Popular vote projection | April 21, 2024
Seat projection | April 21, 2024
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Conservative Party of Canada
Rank | Electoral districts | Province | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Souris—Moose Mountain | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
2. | Battle River—Crowfoot | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
3. | Bow River | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
4. | Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
5. | Foothills | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
6. | Grande Prairie | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
7. | Ponoka—Didsbury | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
8. | Yorkton—Melville | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
9. | Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
10. | Huron—Bruce | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
11. | Lakeland | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
12. | Fort McMurray—Cold Lake | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
13. | Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
14. | Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
15. | Beauce | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
16. | Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
17. | Perth—Wellington | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
18. | York—Durham | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
19. | Thornhill | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
20. | Prince Albert | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
21. | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
22. | Tobique—Mactaquac | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
23. | Leduc—Wetaskiwin | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
24. | Carleton | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
25. | Red Deer | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
26. | Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
27. | Peace River—Westlock | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
28. | Cariboo—Prince George | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
29. | Riding Mountain | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
30. | Calgary Shephard | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
31. | Brandon—Souris | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
32. | Lethbridge | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
33. | Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
34. | Regina—Qu’Appelle | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
35. | Acadie—Annapolis | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
36. | Richmond—Arthabaska | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
37. | Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
38. | Elgin—St. Thomas—London South | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
39. | Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
40. | Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
41. | Parkland | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
42. | Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
43. | Calgary Midnapore | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
44. | Calgary Signal Hill | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
45. | Lanark—Frontenac | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
46. | Airdrie—Cochrane | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
47. | Calgary Heritage | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
48. | Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
49. | New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
50. | Haldimand—Norfolk | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
51. | Dufferin—Caledon | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
52. | Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
53. | Yellowhead | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
54. | Barrie South—Innisfil | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
55. | Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
56. | Cumberland—Colchester | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
57. | Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
58. | Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
59. | Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
60. | Oxford | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
61. | Saint John—St. Croix | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
62. | Simcoe—Grey | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
63. | Parry Sound—Muskoka | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
64. | King—Vaughan | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
65. | Middlesex—London | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
66. | Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
