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Ontario
Electoral districts
All 124 electoral districts
Toronto
GTA-905
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Thunder Bay—Superior North
MPP: Vaugeois, Lise (NDP)
Latest projection: March 17, 2023
Toss up OLP/PCPO/NDP
Thunder Bay—Superior North
32% ± 10%
NDP
31% ± 9%
PCPO
30% ± 9%
OLP
3% ± 3%
GPO
1% ± 2%
ONP
NDP 2022
34.1%
338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50%
100%
Thunder Bay—Superior North
45%
NDP
30%
PCPO
25%
OLP
Odds of winning | March 17, 2023
Popular vote projection | Thunder Bay—Superior North
OLP 30% ± 9%
PCPO 31% ± 9%
NDP 32% ± 10%
Popular vote projection % | Thunder Bay—Superior North
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
Election 2022
OLP
PCPO
NDP
Odds of winning | Thunder Bay—Superior North
OLP 25%
PCPO 30%
NDP 45%
GPO <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
Election 2022
OLP
PCPO
NDP
GPO
Recent electoral history | Thunder Bay—Superior North
2014
2018
2022
Proj.
NDP
29.5%
37.1%
34.1%
32% ± 10%
PCPO
7.2%
18.0%
30.9%
31% ± 9%
OLP
56.0%
39.9%
28.3%
30% ± 9%
GPO
3.6%
2.8%
3.0%
3% ± 3%
ONP
0.0%
0.0%
1.4%
1% ± 2%
NBPO
0.0%
0.0%
1.3%
1% ± 2%