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Recent electoral history | Timmins


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 70% ± 12% 29.6% 64.9% 68.6% NDP 19% ± 10% 57.4% 29.5% 19.9% OLP 8% ± 6% 8.8% 0.0% 8.2% GPO 2% ± 3% 1.8% 2.3% 1.8% NBPO 2% ± 3% 0.0% 2.8% 1.6%

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338Canada Timmins projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Timmins 58% 82% 70% ± 12% PC 9% 29% 19% ± 10% NDP 2% 14% 8% ± 6% OLP PC 2025 68.55% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Timmins >99% PC <1% NDP <1% OLP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Timmins

OLP 8% ± 6% PC 70% ± 12% NDP 19% ± 10% Popular vote projection % | Timmins 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Election 2025 OLP PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-01-27 PC 58% NDP 23% OLP 15% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 59% NDP 22% OLP 15% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 61% NDP 22% OLP 14% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 61% NDP 21% OLP 14% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 60% NDP 22% OLP 15% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 61% NDP 20% OLP 15% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 61% NDP 20% OLP 15% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 62% NDP 20% OLP 15% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 62% NDP 20% OLP 15% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 62% NDP 20% OLP 15% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 62% NDP 20% OLP 14% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 62% NDP 20% OLP 15% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 62% NDP 19% OLP 15% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 63% NDP 18% OLP 15% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 63% NDP 19% OLP 15% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 63% NDP 18% OLP 16% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 64% NDP 18% OLP 15% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 64% NDP 18% OLP 15% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 63% NDP 18% OLP 16% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 63% NDP 18% OLP 16% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 63% NDP 18% OLP 16% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 64% NDP 18% OLP 15% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 63% NDP 18% OLP 16% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 64% NDP 18% OLP 15% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 64% NDP 18% OLP 15% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 63% NDP 18% OLP 15% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 63% NDP 18% OLP 15% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 64% NDP 17% OLP 15% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 64% NDP 17% OLP 15% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 69% NDP 20% OLP 8% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 69% NDP 20% OLP 8% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 69% NDP 20% OLP 8% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 70% NDP 19% OLP 8% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 74% NDP 16% OLP 8% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 74% NDP 15% OLP 8% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 72% NDP 17% OLP 8% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 71% NDP 19% OLP 8% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 70% NDP 19% OLP 8% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 70% NDP 19% OLP 8% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Timmins

OLP <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Election 2025 OLP PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-01-27 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2026-02-18