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Timiskaming—Cochrane


MPP : John Vanthof (NDP)
Latest projection: June 7, 2025
Leaning NDP

Recent electoral history | Timiskaming—Cochrane


2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 55.5% 61.2% 42.9% 44% ± 11% PCPO 17.2% 22.5% 35.5% 38% ± 10% OLP 23.2% 9.0% 6.8% 10% ± 5% GPO 1.8% 4.0% 6.2% 5% ± 4% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 3% ± 3%

Timiskaming—Cochrane 44% ± 11% NDP 38% ± 10% PCPO 10% ± 5% OLP 5% ± 4% GPO NDP 2022 42.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 7, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Timiskaming—Cochrane 78%▼ NDP 22%▲ PCPO <1% OLP Odds of winning | June 7, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Timiskaming—Cochrane

OLP 10% ± 5% PCPO 38% ± 10% NDP 44% ± 11% GPO 5% ± 4% NBPO 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Timiskaming—Cochrane 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 2025-11-01 2025-12-01 Election 2025 OLP PCPO NDP GPO NBPO June 7, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 39% NDP 37% GPO 9% OLP 8% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 39% NDP 36% GPO 9% OLP 8% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 43% NDP 36% GPO 8% OLP 8% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 43% NDP 37% GPO 8% OLP 8% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 42% NDP 37% OLP 8% GPO 8% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 43% NDP 36% OLP 9% GPO 8% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 43% NDP 36% OLP 9% GPO 8% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 43% NDP 35% OLP 9% GPO 8% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 43% NDP 35% OLP 9% GPO 8% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 43% NDP 36% OLP 9% GPO 8% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 43% NDP 36% OLP 8% GPO 8% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 43% NDP 36% OLP 8% GPO 8% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 43% NDP 35% OLP 9% GPO 8% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 44% NDP 34% OLP 9% GPO 8% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 45% NDP 35% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 42% NDP 38% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 42% NDP 38% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 42% NDP 38% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 40% NDP 39% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 41% NDP 39% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 41% NDP 38% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 41% NDP 38% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 40% NDP 39% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 40% NDP 39% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 40% NDP 39% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 40% NDP 39% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 40% NDP 39% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO 41% NDP 38% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 40% NDP 39% OLP 10% GPO 8% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NDP 44% PCPO 38% OLP 10% GPO 5% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NDP 44% PCPO 38% OLP 10% GPO 5% 2025-06-07

Odds of winning | Timiskaming—Cochrane

OLP <1% PCPO 22% NDP 78% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 2025-11-01 2025-12-01 Election 2025 OLP PCPO NDP June 7, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 64% NDP 36% OLP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 66% NDP 34% OLP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 84% NDP 16% OLP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 80% NDP 20% OLP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 77% NDP 23% OLP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 85% NDP 15% OLP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 86% NDP 14% OLP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 88% NDP 12% OLP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 88% NDP 12% OLP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 86% NDP 14% OLP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 83% NDP 17% OLP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 86% NDP 14% OLP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 89% NDP 11% OLP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 93% NDP 7% OLP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 93% NDP 7% OLP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 73% NDP 27% OLP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 70% NDP 30% OLP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 70% NDP 30% OLP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 59% NDP 41% OLP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 60% NDP 40% OLP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 67% NDP 33% OLP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 67% NDP 33% OLP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 58% NDP 42% OLP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 58% NDP 42% OLP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 57% NDP 43% OLP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 57% NDP 43% OLP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 57% NDP 43% OLP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO 66% NDP 34% OLP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 56% NDP 44% OLP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NDP 89% PCPO 11% OLP <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NDP 78% PCPO 22% OLP <1% 2025-06-07