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Ontario


Hamilton Mountain


MPP: Taylor, Monique (NDP)


Latest projection: March 5, 2024

Likely NDP
Hamilton Mountain 38% ± 9%▼ 28% ± 8%▲ 23% ± 7% 8% ± 5%▲ NDP 2022 45.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 5, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Hamilton Mountain 96%▼ 4%▲ <1% Odds of winning | March 5, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Hamilton Mountain

OLP 23% ± 7% PCPO 28% ± 8% NDP 38% ± 9% GPO 8% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Hamilton Mountain 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Odds of winning | Hamilton Mountain

OLP <1% PCPO 4% NDP 96% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Hamilton Mountain



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 48.6% 54.6% 45.0% 38% ± 9% PCPO 17.6% 28.8% 29.9% 28% ± 8% OLP 28.1% 9.2% 15.5% 23% ± 7% GPO 4.3% 5.1% 5.6% 8% ± 5% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 2% ± 2% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 1% ± 2%