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Recent electoral history | Brampton North


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 59% ± 10% 36.3% 45.0% 57.5% OLP 29% ± 9% 21.2% 28.8% 30.3% NDP 8% ± 4% 37.6% 19.8% 8.1% GPO 2% ± 2% 3.5% 3.0% 2.4% NBPO 2% ± 2% 0.0% 2.0% 1.6%

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338Canada Brampton North projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Brampton North 49% 69% 59% ± 10% PC 20% 38% 29% ± 9% OLP 3% 12% 8% ± 4% NDP PC 2025 57.52% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton North >99% PC <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Brampton North

OLP 29% ± 9% PC 59% ± 10% NDP 8% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Brampton North 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Election 2025 OLP PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-01-27 PC 45% OLP 31% NDP 19% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 46% OLP 31% NDP 18% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 48% OLP 30% NDP 18% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 48% OLP 29% NDP 18% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 47% OLP 30% NDP 18% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 48% OLP 31% NDP 17% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 48% OLP 31% NDP 17% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 49% OLP 30% NDP 16% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 49% OLP 30% NDP 17% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 46% OLP 32% NDP 17% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 46% OLP 31% NDP 17% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 46% OLP 32% NDP 17% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 47% OLP 32% NDP 16% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 47% OLP 33% NDP 16% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 47% OLP 33% NDP 16% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 48% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 48% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 46% OLP 34% NDP 15% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 47% OLP 34% NDP 15% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 48% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 48% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 48% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 57% OLP 30% NDP 8% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 58% OLP 30% NDP 8% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 58% OLP 30% NDP 8% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 58% OLP 30% NDP 8% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 62% OLP 28% NDP 6% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 62% OLP 28% NDP 6% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 61% OLP 28% NDP 7% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 60% OLP 29% NDP 8% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 60% OLP 29% NDP 8% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 59% OLP 29% NDP 8% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Brampton North

OLP <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Election 2025 OLP PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-01-27 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2026-02-18