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Recent electoral history | Etobicoke—Lakeshore


2018 2022 2025 Projection OLP 53% ± 9% 24.3% 35.8% 48.5% PC 38% ± 9% 38.4% 37.4% 40.5% NDP 5% ± 3% 32.8% 17.9% 7.0% GPO 2% ± 2% 3.6% 4.7% 2.4% NBPO 1% ± 1% 0.0% 3.4% 0.9%

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338Canada Etobicoke—Lakeshore projection

Latest update: April 29, 2026

Etobicoke—Lakeshore 44% 62% 53% ± 9% OLP 29% 47% 38% ± 9% PC 2% 8% 5% ± 3% NDP OLP 2025 48.52% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Etobicoke—Lakeshore 99%▲ OLP 1%▼ PC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Etobicoke—Lakeshore

Odds of winning | Etobicoke—Lakeshore