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Ontario

Mississauga Centre


MPP: Kusendova, Natalia (PCPO)
Latest projection: February 20, 2025
Toss up OLP/PCPO

Candidates | Mississauga Centre


PC Party of Ontario Natalia Kusendova
Liberal Party Sumira Malik
Ontario NDP Waseem Ahmed
Green Party Robert Chan
New Blue Party Audrey Simpson
None of the Above Party Greg Vezina
Independent Zulfiqar Ali

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Mississauga Centre 44% ± 9% PCPO 42% ± 9% OLP 9% ± 4% NDP 4% ± 3% GPO PCPO 2022 43.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mississauga Centre 65%▲ PCPO 35%▼ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 20, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Mississauga Centre

OLP 42% ± 9% PCPO 44% ± 9% NDP 9% ± 4% GPO 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Mississauga Centre 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP GPO February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 42% OLP 39% NDP 11% GPO 4% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 43% OLP 39% NDP 11% GPO 4% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 45% OLP 38% NDP 11% GPO 4% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 46% OLP 38% NDP 11% GPO 4% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 45% OLP 38% NDP 11% GPO 4% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 45% OLP 39% NDP 10% GPO 4% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 45% OLP 39% NDP 10% GPO 4% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 46% OLP 38% NDP 10% GPO 4% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 46% OLP 38% NDP 10% GPO 4% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 43% OLP 41% NDP 10% GPO 4% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 44% OLP 40% NDP 11% GPO 4% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 44% OLP 40% NDP 10% GPO 4% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 44% OLP 41% NDP 10% GPO 4% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 44% OLP 41% NDP 9% GPO 4% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 44% OLP 41% NDP 9% GPO 4% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 44% OLP 42% NDP 9% GPO 4% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 44% OLP 41% NDP 9% GPO 4% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 44% OLP 41% NDP 9% GPO 4% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 43% OLP 42% NDP 9% GPO 4% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 43% OLP 42% NDP 9% GPO 4% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 44% OLP 42% NDP 9% GPO 4% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 44% OLP 42% NDP 9% GPO 4% 2025-02-20

Odds of winning | Mississauga Centre

OLP 35% PCPO 65% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 68% OLP 32% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 71% OLP 29% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 88% OLP 12% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 89% OLP 11% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 86% OLP 14% NDP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 84% OLP 16% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 84% OLP 16% NDP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 89% OLP 11% NDP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 89% OLP 11% NDP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 66% OLP 34% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 74% OLP 26% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 72% OLP 28% NDP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 67% OLP 33% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 65% OLP 35% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 65% OLP 35% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 62% OLP 38% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 67% OLP 33% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 68% OLP 32% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 53% OLP 47% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 55% OLP 45% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 63% OLP 37% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 65% OLP 35% NDP <1% 2025-02-20

Recent electoral history | Mississauga Centre



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 26.1% 40.9% 43.6% 44% ± 9% OLP 51.5% 25.4% 36.3% 42% ± 9% NDP 15.9% 27.6% 12.3% 9% ± 4% GPO 3.0% 2.0% 3.5% 4% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 1% ± 1%