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Ontario


Niagara Centre


MPP: Burch, Jeff (NDP)


Latest projection: December 30, 2022

Toss up PCPO/NDP
Niagara Centre 40% ± 9% NDP 37% ± 9% PCPO 13% ± 5% OLP 5% ± 3% GPO 3% ± 2% NBPO 2% ± 2% ONP NDP 2022 39.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 30, 2022
50% 100% Niagara Centre 68% NDP 32% PCPO <1% OLP Odds of winning | December 30, 2022


Popular vote projection | Niagara Centre

OLP 13% ± 5% PCPO 37% ± 9% NDP 40% ± 9% GPO 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Niagara Centre 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Odds of winning | Niagara Centre

OLP <1% PCPO 32% NDP 68% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Niagara Centre



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 47.9% 44.3% 39.7% 40% ± 9% PCPO 26.6% 37.5% 37.6% 37% ± 9% OLP 20.4% 11.8% 13.3% 13% ± 5% GPO 4.0% 3.7% 4.5% 5% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.8% 3% ± 2% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 2% ± 2%