338Canada.com - Conservative Party of Canada






338Canada Projection for the Conservative Party of Canada

Latest update: March 17th 2019



Regional Popular Vote Projection







Regional Seat Projection







National Seat Projection






Ordered list of districts

(Pourcentages indicate the odds of winning the districts according to the 338Canada Projection of March 17th 2019.)

#1 48002 Battle River–Crowfoot Safe CPC>99%
#2 48003 Bow River Safe CPC>99%
#3 48022 Foothills Safe CPC>99%
#4 48029 Red Deer–Mountain View Safe CPC>99%
#5 48033 Sturgeon River–Parkland Safe CPC>99%
#6 48025 Lakeland Safe CPC>99%
#7 48024 Grande Prairie–Mackenzie Safe CPC>99%
#8 48008 Calgary Midnapore Safe CPC>99%
#9 48034 Yellowhead Safe CPC>99%
#10 48030 Red Deer–Lacombe Safe CPC>99%
#11 48028 Peace River–Westlock Safe CPC>99%
#12 48007 Calgary Heritage Safe CPC>99%
#13 48027 Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner Safe CPC>99%
#14 48021 Edmonton–Wetaskiwin Safe CPC>99%
#15 48032 Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan Safe CPC>99%
#16 47013 Souris–Moose Mountain Safe CPC>99%
#17 47001 Battlefords–Lloydminster Safe CPC>99%
#18 48011 Calgary Shepard Safe CPC>99%
#19 47002 Cypress Hills–Grasslands Safe CPC>99%
#20 48001 Banff–Airdrie Safe CPC>99%
#21 48009 Calgary Nose Hill Safe CPC>99%
#22 48023 Fort McMurray–Cold Lake Safe CPC>99%
#23 47004 Carlton Trail–Eagle Creek Safe CPC>99%
#24 48012 Calgary Signal Hill Safe CPC>99%
#25 48010 Calgary Rocky Ridge Safe CPC>99%
#26 48026 Lethbridge Safe CPC>99%
#27 47014 Yorkton–Melville Safe CPC>99%
#28 24010 Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis Safe CPC>99%
#29 48031 St. Albert–Edmonton Safe CPC>99%
#30 48018 Edmonton Riverbend Safe CPC>99%
#31 48016 Edmonton Manning Safe CPC>99%
#32 24045 Louis-Saint-Laurent Safe CPC>99%
#33 24042 Lévis–Lotbinière Safe CPC>99%
#34 24058 Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier Safe CPC>99%
#35 46007 Portage–Lisgar Safe CPC>99%
#36 48020 Edmonton West Safe CPC>99%
#37 24019 Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles Safe CPC>99%
#38 47005 Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan Safe CPC>99%
#39 47006 Prince Albert Safe CPC>99%
#40 35048 Lambton–Kent–Middlesex Safe CPC>99%
#41 59024 Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies Safe CPC>99%
#42 35025 Elgin–Middlesex–London Safe CPC>99%
#43 48006 Calgary Forest Lawn Safe CPC>99%
#44 47008 Regina–Qu'Appelle Safe CPC>99%
#45 48005 Calgary Confederation Safe CPC>99%
#46 13004 Fundy Royal Safe CPC>99%
#47 24061 Richmond–Arthabaska Safe CPC>99%
#48 13008 New Brunswick Southwest Safe CPC>99%
#49 24047 Mégantic–L'Érable Safe CPC>99%
#50 48014 Edmonton Centre Safe CPC>99%
#51 35034 Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock Safe CPC>99%
#52 35113 Wellington–Halton Hills Safe CPC>99%
#53 35068 Niagara West Safe CPC>99%
#54 48017 Edmonton Mill Woods Safe CPC>99%
#55 24022 Chicoutimi–Le Fjord Safe CPC>99%
#56 35049 Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston Safe CPC>99%
#57 35080 Oxford Safe CPC>99%
#58 46004 Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa Safe CPC>99%
#59 48004 Calgary Centre Safe CPC>99%
