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Ontario

Brampton North


MPP : Graham Mcgregor (PCPO)
Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Safe PCPO

Recent electoral history | Brampton North


2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 24.4% 36.3% 45.0% 58% ± 10% OLP 39.9% 21.2% 28.8% 30% ± 9% NDP 31.3% 37.6% 19.8% 8% ± 4% GPO 3.4% 3.5% 3.0% 2% ± 2% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 2% ± 2%

Brampton North 58% ± 10% PCPO 30% ± 9% OLP 8% ± 4% NDP PCPO 2022 45.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton North >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Brampton North

OLP 30% ± 9% PCPO 58% ± 10% NDP 8% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Brampton North 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 2025-11-01 2025-12-01 Election 2025 OLP PCPO NDP June 27, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 45% OLP 31% NDP 19% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 46% OLP 31% NDP 18% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 48% OLP 30% NDP 18% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 48% OLP 29% NDP 18% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 47% OLP 30% NDP 18% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 48% OLP 31% NDP 17% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 48% OLP 31% NDP 17% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 49% OLP 30% NDP 16% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 49% OLP 30% NDP 17% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 46% OLP 32% NDP 17% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 46% OLP 31% NDP 17% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 46% OLP 32% NDP 17% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 47% OLP 32% NDP 16% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 16% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 16% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 48% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 48% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 46% OLP 34% NDP 15% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 47% OLP 34% NDP 15% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 48% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO 48% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 48% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO 57% OLP 30% NDP 8% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PCPO 58% OLP 30% NDP 8% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PCPO 58% OLP 30% NDP 8% 2025-06-27

Odds of winning | Brampton North

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 2025-11-01 2025-12-01 Election 2025 OLP PCPO NDP June 27, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-06-27