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Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock

Latest update: February 18, 2026
PC
MPP: Laurie Scott
Ontario PC
Safe PCPO
Projection — Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock → Regional projection — Central Ontario → All Ontario provincial districts → Ontario projection map → Ontario polls → Back to 338Canada Ontario home → Ontario simulator → Riding roulette! →

Recent electoral history | Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 54% ± 9% 56.7% 52.8% 52.0% OLP 22% ± 7% 9.9% 13.6% 22.9% NDP 13% ± 5% 26.5% 15.8% 13.7% GPO 5% ± 3% 4.5% 7.1% 5.1% NBPO 2% ± 2% 0.0% 1.8% 2.4% ONP 2% ± 2% 0.0% 7.9% 1.8% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8%

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338Canada Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock 45% 62% 54% ± 9% PC 15% 29% 22% ± 7% OLP 8% 18% 13% ± 5% NDP 2% 8% 5% ± 3% GPO PC 2025 51.95% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock >99% PC <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock

Odds of winning | Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock