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Ontario


Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill


MPP: Parsa, Michael (PC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2023

Safe PCPO
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill 52% ± 9% PCPO 32% ± 8% OLP 7% ± 4% NDP 4% ± 3% GPO 2% ± 2% ONP 2% ± 2% NBPO PCPO 2022 53.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50% 100% Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 17, 2023


Popular vote projection | Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill

OLP 32% ± 8% PCPO 52% ± 9% NDP 7% ± 4% GPO 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Odds of winning | Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 38.1% 56.0% 53.3% 52% ± 9% OLP 45.7% 21.6% 30.7% 32% ± 8% NDP 10.5% 18.0% 7.7% 7% ± 4% GPO 3.5% 2.7% 3.9% 4% ± 3% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 2.2% 2% ± 2% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 2% ± 2%