logo
Ontario

Nipissing


MPP: Fedeli, Vic (PCPO)
Latest projection: February 20, 2025
Safe PCPO

Candidates | Nipissing


PC Party of Ontario Vic Fedeli
Liberal Party Liam Mcgarry
Ontario NDP Loren Mick
Green Party Colton Chaput
Ontario Party Scott Mooney
Libertarian Party Michelle Lashbrook

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Nipissing 56% ± 10%▼ PCPO 19% ± 7% NDP 18% ± 7% OLP 4% ± 3% GPO PCPO 2022 50.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Nipissing >99% PCPO <1% NDP <1% OLP Odds of winning | February 20, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Nipissing

OLP 18% ± 7% PCPO 56% ± 10% NDP 19% ± 7% GPO 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Nipissing 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP GPO February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 52% NDP 23% OLP 17% GPO 4% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 52% NDP 23% OLP 17% GPO 4% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 55% NDP 22% OLP 16% GPO 4% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 55% NDP 22% OLP 16% GPO 4% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 54% NDP 22% OLP 17% GPO 4% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 55% NDP 21% OLP 17% GPO 4% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 55% NDP 21% OLP 17% GPO 4% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 56% NDP 20% OLP 17% GPO 4% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 56% NDP 21% OLP 17% GPO 4% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 56% NDP 21% OLP 17% GPO 4% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 56% NDP 21% OLP 17% GPO 4% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 56% NDP 21% OLP 17% GPO 4% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 56% NDP 20% OLP 17% GPO 4% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 57% NDP 19% OLP 18% GPO 4% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 57% NDP 19% OLP 18% GPO 4% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 57% NDP 19% OLP 18% GPO 4% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 58% NDP 18% OLP 18% GPO 4% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 58% NDP 18% OLP 18% GPO 4% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 57% NDP 19% OLP 18% GPO 4% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 57% NDP 19% OLP 18% GPO 4% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 57% NDP 19% OLP 18% GPO 4% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 56% NDP 19% OLP 18% GPO 4% 2025-02-20

Odds of winning | Nipissing

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-20

Recent electoral history | Nipissing



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 41.8% 49.9% 50.2% 56% ± 10% NDP 25.7% 36.9% 28.3% 19% ± 7% OLP 26.8% 7.9% 13.5% 18% ± 7% GPO 3.8% 2.8% 3.3% 4% ± 3% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 1% ± 1%