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Ontario

Brampton North


MPP: Mcgregor, Graham (PCPO)
Latest projection: February 20, 2025
Likely PCPO

Candidates | Brampton North


PC Party of Ontario Graham Mcgregor
Liberal Party Ranjit Singh Bagga
Ontario NDP Ruby Zaman
Green Party Sameera Falcon Khan
New Blue Party Melanie Porte

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Brampton North 48% ± 9%▲ PCPO 33% ± 9% OLP 15% ± 6% NDP PCPO 2022 45.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton North 99% PCPO 1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 20, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Brampton North

OLP 33% ± 9% PCPO 48% ± 9% NDP 15% ± 6% GPO 3% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Brampton North 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP GPO February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 45% OLP 31% NDP 19% GPO 4% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 46% OLP 31% NDP 18% GPO 4% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 48% OLP 30% NDP 18% GPO 3% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 48% OLP 29% NDP 18% GPO 3% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 47% OLP 30% NDP 18% GPO 3% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 48% OLP 31% NDP 17% GPO 3% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 48% OLP 31% NDP 17% GPO 3% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 49% OLP 30% NDP 16% GPO 3% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 49% OLP 30% NDP 17% GPO 3% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 46% OLP 32% NDP 17% GPO 3% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 46% OLP 31% NDP 17% GPO 3% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 46% OLP 32% NDP 17% GPO 3% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 47% OLP 32% NDP 16% GPO 3% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 16% GPO 3% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 16% GPO 3% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 48% OLP 33% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 48% OLP 33% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 46% OLP 34% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 47% OLP 34% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 48% OLP 33% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2025-02-20

Odds of winning | Brampton North

OLP 1% PCPO 99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-20

Recent electoral history | Brampton North



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 24.4% 36.3% 45.0% 48% ± 9% OLP 39.9% 21.2% 28.8% 33% ± 9% NDP 31.3% 37.6% 19.8% 15% ± 6% GPO 3.4% 3.5% 3.0% 3% ± 2% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 1% ± 1%