63 seats needed for a majority

	Safe	Likely	Leaning	Toss up	Seat-by-seat projection	Last election (2022)
	58	14	8	3	83 [78-86]	83
	14	11	5	1	31 [27-33]	31
	4	2	2	0	8 [7-13]	8
	1	0	0	0	1 [0-2]	1

Electoral district	Current party	Latest projection
001 Ajax		Leaning PCPO
002 Algoma—Manitoulin		Likely NDP
003 Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill		Safe PCPO
004 Barrie—Innisfil		Safe PCPO
005 Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte		Toss up OLP/PCPO
006 Bay of Quinte		Safe PCPO
007 Beaches—East York		Leaning OLP
008 Brampton Centre		Safe PCPO
009 Brampton East		Safe PCPO
010 Brampton North		Safe PCPO
011 Brampton South		Safe PCPO
012 Brampton West		Safe PCPO
013 Brantford—Brant		Safe PCPO
014 Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound		Safe PCPO
015 Burlington		Safe PCPO
016 Cambridge		Safe PCPO
017 Carleton		Safe PCPO
018 Chatham-Kent—Leamington		Safe PCPO
019 Davenport		Safe NDP
020 Don Valley East		Likely OLP
021 Don Valley North		Likely PCPO
022 Don Valley West		Leaning OLP
023 Dufferin—Caledon		Safe PCPO
024 Durham		Safe PCPO
025 Eglinton—Lawrence		Toss up OLP/PCPO
026 Elgin—Middlesex—London		Safe PCPO
027 Essex		Safe PCPO
028 Etobicoke Centre		Safe PCPO
029 Etobicoke North		Safe PCPO
030 Etobicoke—Lakeshore		Toss up OLP/PCPO
031 Flamborough—Glanbrook		Safe PCPO
032 Glengarry—Prescott—Russell		Leaning PCPO
033 Guelph		Safe GPO
034 Haldimand—Norfolk		IND leaning
035 Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock		Safe PCPO
036 Hamilton Centre		Safe NDP
037 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek		Likely PCPO
038 Hamilton Mountain		Safe NDP
039 Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas		Likely NDP
040 Hastings—Lennox and Addington		Safe PCPO
041 Humber River—Black Creek		Leaning NDP
042 Huron—Bruce		Safe PCPO
043 Kanata—Carleton		Safe PCPO
044 Kenora—Rainy River		Safe PCPO
045 Kiiwetinoong		Safe NDP
046 Kingston and the Islands		Likely OLP
047 King—Vaughan		Safe PCPO
048 Kitchener Centre		Safe NDP
049 Kitchener South—Hespeler		Safe PCPO
050 Kitchener—Conestoga		Likely PCPO
051 Lambton—Kent—Middlesex		Safe PCPO
052 Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston		Safe PCPO
053 Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes		Safe PCPO
054 London North Centre		Likely NDP
055 London West		Likely NDP
056 London—Fanshawe		Safe NDP
057 Markham—Stouffville		Safe PCPO
058 Markham—Thornhill		Likely PCPO
059 Markham—Unionville		Safe PCPO
060 Milton		Leaning PCPO
061 Mississauga Centre		Likely PCPO
062 Mississauga East—Cooksville		Leaning PCPO
063 Mississauga—Erin Mills		Leaning PCPO
064 Mississauga—Lakeshore		Likely PCPO
065 Mississauga—Malton		Safe PCPO
066 Mississauga—Streetsville		Likely PCPO
067 Mushkegowuk—James Bay		Likely NDP
068 Nepean		Likely PCPO
069 Newmarket—Aurora		Safe PCPO
070 Niagara Centre		Leaning NDP
071 Niagara Falls		Safe NDP
072 Niagara West		Safe PCPO
073 Nickel Belt		Safe NDP
074 Nipissing		Safe PCPO
075 Northumberland—Peterborough South		Safe PCPO
076 Oakville		Likely PCPO
077 Oakville North—Burlington		Safe PCPO
078 Orléans		Safe OLP
079 Oshawa		Toss up PCPO/NDP
080 Ottawa Centre		Safe NDP
081 Ottawa South		Safe OLP
082 Ottawa West—Nepean		Leaning NDP
083 Ottawa—Vanier		Safe OLP
084 Oxford		Safe PCPO
085 Parkdale—High Park		Safe NDP
086 Parry Sound—Muskoka		Leaning PCPO
087 Perth—Wellington		Safe PCPO
088 Peterborough—Kawartha		Likely PCPO
089 Pickering—Uxbridge		Safe PCPO
090 Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke		Safe PCPO
091 Richmond Hill		Safe PCPO
092 Sarnia—Lambton		Safe PCPO
093 Sault Ste. Marie		Likely PCPO
094 Scarborough Centre		Likely PCPO
095 Scarborough North		Safe PCPO
096 Scarborough Southwest		Safe NDP
097 Scarborough—Agincourt		Likely PCPO
098 Scarborough—Guildwood		Safe OLP
099 Scarborough—Rouge Park		Safe PCPO
100 Simcoe North		Safe PCPO
101 Simcoe—Grey		Safe PCPO
102 Spadina—Fort York		Safe NDP
103 St. Catharines		Likely NDP
104 Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry		Safe PCPO
105 Sudbury		Likely NDP
106 Thornhill		Safe PCPO
107 Thunder Bay—Atikokan		Leaning PCPO
108 Thunder Bay—Superior North		Leaning NDP
109 Timiskaming—Cochrane		Likely NDP
110 Timmins		Safe PCPO
111 Toronto Centre		Likely NDP
112 Toronto—Danforth		Safe NDP
113 Toronto—St. Paul`s		Leaning NDP
114 University—Rosedale		Likely NDP
115 Vaughan—Woodbridge		Safe PCPO
116 Waterloo		Safe NDP
117 Wellington—Halton Hills		Safe PCPO
118 Whitby		Safe PCPO
119 Willowdale		Likely PCPO
120 Windsor West		Likely NDP
121 Windsor—Tecumseh		Safe PCPO
122 York Centre		Safe PCPO
123 York South—Weston		Leaning PCPO
124 York—Simcoe		Safe PCPO