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Toronto
GTA-905
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Algoma—Manitoulin
MPP: Mantha, Michael (NDP)
Latest projection: March 17, 2023
Leaning NDP
Algoma—Manitoulin
44% ± 11%
NDP
36% ± 10%
PCPO
9% ± 5%
OLP
6% ± 4%
NBPO
4% ± 3%
GPO
2% ± 2%
ONP
NDP 2022
46.0%
338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50%
100%
Algoma—Manitoulin
87%
NDP
13%
PCPO
<1%
OLP
Odds of winning | March 17, 2023
Popular vote projection | Algoma—Manitoulin
OLP 9% ± 5%
PCPO 36% ± 10%
NDP 44% ± 11%
NBPO 6% ± 4%
Popular vote projection % | Algoma—Manitoulin
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
Election 2022
OLP
PCPO
NDP
NBPO
Odds of winning | Algoma—Manitoulin
OLP <1%
PCPO 13%
NDP 87%
GPO <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
Election 2022
OLP
PCPO
NDP
GPO
Recent electoral history | Algoma—Manitoulin
2014
2018
2022
Proj.
NDP
53.4%
58.3%
46.0%
44% ± 11%
PCPO
17.3%
24.6%
35.4%
36% ± 10%
OLP
24.5%
8.3%
8.7%
9% ± 5%
NBPO
0.0%
0.0%
5.3%
6% ± 4%
GPO
3.1%
3.6%
3.1%
4% ± 3%
ONP
0.0%
0.0%
1.5%
2% ± 2%