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Recent electoral history | Burlington


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 45% ± 9% 40.4% 42.5% 43.1% OLP 42% ± 9% 24.6% 29.4% 43.1% NDP 8% ± 4% 28.6% 17.6% 8.0% GPO 3% ± 2% 4.5% 6.7% 3.4% NBPO 1% ± 1% 0.0% 2.5% 1.3%

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338Canada Burlington projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Burlington 36% 54% 45% ± 9% PC 33% 51% 42% ± 9% OLP 4% 11% 8% ± 4% NDP PC 2025 43.14% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Burlington 69%▼ PC 31%▲ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Burlington

Odds of winning | Burlington