338Canada Ontario - All 124 electoral districts





Latest update: October 17, 2021

63 seats needed for a majority

Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Seat-by-seat projection Odds-based projection Last election (2018)
25 16 6 6 53
[39-73]
56 ± 17 76
7 13 9 16 45
[22-59]
40 ± 18 7
10 9 3 3 25
[18-35]
27 ± 9 40
1 0 0 0 1
[1-1]
1 ± 0 1

Electoral district Current party Latest projection
001 Ajax OLP leaning
002 Algoma—Manitoulin NDP safe
003 Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill PCO likely
004 Barrie—Innisfil PCO safe
005 Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte PCO safe
006 Bay of Quinte PCO safe
007 Beaches—East York OLP leaning
008 Brampton Centre Toss up OLP/PCO/NDP
009 Brampton East NDP likely
010 Brampton North Toss up OLP/NDP
011 Brampton South PCO leaning
012 Brampton West Toss up OLP/PCO
013 Brantford—Brant PCO leaning
014 Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound PCO safe
015 Burlington OLP leaning
016 Cambridge Toss up OLP/PCO
017 Carleton PCO likely
018 Chatham-Kent—Leamington PCO likely
019 Davenport NDP likely
020 Don Valley East OLP safe
021 Don Valley North OLP leaning
022 Don Valley West OLP likely
023 Dufferin—Caledon PCO safe
024 Durham PCO likely
025 Eglinton—Lawrence OLP likely
026 Elgin—Middlesex—London PCO safe
027 Essex Toss up PCO/NDP
028 Etobicoke Centre OLP likely
029 Etobicoke North PCO likely
030 Etobicoke—Lakeshore OLP leaning
031 Flamborough—Glanbrook PCO likely
032 Glengarry—Prescott—Russell OLP likely
033 Guelph GPO safe
034 Haldimand—Norfolk PCO safe
035 Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock PCO safe
036 Hamilton Centre NDP safe
037 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek NDP likely
038 Hamilton Mountain NDP safe
039 Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas Toss up OLP/NDP
040 Hastings—Lennox and Addington PCO safe
041 Humber River—Black Creek OLP leaning
042 Huron—Bruce PCO safe
043 Kanata—Carleton PCO likely
044 Kenora—Rainy River PCO likely
045 Kiiwetinoong NDP leaning
046 Kingston and the Islands OLP likely
047 King—Vaughan PCO likely
048 Kitchener Centre Toss up OLP/NDP
049 Kitchener South—Hespeler PCO likely
050 Kitchener—Conestoga PCO likely
051 Lambton—Kent—Middlesex PCO safe
052 Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston PCO safe
053 Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes PCO safe
054 London North Centre NDP likely
055 London West NDP safe
056 London—Fanshawe NDP safe
057 Markham—Stouffville Toss up OLP/PCO
058 Markham—Thornhill Toss up OLP/PCO
059 Markham—Unionville PCO safe
060 Milton OLP leaning
061 Mississauga Centre PCO leaning
062 Mississauga East—Cooksville OLP likely
063 Mississauga—Erin Mills OLP likely
064 Mississauga—Lakeshore OLP likely
065 Mississauga—Malton Toss up OLP/PCO
066 Mississauga—Streetsville OLP leaning
067 Mushkegowuk—James Bay NDP likely
068 Nepean PCO likely
069 Newmarket—Aurora Toss up OLP/PCO
070 Niagara Centre Toss up PCO/NDP
071 Niagara Falls NDP likely
072 Niagara West PCO safe
073 Nickel Belt NDP safe
074 Nipissing PCO safe
075 Northumberland—Peterborough South Toss up OLP/PCO
076 Oakville OLP likely
077 Oakville North—Burlington Toss up OLP/PCO
078 Orléans OLP safe
079 Oshawa NDP leaning
080 Ottawa Centre OLP likely
081 Ottawa South OLP safe
082 Ottawa West—Nepean OLP safe
083 Ottawa—Vanier OLP safe
084 Oxford PCO safe
085 Parkdale—High Park NDP safe
086 Parry Sound—Muskoka PCO safe
087 Perth—Wellington PCO safe
088 Peterborough—Kawartha Toss up OLP/PCO
089 Pickering—Uxbridge Toss up OLP/PCO
090 Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke PCO safe
091 Richmond Hill Toss up OLP/PCO
092 Sarnia—Lambton PCO likely
093 Sault Ste. Marie PCO likely
094 Scarborough Centre Toss up OLP/PCO
095 Scarborough North PCO leaning
096 Scarborough Southwest NDP leaning
097 Scarborough—Agincourt PCO leaning