#60 47010 Saskatoon–Grasswood Safe CPC>99%
#61 46010 Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman Safe CPC>99%
#62 13010 Tobique–Mactaquac Safe CPC>99%
#63 47011 Saskatoon–University Safe CPC>99%
#64 35023 Durham Safe CPC>99%
#65 59001 Abbotsford Safe CPC>99%
#66 35013 Brantford–Brant Safe CPC>99%
#67 35086 Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke Safe CPC>99%
#68 35050 Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes Safe CPC>99%
#69 48013 Calgary Skyview Safe CPC>99%
#70 46001 Brandon–Souris Safe CPC>99%
#71 48015 Edmonton Griesbach Safe CPC>99%
#72 35004 Barrie–Innisfil Safe CPC>99%
#73 35067 Niagara Falls Safe CPC>99%
#74 24020 Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-Charlevoix Safe CPC>99%
#75 35099 Simcoe–Grey Safe CPC>99%
#76 35014 Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound Safe CPC>99%
#77 35033 Haldimand–Norfolk Safe CPC>99%
#78 35119 York–Simcoe Safe CPC>99%
#79 35022 Dufferin–Caledon Safe CPC>99%
#80 35104 Thornhill Safe CPC>99%
#81 35102 Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry Safe CPC>99%
#82 46008 Provencher Safe CPC>99%
#83 13006 Miramichi–Grand Lake Safe CPC>99%
#84 24008 Beauport–Limoilou Safe CPC>99%
#85 35040 Huron–Bruce Safe CPC>99%
#86 59020 North Okanagan–Shuswap Safe CPC>99%
#87 35083 Perth–Wellington Safe CPC>99%
#88 35017 Chatham-Kent–Leamington Safe CPC>99%
#89 35056 Markham–Unionville Safe CPC>99%
#90 35088 Carleton Safe CPC>99%
#91 35030 Flamborough–Glanbrook Safe CPC>99%
#92 35057 Milton Safe CPC>99%
#93 35082 Parry Sound–Muskoka Safe CPC>99%
#94 59016 Langley–Aldergrove Safe CPC>99%
#95 35100 Simcoe North Safe CPC>99%
#96 59006 Chilliwack–Hope Safe CPC>99%
#97 24035 Lac-Saint-Jean Likely CPC>99%
#98 47007 Regina–Lewvan Likely CPC98%
#99 46005 Elmwood–Transcona Likely CPC98%
#100 35091 Sarnia–Lambton Likely CPC98%
#101 35046 Kitchener–Conestoga Likely CPC98%
#102 13009 Saint John–Rothesay Likely CPC97%
#103 59004 Cariboo–Prince George Likely CPC97%
#104 24051 Montmagny–L'Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup Likely CPC97%
#105 35005 Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte Likely CPC97%
#106 35039 Hastings–Lennox and Addington Likely CPC97%
#107 59013 Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo Likely CPC97%
#108 35074 Oshawa Likely CPC96%
#109 35003 Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Likely CPC95%
#110 46006 Kildonan–St. Paul Likely CPC95%
#111 35065 Newmarket–Aurora Likely CPC94%
#112 35114 Whitby Likely CPC94%
#113 35043 King–Vaughan Likely CPC94%
#114 35118 York Centre Likely CPC94%
#115 35073 Oakville North–Burlington Likely CPC93%
#116 35015 Burlington Likely CPC93%
#117 35071 Northumberland–Peterborough South Likely CPC93%
#118 59005 Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola Likely CPC93%
#119 35087 Richmond Hill Likely CPC92%
#120 59025 Richmond Centre Likely CPC92%
#121 59015 Kootenay–Columbia Likely CPC91%
#122 35111 Vaughan–Woodbridge Likely CPC90%
#123 35016 Cambridge Likely CPC89%
#124 35024 Eglinton–Lawrence Likely CPC87%
#125 47012 Saskatoon West Likely CPC87%
#126 35089 St. Catharines Likely CPC86%
