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Ontario

Timiskaming—Cochrane


MPP: Vanthof, John (NDP)

Latest projection: May 3, 2024
Toss up PCPO/NDP
Timiskaming—Cochrane 36% ± 10%▲ PCPO 35% ± 10%▲ NDP 11% ± 6%▼ OLP 9% ± 6%▲ GPO 5% ± 4%▲ NBPO NDP 2022 42.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 3, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Timiskaming—Cochrane 55%▲ PCPO 45%▼ NDP <1% OLP Odds of winning | May 3, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Timiskaming—Cochrane

OLP 11% ± 6% PCPO 36% ± 10% NDP 35% ± 10% GPO 9% ± 6% NBPO 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Timiskaming—Cochrane 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO NBPO

Odds of winning | Timiskaming—Cochrane

OLP <1% PCPO 55% NDP 45% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Timiskaming—Cochrane



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 55.5% 61.2% 42.9% 35% ± 10% PCPO 17.2% 22.5% 35.5% 36% ± 10% OLP 23.2% 9.0% 6.8% 11% ± 6% GPO 1.8% 4.0% 6.2% 9% ± 6% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 5% ± 4% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 1% ± 2%