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Southwestern Ontario

23 provincial districts
Latest update: April 29, 2026

Southwestern Ontario 31% 44% 38% ± 6% PC 19% 29% 24% ± 5% OLP 17% 26% 22% ± 5% NDP 7% 12% 9% ± 3% GPO 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Southwestern Ontario, 23 federal districts 14 [12-15] PC 5 [5-5] NDP 2 [2-2] GPO 1 ▲ [0-3] OLP 1  [1-1] IND 338Canada seat projection | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Ontario Projection | Southwestern Ontario

Ontario Seat Projection | Southwestern Ontario



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List of districts | Southwestern Ontario
Latest update: April 29, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Will Bouma
PC Safe PCPO
PC Leaning PCPO
Brian Riddell
PC Toss up OLP/PC
PC Safe PCPO
PC Safe PCPO
Anthony Leardi
PC Safe PCPO
Mike Schreiner
G Safe GPO
Bobbi Ann Brady
I IND safe
Lisa Thompson
PC Likely PCPO
Aislinn Clancy
G Safe GPO
PC Likely PCPO
Mike Harris
PC Toss up OLP/PC
Stephen Pinsonneault
PC Likely PCPO
Terence Kernaghan
N Safe NDP
Peggy Sattler
N Safe NDP
Teresa Armstrong
N Safe NDP
Ernie Hardeman
PC Safe PCPO
Matthew Rae
PC Likely PCPO
Bob Bailey
PC Safe PCPO
Catherine Fife
N Safe NDP
Joseph Racinsky
PC Likely PCPO
Lisa Gretzky
N Safe NDP
Andrew Dowie
PC Likely PCPO