Latest update: April 4, 2024

63 seats needed for a majority

	Safe	Likely	Leaning	Toss up	Seat-by-seat projection	Last election (2022)
	37	21	7	8	73 [57-95]	83
	6	6	6	7	25 [14-31]	31
	2	7	4	10	23 [6-39]	8
	1	1	0	0	2 [1-3]	1
	0	1	0	0	1 [1-1]	1

Electoral district	Current party	Latest projection
001 Ajax		Toss up OLP/PCPO
002 Algoma—Manitoulin		Leaning NDP
003 Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill		Likely PCPO
004 Barrie—Innisfil		Safe PCPO
005 Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte		Toss up OLP/PCPO
006 Bay of Quinte		Safe PCPO
007 Beaches—East York		Likely OLP
008 Brampton Centre		Likely PCPO
009 Brampton East		Likely PCPO
010 Brampton North		Likely PCPO
011 Brampton South		Likely PCPO
012 Brampton West		Safe PCPO
013 Brantford—Brant		Safe PCPO
014 Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound		Safe PCPO
015 Burlington		Likely PCPO
016 Cambridge		Likely PCPO
017 Carleton		Likely PCPO
018 Chatham-Kent—Leamington		Safe PCPO
019 Davenport		Safe NDP
020 Don Valley East		Likely OLP
021 Don Valley North		Leaning PCPO
022 Don Valley West		Likely OLP
023 Dufferin—Caledon		Safe PCPO
024 Durham		Safe PCPO
025 Eglinton—Lawrence		Leaning OLP
026 Elgin—Middlesex—London		Safe PCPO
027 Essex		Safe PCPO
028 Etobicoke Centre		Leaning PCPO
029 Etobicoke North		Safe PCPO
030 Etobicoke—Lakeshore		Leaning OLP
031 Flamborough—Glanbrook		Safe PCPO
032 Glengarry—Prescott—Russell		Toss up OLP/PCPO
033 Guelph		Safe GPO
034 Haldimand—Norfolk		IND likely
035 Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock		Safe PCPO
036 Hamilton Centre		Safe NDP
037 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek		Likely PCPO
038 Hamilton Mountain		Likely NDP
039 Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas		Leaning NDP
040 Hastings—Lennox and Addington		Safe PCPO
041 Humber River—Black Creek		Leaning OLP
042 Huron—Bruce		Safe PCPO
043 Kanata—Carleton		Leaning PCPO
044 Kenora—Rainy River		Safe PCPO
045 Kiiwetinoong		Likely NDP
046 Kingston and the Islands		Likely OLP
047 King—Vaughan		Safe PCPO
048 Kitchener Centre		Likely GPO
049 Kitchener South—Hespeler		Safe PCPO
050 Kitchener—Conestoga		Likely PCPO
051 Lambton—Kent—Middlesex		Safe PCPO
052 Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston		Safe PCPO
053 Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes		Safe PCPO
054 London North Centre		Leaning NDP
055 London West		Leaning NDP
056 London—Fanshawe		Likely NDP
057 Markham—Stouffville		Likely PCPO
058 Markham—Thornhill		Leaning PCPO
059 Markham—Unionville		Safe PCPO
060 Milton		Toss up OLP/PCPO
061 Mississauga Centre		Toss up OLP/PCPO
062 Mississauga East—Cooksville		Toss up OLP/PCPO
063 Mississauga—Erin Mills		Toss up OLP/PCPO
064 Mississauga—Lakeshore		Toss up OLP/PCPO
065 Mississauga—Malton		Likely PCPO
066 Mississauga—Streetsville		Toss up OLP/PCPO
067 Mushkegowuk—James Bay		Toss up PCPO/NDP
068 Nepean		Toss up OLP/PCPO
069 Newmarket—Aurora		Likely PCPO
070 Niagara Centre		Toss up PCPO/NDP
071 Niagara Falls		Leaning NDP
072 Niagara West		Safe PCPO
073 Nickel Belt		Likely NDP
074 Nipissing		Safe PCPO
075 Northumberland—Peterborough South		Safe PCPO
076 Oakville		Toss up OLP/PCPO
077 Oakville North—Burlington		Likely PCPO
078 Orléans		Likely OLP
079 Oshawa		Toss up PCPO/NDP
080 Ottawa Centre		Safe NDP
081 Ottawa South		Safe OLP
082 Ottawa West—Nepean		Toss up PCPO/NDP
083 Ottawa—Vanier		Safe OLP
084 Oxford		Safe PCPO
085 Parkdale—High Park		Safe NDP
086 Parry Sound—Muskoka		Toss up PCPO/GPO
087 Perth—Wellington		Safe PCPO
088 Peterborough—Kawartha		Leaning PCPO
089 Pickering—Uxbridge		Likely PCPO
090 Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke		Safe PCPO
091 Richmond Hill		Likely PCPO
092 Sarnia—Lambton		Safe PCPO
093 Sault Ste. Marie		Likely PCPO
094 Scarborough Centre		Toss up OLP/PCPO
095 Scarborough North		Likely PCPO
096 Scarborough Southwest		Safe NDP
097 Scarborough—Agincourt		Leaning PCPO
098 Scarborough—Guildwood		Likely OLP
099 Scarborough—Rouge Park		Likely PCPO
100 Simcoe North		Safe PCPO
101 Simcoe—Grey		Safe PCPO
102 Spadina—Fort York		Likely NDP
103 St. Catharines		Toss up PCPO/NDP
104 Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry		Safe PCPO
105 Sudbury		Toss up OLP/PCPO/NDP
106 Thornhill		Likely PCPO
107 Thunder Bay—Atikokan		Toss up OLP/PCPO
108 Thunder Bay—Superior North		Likely OLP
109 Timiskaming—Cochrane		Toss up PCPO/NDP
110 Timmins		Safe PCPO
111 Toronto Centre		Toss up OLP/NDP
112 Toronto—Danforth		Safe NDP
113 Toronto—St. Paul’s		Leaning OLP
114 University—Rosedale		Leaning NDP
115 Vaughan—Woodbridge		Likely PCPO
116 Waterloo		Likely NDP
117 Wellington—Halton Hills		Safe PCPO
118 Whitby		Safe PCPO
119 Willowdale		Toss up OLP/PCPO
120 Windsor West		Toss up PCPO/NDP
121 Windsor—Tecumseh		Safe PCPO
122 York Centre		Leaning PCPO
123 York South—Weston		Toss up PCPO/NDP
124 York—Simcoe		Safe PCPO