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Recent electoral history | Algoma—Manitoulin


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 37% ± 10% 24.6% 35.4% 41.3% NDP 27% ± 9% 58.3% 46.0% 27.2% OLP 19% ± 7% 8.3% 8.7% 14.5% IND 12% ± 7% 0.0% 0.0% 11.9% NBPO 3% ± 3% 0.0% 5.3% 2.6% GPO 2% ± 3% 3.6% 3.1% 2.5%

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338Canada Algoma—Manitoulin projection

Latest update: April 29, 2026

Algoma—Manitoulin 27% 47% 37% ± 10% PC 18% 36% 27% ± 9% NDP 12% 27% 19% ± 7% OLP 4% 19% 12% ± 7% IND PC 2025 41.33% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Algoma—Manitoulin 96%▼ PC 4%▲ NDP <1% OLP Odds of winning | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Algoma—Manitoulin

Odds of winning | Algoma—Manitoulin