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Eastern Ontario

8 provincial districts
Latest update: December 20, 2025

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Eastern Ontario 42% 57% 50% ± 7% PC 26% 39% 32% ± 6% OLP 8% 15% 11% ± 3% NDP 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. Details on 338Canada’s methodology are available here.
Eastern Ontario, 8 federal districts 7 [7-7] PC 1  [1-1] OLP 338Canada seat projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current range from worst- to best-case outcomes. Values near the centre of the distribution are more likely than the extremes, as the results follow Gaussian-like (bell-curve) distributions. Does it work? See 338Canada’s full record here.

Popular vote projection | Eastern Ontario

OLP 32% ± 6% PC 50% ± 7% NDP 11% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Eastern Ontario 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 OLP PC NDP December 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PC 47% OLP 25% NDP 18% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 47% OLP 25% NDP 18% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 50% OLP 25% NDP 17% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 50% OLP 25% NDP 17% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 50% OLP 25% NDP 17% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 50% OLP 26% NDP 16% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 50% OLP 26% NDP 16% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 51% OLP 25% NDP 16% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 51% OLP 25% NDP 16% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 50% OLP 26% NDP 16% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 51% OLP 25% NDP 16% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 51% OLP 25% NDP 16% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 51% OLP 26% NDP 15% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 51% OLP 26% NDP 15% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 51% OLP 26% NDP 15% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 51% OLP 26% NDP 14% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 52% OLP 26% NDP 14% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 52% OLP 26% NDP 14% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 50% OLP 27% NDP 15% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 51% OLP 27% NDP 14% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 51% OLP 26% NDP 14% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 51% OLP 26% NDP 14% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 51% OLP 26% NDP 14% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 52% OLP 26% NDP 14% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 52% OLP 26% NDP 15% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 52% OLP 26% NDP 15% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 52% OLP 26% NDP 15% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 52% OLP 26% NDP 14% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 52% OLP 26% NDP 14% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 48% OLP 34% NDP 12% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 48% OLP 34% NDP 12% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 48% OLP 34% NDP 12% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 48% OLP 33% NDP 11% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 52% OLP 32% NDP 9% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 52% OLP 32% NDP 9% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 51% OLP 32% NDP 10% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 50% OLP 32% NDP 11% 2025-12-20

Seat projection | Eastern Ontario

OLP 1 [1-1] PC 7 [7-7] Seat projection | Eastern Ontario 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 OLP PC December 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 7 OLP 1 2025-12-20

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List of districts | Eastern Ontario
Latest update: December 20, 2025

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Tyler Allsopp
PC Likely PCPO
Stéphane Sarrazin
PC Likely PCPO
PC Safe PCPO
L Safe OLP
PC Safe PCPO
PC Safe PCPO
PC Safe PCPO
PC Safe PCPO