098 Scarborough—Guildwood OLP safe
099 Scarborough—Rouge Park Toss up OLP/PCO
100 Simcoe North PCO likely
101 Simcoe—Grey PCO safe
102 Spadina—Fort York Toss up OLP/NDP
103 St. Catharines Toss up OLP/NDP
104 Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry PCO safe
105 Sudbury Toss up OLP/NDP
106 Thornhill PCO safe
107 Thunder Bay—Atikokan OLP likely
108 Thunder Bay—Superior North OLP safe
109 Timiskaming—Cochrane NDP safe
110 Timmins NDP likely
111 Toronto Centre OLP leaning
112 Toronto—Danforth NDP safe
113 Toronto—St. Paul`s OLP likely
114 University—Rosedale Toss up OLP/NDP
115 Vaughan—Woodbridge Toss up OLP/PCO
116 Waterloo NDP likely
117 Wellington—Halton Hills PCO safe
118 Whitby PCO likely
119 Willowdale Toss up OLP/PCO
120 Windsor West NDP likely
121 Windsor—Tecumseh NDP safe
122 York Centre PCO leaning
123 York South—Weston OLP likely
124 York—Simcoe PCO safe
Electoral district
001 Ajax
002 Algoma—Manitoulin
003 Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill
004 Barrie—Innisfil
005 Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte
006 Bay of Quinte
007 Beaches—East York
008 Brampton Centre
009 Brampton East
010 Brampton North
011 Brampton South
012 Brampton West
013 Brantford—Brant
014 Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound
015 Burlington
016 Cambridge
017 Carleton
018 Chatham-Kent—Leamington
019 Davenport
020 Don Valley East
021 Don Valley North
022 Don Valley West
023 Dufferin—Caledon
024 Durham
025 Eglinton—Lawrence
026 Elgin—Middlesex—London
027 Essex
028 Etobicoke Centre
029 Etobicoke North
030 Etobicoke—Lakeshore
031 Flamborough—Glanbrook
032 Glengarry—Prescott—Russell
033 Guelph
034 Haldimand—Norfolk
035 Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock
036 Hamilton Centre
037 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek
038 Hamilton Mountain
039 Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas
040 Hastings—Lennox and Addington
041 Humber River—Black Creek
042 Huron—Bruce
043 Kanata—Carleton
044 Kenora—Rainy River
045 Kiiwetinoong
046 Kingston and the Islands
047 King—Vaughan
048 Kitchener Centre
049 Kitchener South—Hespeler
050 Kitchener—Conestoga
051 Lambton—Kent—Middlesex
052 Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston
053 Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes
054 London North Centre
055 London West
056 London—Fanshawe
057 Markham—Stouffville
058 Markham—Thornhill
059 Markham—Unionville
060 Milton
061 Mississauga Centre
062 Mississauga East—Cooksville
063 Mississauga—Erin Mills
064 Mississauga—Lakeshore
065 Mississauga—Malton
066 Mississauga—Streetsville
067 Mushkegowuk—James Bay
068 Nepean
069 Newmarket—Aurora
070 Niagara Centre
071 Niagara Falls
072 Niagara West
073 Nickel Belt
074 Nipissing
075 Northumberland—Peterborough South
076 Oakville
077 Oakville North—Burlington
078 Orléans
079 Oshawa
080 Ottawa Centre
081 Ottawa South
082 Ottawa West—Nepean
083 Ottawa—Vanier
084 Oxford
085 Parkdale—High Park
086 Parry Sound—Muskoka
087 Perth—Wellington
088 Peterborough—Kawartha
089 Pickering—Uxbridge
090 Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke
091 Richmond Hill
092 Sarnia—Lambton
093 Sault Ste. Marie
094 Scarborough Centre
095 Scarborough North
096 Scarborough Southwest
097 Scarborough—Agincourt
098 Scarborough—Guildwood
099 Scarborough—Rouge Park
100 Simcoe North
101 Simcoe—Grey
102 Spadina—Fort York
103 St. Catharines
104 Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry
105 Sudbury
106 Thornhill
107 Thunder Bay—Atikokan
108 Thunder Bay—Superior North
109 Timiskaming—Cochrane
110 Timmins
111 Toronto Centre
112 Toronto—Danforth
113 Toronto—St. Paul`s
114 University—Rosedale
115 Vaughan—Woodbridge
116 Waterloo
117 Wellington—Halton Hills
118 Whitby
119 Willowdale
120 Windsor West
121 Windsor—Tecumseh
122 York Centre
123 York South—Weston
124 York—Simcoe






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