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Recent electoral history | Bay of Quinte


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 41% ± 9% 48.1% 49.3% 44.4% OLP 36% ± 9% 14.9% 18.5% 31.5% NDP 18% ± 7% 31.8% 20.9% 18.5% GPO 3% ± 2% 3.4% 6.3% 3.4% ONP 1% ± 1% 0.0% 2.5% 1.1% NBPO 1% ± 1% 0.0% 2.6% 1.1%

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338Canada Bay of Quinte projection

Latest update: August 7, 2026

Bay of Quinte 31% 50% 41% ± 9% PC 27% 45% 36% ± 9% OLP 12% 25% 18% ± 7% NDP PC 2025 44.42% 338Canada Popular vote projection | August 7, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Bay of Quinte 78%▲ PC 22%▼ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | August 7, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Bay of Quinte

Odds of winning | Bay of Quinte