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Ontario

Eastern Ontario, 8 districts


Latest update: May 3, 2024
Eastern Ontario 45% ± 7%▲ PCPO 25% ± 6%▼ OLP 19% ± 5% NDP 6% ± 3% GPO 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 3, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Eastern Ontario, 8 districts 7▲ [6-7] PCPO 1▼ [1-2] OLP 0 [0-0] NDP 0 [0-0] GPO 338Canada seat projection | May 3, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Eastern Ontario

OLP 25% ± 6% PCPO 45% ± 7% NDP 19% ± 5% GPO 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Eastern Ontario 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Seat projection | Eastern Ontario

OLP 1 [1-2] PCPO 7 [6-7] Seat projection | Eastern Ontario 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO

Seat projection | Eastern Ontario


Latest update: May 3, 2024
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2022)
6 0 0 1 7 7
0 1 0 0 1 1
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0

List of electoral districts | Eastern Ontario


Latest update: May 3, 2024
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
006 Bay of Quinte Safe PCPO
032 Glengarry—Prescott—Russell Toss up OLP/PCPO
040 Hastings—Lennox and Addington Safe PCPO
046 Kingston and the Islands Likely OLP
052 Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston Safe PCPO
053 Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes Safe PCPO
090 Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke Safe PCPO
104 Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry Safe PCPO