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Ontario


Thunder Bay—Superior North


MPP: Vaugeois, Lise (NDP)


Latest projection: March 17, 2023

Toss up OLP/PCPO/NDP
Thunder Bay—Superior North 32% ± 10% NDP 31% ± 9% PCPO 30% ± 9% OLP 3% ± 3% GPO 1% ± 2% ONP NDP 2022 34.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50% 100% Thunder Bay—Superior North 45% NDP 30% PCPO 25% OLP Odds of winning | March 17, 2023


Popular vote projection | Thunder Bay—Superior North

OLP 30% ± 9% PCPO 31% ± 9% NDP 32% ± 10% Popular vote projection % | Thunder Bay—Superior North 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP

Odds of winning | Thunder Bay—Superior North

OLP 25% PCPO 30% NDP 45% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Thunder Bay—Superior North



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 29.5% 37.1% 34.1% 32% ± 10% PCPO 7.2% 18.0% 30.9% 31% ± 9% OLP 56.0% 39.9% 28.3% 30% ± 9% GPO 3.6% 2.8% 3.0% 3% ± 3% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 1% ± 2% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 1% ± 2%