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Recent electoral history | Timiskaming—Cochrane


2018 2022 2025 Projection NDP 46% ± 11% 61.2% 42.9% 44.1% PC 37% ± 10% 22.5% 35.5% 37.8% OLP 9% ± 5% 9.0% 6.8% 9.7% GPO 5% ± 4% 4.0% 6.2% 5.4% NBPO 3% ± 3% 0.0% 5.2% 3.1%

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338Canada Timiskaming—Cochrane projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Timiskaming—Cochrane 35% 57% 46% ± 11% NDP 27% 48% 37% ± 10% PC 4% 14% 9% ± 5% OLP 1% 9% 5% ± 4% GPO NDP 2025 44.09% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Timiskaming—Cochrane 89%▲ NDP 11%▼ PC <1% OLP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Timiskaming—Cochrane

OLP 9% ± 5% PC 37% ± 10% NDP 46% ± 11% GPO 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Timiskaming—Cochrane 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Election 2025 OLP PC NDP GPO February 18, 2026 2025-01-27 PC 39% NDP 37% GPO 9% OLP 8% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 39% NDP 36% GPO 9% OLP 8% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 43% NDP 36% GPO 8% OLP 8% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 43% NDP 37% GPO 8% OLP 8% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 42% NDP 37% OLP 8% GPO 8% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 43% NDP 36% OLP 9% GPO 8% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 43% NDP 36% OLP 9% GPO 8% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 43% NDP 35% OLP 9% GPO 8% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 43% NDP 35% OLP 9% GPO 8% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 43% NDP 36% OLP 9% GPO 8% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 43% NDP 36% OLP 8% GPO 8% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 43% NDP 36% OLP 8% GPO 8% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 43% NDP 35% OLP 9% GPO 8% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 44% NDP 34% OLP 9% GPO 8% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 45% NDP 35% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 42% NDP 38% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 42% NDP 38% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 42% NDP 38% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 40% NDP 39% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 41% NDP 39% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 41% NDP 38% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 41% NDP 38% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 40% NDP 39% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 40% NDP 39% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 40% NDP 39% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 40% NDP 39% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 40% NDP 39% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 41% NDP 38% OLP 9% GPO 9% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 40% NDP 39% OLP 10% GPO 8% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NDP 44% PC 38% OLP 10% GPO 5% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NDP 44% PC 38% OLP 10% GPO 5% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NDP 44% PC 38% OLP 10% GPO 5% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NDP 43% PC 39% OLP 10% GPO 5% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 44% NDP 39% OLP 10% GPO 5% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 42% NDP 40% OLP 9% GPO 5% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NDP 43% PC 40% OLP 9% GPO 5% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NDP 46% PC 38% OLP 9% GPO 5% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NDP 46% PC 38% OLP 9% GPO 5% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NDP 46% PC 37% OLP 9% GPO 5% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Timiskaming—Cochrane

OLP <1% PC 11% NDP 89% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Election 2025 OLP PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-01-27 PC 64% NDP 36% OLP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 66% NDP 34% OLP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 84% NDP 16% OLP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 80% NDP 20% OLP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 77% NDP 23% OLP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 85% NDP 15% OLP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 86% NDP 14% OLP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 88% NDP 12% OLP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 88% NDP 12% OLP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 86% NDP 14% OLP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 83% NDP 17% OLP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 86% NDP 14% OLP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 89% NDP 11% OLP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 93% NDP 7% OLP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 93% NDP 7% OLP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 73% NDP 27% OLP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 70% NDP 30% OLP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 70% NDP 30% OLP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 59% NDP 41% OLP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 60% NDP 40% OLP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 67% NDP 33% OLP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 67% NDP 33% OLP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 58% NDP 42% OLP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 58% NDP 42% OLP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 57% NDP 43% OLP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 57% NDP 43% OLP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 57% NDP 43% OLP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 66% NDP 34% OLP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 56% NDP 44% OLP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NDP 89% PC 11% OLP <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NDP 78% PC 22% OLP <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NDP 77% PC 23% OLP <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NDP 71% PC 29% OLP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 76% NDP 24% OLP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 62% NDP 38% OLP <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NDP 66% PC 34% OLP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NDP 86% PC 14% OLP <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NDP 87% PC 13% OLP <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NDP 89% PC 11% OLP <1% 2026-02-18