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Ontario

Bay of Quinte


MPP elect: Tyler Allsopp (PCPO)
Latest projection: February 28, 2025
Safe PCPO

Candidates | Bay of Quinte


PC Party of Ontario Tyler Allsopp
Liberal Party David O'Neil
Ontario NDP Amanda Robertson
Green Party Lori Borthwick
New Blue Party Anthony Zambito
Ontario Party Nick Maddison

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Bay of Quinte 44% ± 0%▼ PCPO 31% ± 0%▲ OLP 19% ± 0%▲ NDP PCPO 2022 49.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 28, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Bay of Quinte >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 28, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Bay of Quinte

OLP 31% ± 0% PCPO 44% ± 0% NDP 19% ± 0% GPO 3% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Bay of Quinte 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP GPO February 28, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 41% OLP 30% NDP 20% GPO 6% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 41% OLP 30% NDP 19% GPO 6% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 44% OLP 29% NDP 19% GPO 6% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 44% OLP 29% NDP 19% GPO 6% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 43% OLP 30% NDP 19% GPO 6% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 44% OLP 31% NDP 17% GPO 6% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 44% OLP 31% NDP 17% GPO 6% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 45% OLP 30% NDP 17% GPO 6% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 44% OLP 30% NDP 17% GPO 6% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 44% OLP 30% NDP 17% GPO 6% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 44% OLP 30% NDP 18% GPO 6% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 44% OLP 30% NDP 18% GPO 6% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 45% OLP 31% NDP 17% GPO 6% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 45% OLP 31% NDP 16% GPO 6% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 45% OLP 31% NDP 16% GPO 6% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 45% OLP 31% NDP 16% GPO 6% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 45% OLP 31% NDP 15% GPO 6% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 45% OLP 31% NDP 15% GPO 6% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 44% OLP 32% NDP 16% GPO 6% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 44% OLP 32% NDP 16% GPO 6% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 45% OLP 31% NDP 15% GPO 6% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 45% OLP 31% NDP 15% GPO 6% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 45% OLP 31% NDP 15% GPO 6% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 46% OLP 29% NDP 16% GPO 6% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 46% OLP 29% NDP 16% GPO 6% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 46% OLP 29% NDP 16% GPO 6% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 46% OLP 29% NDP 16% GPO 6% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO 47% OLP 29% NDP 16% GPO 6% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 47% OLP 29% NDP 16% GPO 6% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO 44% OLP 31% NDP 19% GPO 3% 2025-02-28

Odds of winning | Bay of Quinte

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 28, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 97% OLP 3% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-28

Recent electoral history | Bay of Quinte



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 39.0% 48.1% 49.3% 44% ± 0% NDP 17.1% 31.8% 20.9% 19% ± 0% OLP 38.2% 14.9% 18.5% 31% ± 0% GPO 4.9% 3.4% 6.3% 3% ± 0% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.6% 1% ± 0% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 2.5% 1% ± 0%