63 seats needed for a majority

	Safe	Likely	Leaning	Toss up	Seat-by-seat projection	Odds-based projection	Last election (2018)
	25	16	6	6	53 [39-73]	56 ± 17	76
	7	13	9	16	45 [22-59]	40 ± 18	7
	10	9	3	3	25 [18-35]	27 ± 9	40
	1	0	0	0	1 [1-1]	1 ± 0	1

Electoral district	Current party	Latest projection
001 Ajax		OLP leaning
002 Algoma—Manitoulin		NDP safe
003 Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill		PCO likely
004 Barrie—Innisfil		PCO safe
005 Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte		PCO safe
006 Bay of Quinte		PCO safe
007 Beaches—East York		OLP leaning
008 Brampton Centre		Toss up OLP/PCO/NDP
009 Brampton East		NDP likely
010 Brampton North		Toss up OLP/NDP
011 Brampton South		PCO leaning
012 Brampton West		Toss up OLP/PCO
013 Brantford—Brant		PCO leaning
014 Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound		PCO safe
015 Burlington		OLP leaning
016 Cambridge		Toss up OLP/PCO
017 Carleton		PCO likely
018 Chatham-Kent—Leamington		PCO likely
019 Davenport		NDP likely
020 Don Valley East		OLP safe
021 Don Valley North		OLP leaning
022 Don Valley West		OLP likely
023 Dufferin—Caledon		PCO safe
024 Durham		PCO likely
025 Eglinton—Lawrence		OLP likely
026 Elgin—Middlesex—London		PCO safe
027 Essex		Toss up PCO/NDP
028 Etobicoke Centre		OLP likely
029 Etobicoke North		PCO likely
030 Etobicoke—Lakeshore		OLP leaning
031 Flamborough—Glanbrook		PCO likely
032 Glengarry—Prescott—Russell		OLP likely
033 Guelph		GPO safe
034 Haldimand—Norfolk		PCO safe
035 Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock		PCO safe
036 Hamilton Centre		NDP safe
037 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek		NDP likely
038 Hamilton Mountain		NDP safe
039 Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas		Toss up OLP/NDP
040 Hastings—Lennox and Addington		PCO safe
041 Humber River—Black Creek		OLP leaning
042 Huron—Bruce		PCO safe
043 Kanata—Carleton		PCO likely
044 Kenora—Rainy River		PCO likely
045 Kiiwetinoong		NDP leaning
046 Kingston and the Islands		OLP likely
047 King—Vaughan		PCO likely
048 Kitchener Centre		Toss up OLP/NDP
049 Kitchener South—Hespeler		PCO likely
050 Kitchener—Conestoga		PCO likely
051 Lambton—Kent—Middlesex		PCO safe
052 Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston		PCO safe
053 Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes		PCO safe
054 London North Centre		NDP likely
055 London West		NDP safe
056 London—Fanshawe		NDP safe
057 Markham—Stouffville		Toss up OLP/PCO
058 Markham—Thornhill		Toss up OLP/PCO
059 Markham—Unionville		PCO safe
060 Milton		OLP leaning
061 Mississauga Centre		PCO leaning
062 Mississauga East—Cooksville		OLP likely
063 Mississauga—Erin Mills		OLP likely
064 Mississauga—Lakeshore		OLP likely
065 Mississauga—Malton		Toss up OLP/PCO
066 Mississauga—Streetsville		OLP leaning
067 Mushkegowuk—James Bay		NDP likely
068 Nepean		PCO likely
069 Newmarket—Aurora		Toss up OLP/PCO
070 Niagara Centre		Toss up PCO/NDP
071 Niagara Falls		NDP likely
072 Niagara West		PCO safe
073 Nickel Belt		NDP safe
074 Nipissing		PCO safe
075 Northumberland—Peterborough South		Toss up OLP/PCO
076 Oakville		OLP likely
077 Oakville North—Burlington		Toss up OLP/PCO
078 Orléans		OLP safe
079 Oshawa		NDP leaning
080 Ottawa Centre		OLP likely
081 Ottawa South		OLP safe
082 Ottawa West—Nepean		OLP safe
083 Ottawa—Vanier		OLP safe
084 Oxford		PCO safe
085 Parkdale—High Park		NDP safe
086 Parry Sound—Muskoka		PCO safe
087 Perth—Wellington		PCO safe
088 Peterborough—Kawartha		Toss up OLP/PCO
089 Pickering—Uxbridge		Toss up OLP/PCO
090 Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke		PCO safe
091 Richmond Hill		Toss up OLP/PCO
092 Sarnia—Lambton		PCO likely
093 Sault Ste. Marie		PCO likely
094 Scarborough Centre		Toss up OLP/PCO
095 Scarborough North		PCO leaning
096 Scarborough Southwest		NDP leaning
097 Scarborough—Agincourt		PCO leaning
098 Scarborough—Guildwood		OLP safe
099 Scarborough—Rouge Park		Toss up OLP/PCO
100 Simcoe North		PCO likely
101 Simcoe—Grey		PCO safe
102 Spadina—Fort York		Toss up OLP/NDP
103 St. Catharines		Toss up OLP/NDP
104 Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry		PCO safe
105 Sudbury		Toss up OLP/NDP
106 Thornhill		PCO safe
107 Thunder Bay—Atikokan		OLP likely
108 Thunder Bay—Superior North		OLP safe
109 Timiskaming—Cochrane		NDP safe
110 Timmins		NDP likely
111 Toronto Centre		OLP leaning
112 Toronto—Danforth		NDP safe
113 Toronto—St. Paul`s		OLP likely
114 University—Rosedale		Toss up OLP/NDP
115 Vaughan—Woodbridge		Toss up OLP/PCO
116 Waterloo		NDP likely
117 Wellington—Halton Hills		PCO safe
118 Whitby		PCO likely
119 Willowdale		Toss up OLP/PCO
120 Windsor West		NDP likely
121 Windsor—Tecumseh		NDP safe
122 York Centre		PCO leaning
123 York South—Weston		OLP likely
124 York—Simcoe		PCO safe