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Recent electoral history | London—Fanshawe


2018 2022 2025 Projection NDP 50% ± 10% 55.7% 47.1% 47.6% PC 34% ± 9% 29.8% 32.8% 34.2% OLP 11% ± 5% 8.4% 10.4% 12.4% GPO 2% ± 2% 4.5% 3.5% 2.6% NBPO 2% ± 2% 0.0% 3.1% 1.7% IND 0% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%

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338Canada London—Fanshawe projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

London—Fanshawe 40% 60% 50% ± 10% NDP 25% 43% 34% ± 9% PC 6% 16% 11% ± 5% OLP NDP 2025 47.59% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% London—Fanshawe 99% NDP 1% PC <1% OLP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | London—Fanshawe

OLP 11% ± 5% PC 34% ± 9% NDP 50% ± 10% Popular vote projection % | London—Fanshawe 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Election 2025 OLP PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-01-27 NDP 43% PC 35% OLP 13% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NDP 42% PC 36% OLP 13% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NDP 42% PC 38% OLP 12% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NDP 42% PC 39% OLP 12% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NDP 42% PC 38% OLP 13% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NDP 41% PC 39% OLP 13% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NDP 40% PC 39% OLP 13% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NDP 40% PC 40% OLP 13% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NDP 40% PC 39% OLP 13% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NDP 40% PC 39% OLP 13% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NDP 41% PC 39% OLP 12% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NDP 41% PC 39% OLP 13% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NDP 40% PC 39% OLP 13% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 40% NDP 39% OLP 13% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 40% NDP 39% OLP 13% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NDP 43% PC 38% OLP 12% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NDP 43% PC 38% OLP 12% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NDP 43% PC 38% OLP 12% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NDP 44% PC 37% OLP 12% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NDP 43% PC 37% OLP 12% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NDP 43% PC 38% OLP 12% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NDP 43% PC 38% OLP 12% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NDP 43% PC 38% OLP 12% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NDP 43% PC 38% OLP 12% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NDP 43% PC 38% OLP 12% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NDP 43% PC 38% OLP 12% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NDP 43% PC 38% OLP 12% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NDP 42% PC 38% OLP 12% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NDP 42% PC 38% OLP 12% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NDP 48% PC 34% OLP 12% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NDP 47% PC 35% OLP 12% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NDP 47% PC 35% OLP 13% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NDP 46% PC 35% OLP 12% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NDP 42% PC 40% OLP 12% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NDP 44% PC 39% OLP 12% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NDP 46% PC 36% OLP 12% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NDP 49% PC 34% OLP 11% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NDP 49% PC 34% OLP 11% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NDP 50% PC 34% OLP 11% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | London—Fanshawe

OLP <1% PC 1% NDP 99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Election 2025 OLP PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-01-27 NDP 88% PC 12% OLP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NDP 86% PC 14% OLP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NDP 71% PC 29% OLP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NDP 69% PC 31% OLP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NDP 74% PC 26% OLP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NDP 62% PC 38% OLP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NDP 61% PC 39% OLP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NDP 54% PC 46% OLP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NDP 56% PC 44% OLP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NDP 60% PC 40% OLP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NDP 65% PC 35% OLP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NDP 59% PC 41% OLP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NDP 52% PC 48% OLP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 57% NDP 43% OLP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 56% NDP 44% OLP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NDP 79% PC 21% OLP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NDP 78% PC 22% OLP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NDP 78% PC 22% OLP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NDP 87% PC 13% OLP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NDP 85% PC 15% OLP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NDP 80% PC 20% OLP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NDP 80% PC 20% OLP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NDP 82% PC 18% OLP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NDP 83% PC 17% OLP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NDP 83% PC 17% OLP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NDP 83% PC 17% OLP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NDP 84% PC 16% OLP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NDP 76% PC 24% OLP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NDP 74% PC 26% OLP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NDP >99% PC <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NDP 98% PC 2% OLP <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NDP 98% PC 2% OLP <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NDP 96% PC 4% OLP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NDP 63% PC 37% OLP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NDP 78% PC 22% OLP <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NDP 94% PC 6% OLP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NDP 99% PC 1% OLP <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NDP 99% PC 1% OLP <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NDP 99% PC 1% OLP <1% 2026-02-18