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Recent electoral history | Burlington


2018 2022 2025 Projection OLP 47% ± 9% 24.6% 29.4% 43.1% PC 39% ± 9% 40.4% 42.5% 43.1% NDP 9% ± 4% 28.6% 17.6% 8.0% GPO 3% ± 2% 4.5% 6.7% 3.4% NBPO 1% ± 1% 0.0% 2.5% 1.3%

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338Canada Burlington projection

Latest update: November 3, 2026

Burlington 38% 55% 47% ± 9% OLP 30% 48% 39% ± 9% PC 5% 13% 9% ± 4% NDP PC 2025 43.14% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 3, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Burlington 89%▼ OLP 11%▲ PC <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 3, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Burlington

Odds of winning | Burlington