67. | Portage—Lisgar | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
68. | Chilliwack—Hope | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
69. | Fundy Royal | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
70. | Wellington—Halton Hills North | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
71. | Miramichi—Grand Lake | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
72. | St. Albert—Sturgeon River | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
73. | Abbotsford—South Langley | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
74. | Calgary Nose Hill | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
75. | Chatham-Kent—Leamington | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
76. | Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
77. | Bowmanville—Oshawa North | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
78. | Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
79. | Langley Township—Fraser Heights | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
80. | Calgary East | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
81. | Niagara West | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
82. | Northumberland—Clarke | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
83. | Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
84. | Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
85. | Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
86. | Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
87. | Calgary Crowfoot | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
88. | Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
89. | South Surrey—White Rock | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
90. | Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
91. | Kelowna | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
92. | Simcoe North | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
93. | South Shore—St. Margarets | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
94. | Provencher | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
95. | Calgary Centre | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
96. | Bay of Quinte | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
97. | Lévis—Lotbinière | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
98. | Regina—Wascana | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
99. | Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
100. | Peterborough | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
101. | Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
102. | Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
103. | Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
104. | Edmonton West | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
105. | Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
106. | Niagara South | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
107. | Essex | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
108. | Edmonton Riverbend | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
109. | Calgary Confederation | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
110. | Oshawa | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
111. | Kildonan—St. Paul | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
112. | Edmonton Gateway | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
113. | Central Newfoundland | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
114. | Kenora—Kiiwetinoong | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
115. | Kitchener South—Hespeler | CPC safe gain | >99% | ||
116. | Saskatoon South | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
117. | Kitchener—Conestoga | CPC safe gain | >99% | ||
118. | Edmonton Northwest | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
119. | Milton East—Halton Hills South | CPC safe gain | >99% | ||
120. | Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay | CPC safe gain | >99% | ||
121. | Cloverdale—Langley City | CPC safe gain | >99% | ||
122. | Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
123. | London West | CPC safe gain | >99% | ||
124. | North Island—Powell River | CPC safe gain | >99% | ||
125. | Richmond Centre—Marpole | CPC safe gain | >99% | ||
126. | Skeena—Bulkley Valley | CPC safe gain | >99% | ||
127. | West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country | CPC safe gain | >99% | ||
128. | Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill | CPC safe gain | >99% | ||
129. | Calgary Skyview | CPC safe hold | >99% | ||
130. | Long Range Mountains | CPC safe gain | >99% | ||
131. | Cambridge | CPC safe gain | >99% | ||
132. | Port Moody—Coquitlam | CPC safe gain | >99% | ||
133. | Saint John—Kennebecasis | CPC likely gain | 99% | ||
134. | Fredericton—Oromocto | CPC likely gain | 99% | ||
135. | Saskatoon—University | CPC likely hold | 99% | ||