#127 35061 Mississauga–Lakeshore Likely CPC86%
#128 35072 Oakville Likely CPC86%
#129 11003 Egmont Likely CPC86%
#130 35047 Kitchener South–Hespeler Likely CPC85%
#131 47003 Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River Likely CPC84%
#132 35063 Mississauga–Streetsville Likely CPC82%
#133 35054 Markham–Stouffville Likely CPC81%
#134 59017 Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon Leaning CPC75%
#135 24032 Jonquière Leaning CPC74%
#136 59030 South Surrey–White Rock Leaning CPC74%
#137 35084 Peterborough–Kawartha Leaning CPC72%
#138 35093 Scarborough–Agincourt Leaning CPC71%
#139 59022 Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Leaning CPC71%
#140 35060 Mississauga–Erin Mills Leaning CPC70%
#141 59008 Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam Leaning CPC69%
#142 13003 Fredericton Leaning CPC65%
#143 24044 Louis-Hébert Leaning CPC65%
#144 46002 Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley Leaning CPC65%
#145 24025 Drummond Leaning CPC65%
#146 35053 London West Leaning CPC65%
#147 35041 Kanata–Carleton Leaning CPC62%
#148 35085 Pickering–Uxbridge Leaning CPC61%
#149 24059 Québec Toss up58%
#150 59014 Kelowna–Lake Country Toss up58%
#151 35011 Brampton South Toss up56%
#152 59031 Steveston–Richmond East Toss up55%
#153 35066 Niagara Centre Toss up55%
#154 35020 Don Valley North Toss up53%
#155 59029 South Okanagan–West Kootenay Toss up53%
#156 59023 Port Moody–Coquitlam Toss up52%
#157 35008 Brampton Centre Toss up51%
#158 60001 Yukon Toss up50%
#159 24076 Trois-Rivières Toss up50%
#160 62001 Nunavut Toss up50%
#161 35010 Brampton North Toss up48%
#162 35055 Markham–Thornhill Toss up47%
#163 35012 Brampton West Toss up47%
#164 35021 Don Valley West Toss up45%
#165 35027 Etobicoke Centre Toss up44%
#166 35115 Willowdale Toss up43%
#167 12002 Central Nova Toss up43%
#168 35064 Nepean Toss up42%
#169 35026 Essex Toss up41%
#170 12003 Cumberland–Colchester Leaning LPC40%
#171 35092 Sault Ste. Marie Leaning LPC40%
#172 61001 Northwest Territories Leaning LPC39%
#173 35001 Ajax Leaning LPC37%
#174 59009 Courtenay–Alberni Leaning NDP36%
#175 35059 Mississauga East–Cooksville Leaning LPC36%
#176 24066 Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot Leaning LPC34%
#177 12011 West Nova Leaning LPC34%
#178 35006 Bay of Quinte Leaning LPC33%
#179 35042 Kenora Toss up33%
#180 59002 Burnaby North–Seymour Leaning LPC32%
#181 35038 Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas Leaning LPC30%
#182 59007 Cloverdale–Langley City Leaning LPC29%
#183 35031 Glengarry–Prescott–Russell Leaning LPC28%
#184 35112 Waterloo Leaning LPC26%
#185 35094 Scarborough Centre Leaning LPC25%
#186 24007 Beauce Leaning PPC25%
#187 12009 South Shore–St. Margarets Leaning LPC20%
#188 35045 Kitchener Centre Likely LPC19%
#189 35058 Mississauga Centre Likely LPC19%
#190 48019 Edmonton Strathcona Likely NDP17%
#191 35028 Etobicoke–Lakeshore Likely LPC17%
#192 46013 Winnipeg South Likely LPC17%
#193 35052 London North Centre Likely LPC16%
#194 59037 North Island–Powell River Likely NDP14%
#195 13007 Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe Likely LPC11%
#196 35037 Hamilton Mountain Likely NDP10%