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Recent electoral history | Niagara West


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 47% ± 9% 52.7% 44.9% 50.2% OLP 28% ± 8% 10.7% 19.2% 25.0% NDP 17% ± 6% 29.8% 20.7% 16.5% GPO 4% ± 3% 5.6% 6.5% 4.5% NBPO 1% ± 2% 0.0% 2.6% 1.5% ONP 1% ± 2% 0.0% 5.3% 1.4%

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338Canada Niagara West projection

Latest update: November 3, 2026

Niagara West 37% 56% 47% ± 9% ▲ PC 20% 36% 28% ± 8% ▼ OLP 11% 24% 17% ± 6% NDP 1% 7% 4% ± 3% GPO PC 2025 50.23% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 3, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Niagara West >99% PC <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 3, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Niagara West

Odds of winning | Niagara West