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Ontario

Windsor West


MPP: Gretzky, Lisa (NDP)
Latest projection: February 20, 2025
Toss up PCPO/NDP

Candidates | Windsor West


PC Party of Ontario Tony Francis
Ontario NDP Lisa Gretzky
Green Party Nick Kolasky
New Blue Party Joshua Griffin
Ontario Party Matthew Giancola
None of the Above Party Mark Dewdney

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Windsor West 45% ± 9% NDP 45% ± 9%▲ PCPO 5% ± 3%▼ GPO NDP 2022 42.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Windsor West 54%▲ NDP 46%▼ PCPO <1% GPO Odds of winning | February 20, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Windsor West

PCPO 45% ± 9% NDP 45% ± 9% GPO 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Windsor West 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins PCPO NDP GPO February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 NDP 38% PCPO 38% GPO 4% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 38% NDP 38% GPO 4% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 40% NDP 38% GPO 4% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 40% NDP 38% GPO 4% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 39% NDP 39% GPO 3% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 40% NDP 37% GPO 4% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 40% NDP 37% GPO 4% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 41% NDP 37% GPO 4% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 41% NDP 37% GPO 4% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 40% NDP 37% GPO 4% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 40% NDP 38% GPO 4% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 40% NDP 37% GPO 4% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 41% NDP 37% GPO 4% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 41% NDP 36% GPO 4% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 45% NDP 44% GPO 7% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NDP 45% PCPO 44% GPO 7% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 44% NDP 44% GPO 7% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 45% NDP 44% GPO 7% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NDP 45% PCPO 43% GPO 7% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NDP 45% PCPO 43% GPO 7% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NDP 45% PCPO 44% GPO 7% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NDP 45% PCPO 45% GPO 5% 2025-02-20

Odds of winning | Windsor West

OLP <1% PCPO 46% NDP 54% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 NDP 50% PCPO 50% OLP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 53% NDP 47% OLP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 62% NDP 38% OLP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 60% NDP 40% OLP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 55% NDP 45% OLP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 67% NDP 33% OLP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 68% NDP 32% OLP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 74% NDP 26% OLP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 72% NDP 28% OLP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 69% NDP 31% OLP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 64% NDP 36% OLP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 70% NDP 30% OLP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 76% NDP 24% OLP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 81% NDP 19% OLP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 50% NDP 50% OLP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NDP 51% PCPO 49% OLP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 50% NDP 50% OLP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 51% NDP 49% OLP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NDP 63% PCPO 37% OLP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NDP 61% PCPO 39% OLP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NDP 52% PCPO 48% OLP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NDP 54% PCPO 46% OLP <1% 2025-02-20

Recent electoral history | Windsor West



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 41.4% 52.1% 42.1% 45% ± 9% PCPO 14.4% 28.4% 35.3% 45% ± 9% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 2% ± 2% GPO 3.2% 3.6% 2.8% 5% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 1% ± 1%