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Ontario

Mississauga Centre


MPP : Natalia Kusendova (PCPO)
Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Leaning PCPO

Recent electoral history | Mississauga Centre


2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 26.1% 40.9% 43.6% 47% ± 10% OLP 51.5% 25.4% 36.3% 41% ± 10% NDP 15.9% 27.6% 12.3% 6% ± 4% GPO 3.0% 2.0% 3.5% 3% ± 2% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 1% ± 2% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%

Mississauga Centre 47% ± 10% PCPO 41% ± 10% OLP 6% ± 4% NDP PCPO 2022 43.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mississauga Centre 81%▼ PCPO 19%▲ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Mississauga Centre

OLP 41% ± 10% PCPO 47% ± 10% NDP 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Mississauga Centre 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 2025-11-01 2025-12-01 Election 2025 OLP PCPO NDP June 27, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 42% OLP 39% NDP 11% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 43% OLP 39% NDP 11% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 45% OLP 38% NDP 11% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 46% OLP 38% NDP 11% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 45% OLP 38% NDP 11% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 45% OLP 39% NDP 10% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 45% OLP 39% NDP 10% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 46% OLP 38% NDP 10% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 46% OLP 38% NDP 10% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 43% OLP 41% NDP 10% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 44% OLP 40% NDP 11% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 44% OLP 40% NDP 10% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 44% OLP 41% NDP 10% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 44% OLP 41% NDP 9% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 44% OLP 41% NDP 9% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 44% OLP 42% NDP 9% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 44% OLP 41% NDP 9% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 44% OLP 41% NDP 9% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 43% OLP 42% NDP 9% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 43% OLP 42% NDP 9% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 44% OLP 42% NDP 9% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 44% OLP 42% NDP 9% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 44% OLP 42% NDP 9% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 44% OLP 42% NDP 9% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 44% OLP 42% NDP 9% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 44% OLP 42% NDP 9% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 44% OLP 42% NDP 9% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO 45% OLP 41% NDP 9% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 45% OLP 41% NDP 9% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO 47% OLP 41% NDP 6% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PCPO 47% OLP 41% NDP 6% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PCPO 47% OLP 41% NDP 6% 2025-06-27

Odds of winning | Mississauga Centre

OLP 19% PCPO 81% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 2025-11-01 2025-12-01 Election 2025 OLP PCPO NDP June 27, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 68% OLP 32% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 71% OLP 29% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 88% OLP 12% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 89% OLP 11% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 86% OLP 14% NDP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 84% OLP 16% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 84% OLP 16% NDP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 89% OLP 11% NDP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 89% OLP 11% NDP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 66% OLP 34% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 74% OLP 26% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 72% OLP 28% NDP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 67% OLP 33% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 65% OLP 35% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 65% OLP 35% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 62% OLP 38% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 67% OLP 33% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 68% OLP 32% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 53% OLP 47% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 55% OLP 45% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 63% OLP 37% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 65% OLP 35% NDP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 63% OLP 37% NDP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 66% OLP 34% NDP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 66% OLP 34% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 66% OLP 34% NDP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 65% OLP 35% NDP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO 70% OLP 30% NDP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 68% OLP 32% NDP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO 90% OLP 10% NDP <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PCPO 82% OLP 18% NDP <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PCPO 81% OLP 19% NDP <1% 2025-06-27