136. | Terra Nova—The Peninsulas | CPC likely gain | 99% | ||
137. | Nipissing—Timiskaming | CPC likely gain | 99% | ||
138. | St. Catharines | CPC likely gain | 99% | ||
139. | Newmarket—Aurora | CPC likely gain | 99% | ||
140. | Vaughan—Woodbridge | CPC likely gain | 99% | ||
141. | Thunder Bay—Rainy River | CPC likely gain | 99% | ||
142. | Mississauga—Lakeshore | CPC likely gain | 99% | ||
143. | Markham—Unionville | CPC likely gain | 99% | ||
144. | Sydney—Glace Bay | CPC likely gain | 99% | ||
145. | Regina—Lewvan | CPC likely hold | 99% | ||
146. | Richmond East—Steveston | CPC likely gain | 99% | ||
147. | Oakville East | CPC likely gain | 99% | ||
148. | Kanata | CPC likely gain | 99% | ||
149. | Edmonton Manning | CPC likely hold | 98% | ||
150. | Delta | CPC likely gain | 98% | ||
151. | Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam | CPC likely gain | 98% | ||
152. | Burlington | CPC likely gain | 98% | ||
153. | Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish | CPC likely gain | 97% | ||
154. | Oakville West | CPC likely gain | 96% | ||
155. | Richmond Hill South | CPC likely gain | 96% | ||
156. | Malpeque | CPC likely gain | 96% | ||
157. | York Centre | CPC likely gain | 96% | ||
158. | Central Nova | CPC likely gain | 95% | ||
159. | Hamilton East—Stoney Creek | CPC likely gain | 95% | ||
160. | Eglinton—Lawrence | CPC likely gain | 95% | ||
161. | Chicoutimi—Le Fjord | CPC likely hold | 94% | ||
162. | Edmonton Southeast | CPC likely hold | 94% | ||
163. | Burlington North—Milton West | CPC likely gain | 94% | ||
164. | Nanaimo—Ladysmith | CPC likely gain | 93% | ||
165. | Whitby | CPC likely gain | 93% | ||
166. | Sudbury | CPC likely gain | 92% | ||
167. | Saskatoon West | CPC likely hold | 91% | ||
168. | Winnipeg West | CPC leaning hold | 90% | ||
169. | Courtenay—Alberni | CPC leaning gain | 89% | ||
170. | Nepean | CPC leaning gain | 89% | ||
171. | Kings—Hants | CPC leaning gain | 87% | ||
172. | Mississauga—Streetsville | CPC leaning gain | 87% | ||
173. | Etobicoke Centre | CPC leaning gain | 85% | ||
174. | Vancouver Quadra | CPC leaning gain | 85% | ||
175. | Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore | CPC leaning gain | 85% | ||
176. | Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt | CPC leaning gain | 84% | ||
177. | Pickering—Brooklin | CPC leaning gain | 84% | ||
178. | Willowdale | CPC leaning gain | 83% | ||
179. | North Vancouver—Capilano | CPC leaning gain | 82% | ||
180. | Labrador | CPC leaning gain | 81% | ||
181. | Etobicoke—Lakeshore | CPC leaning gain | 80% | ||
182. | Egmont | CPC leaning gain | 80% | ||
183. | Burnaby North—Seymour | CPC leaning gain | 79% | ||
184. | Prescott—Russell—Cumberland | CPC leaning gain | 79% | ||
185. | Avalon | CPC leaning gain | 78% | ||
186. | Charlottetown | CPC leaning gain | 78% | ||
187. | Edmonton Centre | CPC leaning hold | 77% | ||
188. | Vancouver Granville | CPC leaning gain | 76% | ||
189. | Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas | CPC leaning gain | 74% | ||
190. | Cowichan—Malahat—Langford | CPC leaning gain | 72% | ||
191. | Markham—Stouffville | CPC leaning gain | 71% | ||
192. | Fleetwood—Port Kells | Toss up LPC/CPC | 68% | ||
193. | Brampton Centre | Toss up LPC/CPC | 67% | ||
194. | Mississauga—Erin Mills | Toss up LPC/CPC | 66% | ||
195. | Trois-Rivières | Toss up CPC/BQ | 66% | ||
196. | Cardigan | Toss up LPC/CPC | 64% | ||
197. | Hamilton Mountain | Toss up CPC/NDP | 63% | ||
198. | London Centre | Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP | 61% | ||
199. | Brampton North—Caledon | Toss up LPC/CPC | 61% | ||
200. | Louis-Hébert | Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ | 59% | ||
201. | Mississauga East—Cooksville | Toss up LPC/CPC | 58% | ||
202. | Ottawa West—Nepean | Toss up LPC/CPC | 55% | ||
203. | Kingston and the Islands | Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP | 53% | ||
204. | Waterloo | Toss up LPC/CPC | 53% | ||
205. | Yukon | Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP | 52% | ||
206. | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park | Toss up LPC/CPC | 51% | ||
207. | Don Valley North | Toss up LPC/CPC | 50% | ||
208. | Beauport—Limoilou | Toss up CPC/BQ | 49% | ||
209. | Thunder Bay—Superior North | Toss up LPC/CPC | 49% | ||
210. | Guelph | Toss up LPC/CPC | 46% | ||
211. | Sackville—Bedford—Preston | Toss up LPC/CPC | 45% | ||
212. | Edmonton Griesbach | Toss up CPC/NDP | 43% | ||
213. | Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk | Toss up CPC/NDP | 42% | ||
214. | Mississauga—Malton | Toss up LPC/CPC | 39% | ||
215. | Calgary McKnight | Toss up LPC/CPC | 38% | ||
216. | Montmorency—Charlevoix | Toss up CPC/BQ | 35% | ||
217. | Vancouver Centre | Toss up LPC/CPC | 34% | ||
218. | Madawaska—Restigouche | Toss up LPC/CPC | 32% | ||
219. | Burnaby Central | Toss up CPC/NDP | 30% | ||
220. | Ottawa South | LPC leaning hold | 25% | ||
221. | Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby | LPC leaning hold | 25% | ||
222. | Brampton South | LPC leaning hold | 25% | ||
223. | Toronto—St. Paul’s | LPC leaning hold | 25% | ||
224. | Brampton East | LPC leaning hold | 23% | ||
225. | Orléans | LPC leaning hold | 23% | ||
226. | Mississauga Centre | LPC leaning hold | 21% | ||
227. | Spadina—Harbourfront | Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP | 19% | ||
228. | Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River | LPC leaning hold | 18% | ||
229. | Don Valley West | LPC leaning hold | 16% | ||
230. | Scarborough—Agincourt | LPC leaning hold | 15% | ||
231. | Brampton West | LPC leaning hold | 11% | ||
232. | Kitchener Centre | GPC likely hold | 10% | ||
233. | Surrey Centre | LPC leaning hold | 10% | ||
234. | Ajax | LPC likely hold | 9% | ||
235. | Moncton—Dieppe | LPC likely hold | 8% | ||
236. | Halifax West | LPC leaning hold | 8% | ||
237. | Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke | NDP likely hold | 7% | ||
238. | Toronto—Danforth | Toss up LPC/NDP | 7% | ||
239. | Winnipeg South | LPC likely hold | 6% | ||
240. | London—Fanshawe | NDP likely hold | 5% | ||
241. | Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi | LPC likely hold | 5% | ||
242. | Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East | LPC likely hold | 4% | ||
243. | St. Boniface—St. Vital | LPC likely hold | 3% | ||
244. | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville | NDP likely hold | 2% | ||
245. | Etobicoke North | LPC likely hold | 2% | ||
246. | Winnipeg South Centre | LPC likely hold | 2% | ||
247. | Jonquière | BQ likely hold | 2% | ||
248. | Churchill—Kewatinook Aski | NDP likely hold | 2% | ||
249. | Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester | LPC likely hold | 2% | ||
250. | Markham—Thornhill | LPC likely hold | 1% |
Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
---|---|---|
1. | Souris—Moose Mountain | CPC safe hold |
2. | Battle River—Crowfoot | CPC safe hold |
3. | Bow River | CPC safe hold |
4. | Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley | CPC safe hold |
5. | Foothills | CPC safe hold |
6. | Grande Prairie | CPC safe hold |
7. | Ponoka—Didsbury | CPC safe hold |
8. | Yorkton—Melville | CPC safe hold |
9. | Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies | CPC safe hold |
10. | Huron—Bruce | CPC safe hold |
11. | Lakeland | CPC safe hold |
12. | Fort McMurray—Cold Lake | CPC safe hold |
13. | Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry | CPC safe hold |
14. | Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek | CPC safe hold |
15. | Beauce | CPC safe hold |
16. | Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner | CPC safe hold |
17. | Perth—Wellington | CPC safe hold |
18. | York—Durham | CPC safe hold |
19. | Thornhill | CPC safe hold |
20. | Prince Albert | CPC safe hold |
21. | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | CPC safe hold |
22. | Tobique—Mactaquac | CPC safe hold |
23. | Leduc—Wetaskiwin | CPC safe hold |
24. | Carleton | CPC safe hold |
25. | Red Deer | CPC safe hold |
26. | Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes | CPC safe hold |
27. | Peace River—Westlock | CPC safe hold |
28. | Cariboo—Prince George | CPC safe hold |
29. | Riding Mountain | CPC safe hold |
30. | Calgary Shephard | CPC safe hold |
31. | Brandon—Souris | CPC safe hold |
32. | Lethbridge | CPC safe hold |
33. | Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke | CPC safe hold |
34. | Regina—Qu’Appelle | CPC safe hold |
35. | Acadie—Annapolis | CPC safe hold |
36. | Richmond—Arthabaska | CPC safe hold |
37. | Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière | CPC safe hold |
38. | Elgin—St. Thomas—London South | CPC safe hold |
39. | Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan | CPC safe hold |
40. | Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes | CPC safe hold |
41. | Parkland | CPC safe hold |
42. | Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan | CPC safe hold |
43. | Calgary Midnapore | CPC safe hold |
44. | Calgary Signal Hill | CPC safe hold |
45. | Lanark—Frontenac | CPC safe hold |
46. | Airdrie—Cochrane | CPC safe hold |
47. | Calgary Heritage | CPC safe hold |
48. | Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake | CPC safe hold |
49. | New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury | CPC safe hold |
50. | Haldimand—Norfolk | CPC safe hold |
51. | Dufferin—Caledon | CPC safe hold |
52. | Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna | CPC safe hold |
53. | Yellowhead | CPC safe hold |
54. | Barrie South—Innisfil | CPC safe hold |
55. | Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman | CPC safe hold |
56. | Cumberland—Colchester | CPC safe hold |
57. | Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford | CPC safe hold |
58. | Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong | CPC safe hold |
59. | Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte | CPC safe hold |
60. | Oxford | CPC safe hold |
61. | Saint John—St. Croix | CPC safe hold |
62. | Simcoe—Grey | CPC safe hold |
63. | Parry Sound—Muskoka | CPC safe hold |
64. | King—Vaughan | CPC safe hold |
65. | Middlesex—London | CPC safe hold |
66. | Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga | CPC safe hold |
67. | Portage—Lisgar | CPC safe hold |
68. | Chilliwack—Hope | CPC safe hold |
69. | Fundy Royal | CPC safe hold |
70. | Wellington—Halton Hills North | CPC safe hold |
71. | Miramichi—Grand Lake | CPC safe hold |
72. | St. Albert—Sturgeon River | CPC safe hold |
73. | Abbotsford—South Langley | CPC safe hold |
74. | Calgary Nose Hill | CPC safe hold |
75. | Chatham-Kent—Leamington | CPC safe hold |
76. | Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies | CPC safe hold |
77. | Bowmanville—Oshawa North | CPC safe hold |
78. | Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North | CPC safe hold |
79. | Langley Township—Fraser Heights | CPC safe hold |
80. | Calgary East | CPC safe hold |
81. | Niagara West | CPC safe hold |
82. | Northumberland—Clarke | CPC safe hold |
83. | Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee | CPC safe hold |
84. | Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk | CPC safe hold |
85. | Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies | CPC safe hold |
86. | Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola | CPC safe hold |
87. | Calgary Crowfoot | CPC safe hold |
88. | Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier | CPC safe hold |
89. | South Surrey—White Rock | CPC safe hold |
90. | Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis | CPC safe hold |
91. | Kelowna | CPC safe hold |
92. | Simcoe North | CPC safe hold |
93. | South Shore—St. Margarets | CPC safe hold |
94. | Provencher | CPC safe hold |
95. | Calgary Centre | CPC safe hold |
96. | Bay of Quinte | CPC safe hold |
97. | Lévis—Lotbinière | CPC safe hold |
98. | Regina—Wascana | CPC safe hold |
99. | Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations | CPC safe hold |
100. | Peterborough | CPC safe hold |
101. | Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake | CPC safe hold |
102. | Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles | CPC safe hold |
103. | Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge | CPC safe hold |
104. | Edmonton West | CPC safe hold |
105. | Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma | CPC safe hold |
106. | Niagara South | CPC safe hold |
107. | Essex | CPC safe hold |
108. | Edmonton Riverbend | CPC safe hold |
109. | Calgary Confederation | CPC safe hold |
110. | Oshawa | CPC safe hold |
111. | Kildonan—St. Paul | CPC safe hold |
112. | Edmonton Gateway | CPC safe hold |
113. | Central Newfoundland | CPC safe hold |
114. | Kenora—Kiiwetinoong | CPC safe hold |
115. | Kitchener South—Hespeler | CPC safe gain |
116. | Saskatoon South | CPC safe hold |
117. | Kitchener—Conestoga | CPC safe gain |
118. | Edmonton Northwest | CPC safe hold |
119. | Milton East—Halton Hills South | CPC safe gain |
120. | Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay | CPC safe gain |
121. | Cloverdale—Langley City | CPC safe gain |
122. | Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata | CPC safe hold |
123. | London West | CPC safe gain |
124. | North Island—Powell River | CPC safe gain |
125. | Richmond Centre—Marpole | CPC safe gain |
126. | Skeena—Bulkley Valley | CPC safe gain |
127. | West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country | CPC safe gain |
128. | Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill | CPC safe gain |
129. | Calgary Skyview | CPC safe hold |
130. | Long Range Mountains | CPC safe gain |
131. | Cambridge | CPC safe gain |
132. | Port Moody—Coquitlam | CPC safe gain |
133. | Saint John—Kennebecasis | CPC likely gain |
134. | Fredericton—Oromocto | CPC likely gain |
135. | Saskatoon—University | CPC likely hold |
136. | Terra Nova—The Peninsulas | CPC likely gain |
137. | Nipissing—Timiskaming | CPC likely gain |
138. | St. Catharines | CPC likely gain |
139. | Newmarket—Aurora | CPC likely gain |
140. | Vaughan—Woodbridge | CPC likely gain |
141. | Thunder Bay—Rainy River | CPC likely gain |
142. | Mississauga—Lakeshore | CPC likely gain |
143. | Markham—Unionville | CPC likely gain |
144. | Sydney—Glace Bay | CPC likely gain |
145. | Regina—Lewvan | CPC likely hold |
146. | Richmond East—Steveston | CPC likely gain |
147. | Oakville East | CPC likely gain |
148. | Kanata | CPC likely gain |
149. | Edmonton Manning | CPC likely hold |
150. | Delta | CPC likely gain |
151. | Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam | CPC likely gain |
152. | Burlington | CPC likely gain |
153. | Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish | CPC likely gain |
