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Recent electoral history | Waterloo


2018 2022 2025 Projection NDP 53% ± 9% 50.5% 45.9% 50.2% PC 23% ± 7% 31.4% 29.3% 27.4% OLP 17% ± 6% 12.2% 13.9% 15.7% GPO 3% ± 2% 4.8% 6.9% 3.6% NBPO 1% ± 1% 0.0% 2.6% 1.1% ONP 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.8% 1.0%

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338Canada Waterloo projection

Latest update: April 29, 2026

Waterloo 44% 63% 53% ± 9% NDP 16% 30% 23% ± 7% PC 11% 23% 17% ± 6% OLP NDP 2025 50.23% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Waterloo >99% NDP <1% PC <1% OLP Odds of winning | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Waterloo

Odds of winning | Waterloo