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Ontario

University—Rosedale


MPP: Bell, Jessica (NDP)

Latest projection: May 3, 2024
Leaning NDP
University—Rosedale 34% ± 9% NDP 30% ± 8%▼ OLP 18% ± 8%▲ GPO 17% ± 6% PCPO NDP 2022 37.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 3, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% University—Rosedale 74%▼ NDP 26%▲ OLP <1% GPO Odds of winning | May 3, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | University—Rosedale

OLP 30% ± 8% PCPO 17% ± 6% NDP 34% ± 9% GPO 18% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | University—Rosedale 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Odds of winning | University—Rosedale

OLP 26% PCPO <1% NDP 74% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | University—Rosedale



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 24.3% 49.7% 37.8% 34% ± 9% OLP 48.1% 22.1% 27.2% 30% ± 8% PCPO 18.4% 21.1% 17.4% 17% ± 6% GPO 7.1% 5.4% 15.9% 18% ± 8% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 1% ± 1%