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Recent electoral history | Kanata—Carleton


2018 2022 2025 Projection OLP 48% ± 10% 17.2% 23.4% 47.7% PC 42% ± 9% 43.6% 43.5% 40.7% NDP 6% ± 3% 28.6% 24.3% 7.3% GPO 2% ± 2% 5.3% 5.5% 2.5% NBPO 1% ± 1% 0.0% 5.5% 1.1% ONP 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.9% 0.7%

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338Canada Kanata—Carleton projection

Latest update: March 20, 2026

Kanata—Carleton 38% 58% 48% ± 10% OLP 33% 51% 42% ± 9% PC 3% 9% 6% ± 3% NDP OLP 2025 47.67% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 20, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kanata—Carleton 81%▲ OLP 19%▼ PC <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 20, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Kanata—Carleton

Odds of winning | Kanata—Carleton