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Ontario


Lambton—Kent—Middlesex


MPP: Mcnaughton, Monte (PC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2023

Safe PCPO
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex 59% ± 9% PCPO 18% ± 7% NDP 10% ± 5% OLP 7% ± 4% NBPO 4% ± 3% GPO 2% ± 2% ONP PCPO 2022 59.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50% 100% Lambton—Kent—Middlesex >99% PCPO <1% NDP <1% OLP Odds of winning | March 17, 2023


Popular vote projection | Lambton—Kent—Middlesex

OLP 10% ± 5% PCPO 59% ± 9% NDP 18% ± 7% GPO 4% ± 3% NBPO 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Lambton—Kent—Middlesex 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO NBPO

Odds of winning | Lambton—Kent—Middlesex

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Lambton—Kent—Middlesex



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 45.3% 55.3% 59.0% 59% ± 9% NDP 26.4% 33.3% 18.8% 18% ± 7% OLP 20.2% 6.2% 9.7% 10% ± 5% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 7% ± 4% GPO 4.6% 3.3% 4.0% 4% ± 3% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 2% ± 2%