Southwestern Ontario
23 provincial districts
Latest update: February 18, 2026
Seat and vote projections — Southwestern Ontario
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Southwestern Ontario
23 provincial districts
Latest update: February 18, 2026
Methodology note.
Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Methodology note.
Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.
Ontario Projection | Southwestern Ontario
Ontario Seat Projection | Southwestern Ontario
List of districts | Southwestern Ontario
Latest update: February 18, 2026
| Electoral districts | Current party |
Projection |
|---|---|---|
Will Bouma
|
Safe PCPO | |
Paul Vickers
|
Likely PCPO | |
Brian Riddell
|
Likely PCPO | |
Trevor Jones
|
Safe PCPO | |
Rob Flack
|
Safe PCPO | |
Anthony Leardi
|
Safe PCPO | |
Mike Schreiner
|
Safe GPO | |
Bobbi Ann Brady
|
IND safe | |
Lisa Thompson
|
Safe PCPO | |
Aislinn Clancy
|
Safe GPO | |
Jess Dixon
|
Safe PCPO | |
Mike Harris
|
Likely PCPO | |
Stephen Pinsonneault
|
Safe PCPO | |
Terence Kernaghan
|
Likely NDP | |
Peggy Sattler
|
Likely NDP | |
Teresa Armstrong
|
Likely NDP | |
Ernie Hardeman
|
Safe PCPO | |
Matthew Rae
|
Safe PCPO | |
Bob Bailey
|
Safe PCPO | |
Catherine Fife
|
Safe NDP | |
Joseph Racinsky
|
Safe PCPO | |
Lisa Gretzky
|
Likely NDP | |
Andrew Dowie
|
Safe PCPO |