logo
Ontario

London West


MPP elect: Peggy Sattler (NDP)
Latest projection: February 28, 2025
Safe NDP

Candidates | London West


PC Party of Ontario Beth Allison
Liberal Party Baqar Khan
Ontario NDP Peggy Sattler
Green Party Jim Johnston
New Blue Party Shane Dale
Freedom Party Tim Hodges
Libertarian Party Ken Byma
Independent Timothy Hammer

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

London West 49% ± 0%▲ NDP 35% ± 0%▼ PCPO 11% ± 0%▼ OLP NDP 2022 45.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 28, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% London West >99%▲ NDP <1%▼ PCPO <1% OLP Odds of winning | February 28, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | London West

OLP 11% ± 0% PCPO 35% ± 0% NDP 49% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | London West 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 28, 2025 2025-01-27 NDP 40% PCPO 36% OLP 15% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NDP 40% PCPO 36% OLP 15% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NDP 40% PCPO 39% OLP 14% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NDP 39% PCPO 39% OLP 14% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NDP 40% PCPO 39% OLP 15% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 39% NDP 38% OLP 15% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 39% NDP 38% OLP 15% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 40% NDP 38% OLP 15% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 40% NDP 38% OLP 15% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 40% NDP 38% OLP 15% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 39% NDP 39% OLP 14% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 40% NDP 38% OLP 15% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 40% NDP 38% OLP 15% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 41% NDP 37% OLP 15% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 41% NDP 37% OLP 15% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NDP 41% PCPO 39% OLP 13% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NDP 41% PCPO 39% OLP 13% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NDP 41% PCPO 39% OLP 13% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NDP 42% PCPO 38% OLP 13% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NDP 42% PCPO 38% OLP 13% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NDP 42% PCPO 38% OLP 13% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NDP 42% PCPO 38% OLP 13% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NDP 42% PCPO 38% OLP 13% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NDP 42% PCPO 38% OLP 13% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NDP 42% PCPO 38% OLP 13% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NDP 42% PCPO 38% OLP 13% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NDP 42% PCPO 38% OLP 13% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NDP 41% PCPO 39% OLP 13% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NDP 41% PCPO 39% OLP 13% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NDP 49% PCPO 35% OLP 11% 2025-02-28

Odds of winning | London West

OLP <1% PCPO <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 28, 2025 2025-01-27 NDP 76% PCPO 24% OLP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NDP 73% PCPO 27% OLP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NDP 53% PCPO 47% OLP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NDP 50% PCPO 50% OLP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NDP 56% PCPO 44% OLP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 58% NDP 42% OLP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 59% NDP 41% OLP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 65% NDP 35% OLP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 64% NDP 36% OLP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 59% NDP 41% OLP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 54% NDP 46% OLP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 59% NDP 41% OLP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 67% NDP 33% OLP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 74% NDP 26% OLP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 74% NDP 26% OLP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NDP 68% PCPO 32% OLP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NDP 67% PCPO 33% OLP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NDP 67% PCPO 33% OLP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NDP 78% PCPO 22% OLP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NDP 76% PCPO 24% OLP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NDP 69% PCPO 31% OLP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NDP 69% PCPO 31% OLP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NDP 71% PCPO 29% OLP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NDP 73% PCPO 27% OLP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NDP 73% PCPO 27% OLP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NDP 73% PCPO 27% OLP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NDP 74% PCPO 26% OLP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NDP 64% PCPO 36% OLP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NDP 62% PCPO 38% OLP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NDP >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-28

Recent electoral history | London West



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 40.2% 55.3% 45.1% 49% ± 0% PCPO 29.9% 29.0% 33.9% 35% ± 0% OLP 23.7% 9.9% 12.2% 11% ± 0% GPO 4.1% 3.8% 3.4% 2% ± 0% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.6% 1% ± 0% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%