154. | Oakville West | CPC likely gain |
155. | Richmond Hill South | CPC likely gain |
156. | Malpeque | CPC likely gain |
157. | York Centre | CPC likely gain |
158. | Central Nova | CPC likely gain |
159. | Hamilton East—Stoney Creek | CPC likely gain |
160. | Eglinton—Lawrence | CPC likely gain |
161. | Chicoutimi—Le Fjord | CPC likely hold |
162. | Edmonton Southeast | CPC likely hold |
163. | Burlington North—Milton West | CPC likely gain |
164. | Nanaimo—Ladysmith | CPC likely gain |
165. | Whitby | CPC likely gain |
166. | Sudbury | CPC likely gain |
167. | Saskatoon West | CPC likely hold |
168. | Winnipeg West | CPC leaning hold |
169. | Courtenay—Alberni | CPC leaning gain |
170. | Nepean | CPC leaning gain |
171. | Kings—Hants | CPC leaning gain |
172. | Mississauga—Streetsville | CPC leaning gain |
173. | Etobicoke Centre | CPC leaning gain |
174. | Vancouver Quadra | CPC leaning gain |
175. | Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore | CPC leaning gain |
176. | Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt | CPC leaning gain |
177. | Pickering—Brooklin | CPC leaning gain |
178. | Willowdale | CPC leaning gain |
179. | North Vancouver—Capilano | CPC leaning gain |
180. | Labrador | CPC leaning gain |
181. | Etobicoke—Lakeshore | CPC leaning gain |
182. | Egmont | CPC leaning gain |
183. | Burnaby North—Seymour | CPC leaning gain |
184. | Prescott—Russell—Cumberland | CPC leaning gain |
185. | Avalon | CPC leaning gain |
186. | Charlottetown | CPC leaning gain |
187. | Edmonton Centre | CPC leaning hold |
188. | Vancouver Granville | CPC leaning gain |
189. | Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas | CPC leaning gain |
190. | Cowichan—Malahat—Langford | CPC leaning gain |
191. | Markham—Stouffville | CPC leaning gain |
192. | Fleetwood—Port Kells | Toss up LPC/CPC |
193. | Brampton Centre | Toss up LPC/CPC |
194. | Mississauga—Erin Mills | Toss up LPC/CPC |
195. | Trois-Rivières | Toss up CPC/BQ |
196. | Cardigan | Toss up LPC/CPC |
197. | Hamilton Mountain | Toss up CPC/NDP |
198. | London Centre | Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP |
199. | Brampton North—Caledon | Toss up LPC/CPC |
200. | Louis-Hébert | Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ |
201. | Mississauga East—Cooksville | Toss up LPC/CPC |
202. | Ottawa West—Nepean | Toss up LPC/CPC |
203. | Kingston and the Islands | Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP |
204. | Waterloo | Toss up LPC/CPC |
205. | Yukon | Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP |
206. | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park | Toss up LPC/CPC |
207. | Don Valley North | Toss up LPC/CPC |
208. | Beauport—Limoilou | Toss up CPC/BQ |
209. | Thunder Bay—Superior North | Toss up LPC/CPC |
210. | Guelph | Toss up LPC/CPC |
211. | Sackville—Bedford—Preston | Toss up LPC/CPC |
212. | Edmonton Griesbach | Toss up CPC/NDP |
213. | Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk | Toss up CPC/NDP |
214. | Mississauga—Malton | Toss up LPC/CPC |
215. | Calgary McKnight | Toss up LPC/CPC |
216. | Montmorency—Charlevoix | Toss up CPC/BQ |
217. | Vancouver Centre | Toss up LPC/CPC |
218. | Madawaska—Restigouche | Toss up LPC/CPC |
219. | Burnaby Central | Toss up CPC/NDP |
220. | Ottawa South | LPC leaning hold |
221. | Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby | LPC leaning hold |
222. | Brampton South | LPC leaning hold |
223. | Toronto—St. Paul’s | LPC leaning hold |
224. | Brampton East | LPC leaning hold |
225. | Orléans | LPC leaning hold |
226. | Mississauga Centre | LPC leaning hold |
227. | Spadina—Harbourfront | Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP |
228. | Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River | LPC leaning hold |
229. | Don Valley West | LPC leaning hold |
230. | Scarborough—Agincourt | LPC leaning hold |
231. | Brampton West | LPC leaning hold |
232. | Kitchener Centre | GPC likely hold |
233. | Surrey Centre | LPC leaning hold |
234. | Ajax | LPC likely hold |
235. | Moncton—Dieppe | LPC likely hold |
236. | Halifax West | LPC leaning hold |
237. | Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke | NDP likely hold |
238. | Toronto—Danforth | Toss up LPC/NDP |
239. | Winnipeg South | LPC likely hold |
240. | London—Fanshawe | NDP likely hold |
241. | Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi | LPC likely hold |
242. | Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East | LPC likely hold |
243. | St. Boniface—St. Vital | LPC likely hold |
244. | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville | NDP likely hold |
245. | Etobicoke North | LPC likely hold |
246. | Winnipeg South Centre | LPC likely hold |
247. | Jonquière | BQ likely hold |
248. | Churchill—Kewatinook Aski | NDP likely hold |
249. | Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester | LPC likely hold |
250. | Markham—Thornhill | LPC likely hold |