logo
Ontario

Mississauga—Lakeshore


MPP : Rudy Cuzzetto (PCPO)
Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Leaning PCPO

Recent electoral history | Mississauga—Lakeshore


2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 33.5% 42.3% 45.0% 48% ± 10% OLP 50.5% 35.0% 36.8% 44% ± 10% NDP 10.7% 18.3% 8.5% 4% ± 3% GPO 3.2% 3.0% 5.0% 2% ± 2% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.4% 1% ± 1% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 1%

Mississauga—Lakeshore 48% ± 10% PCPO 44% ± 10% OLP 4% ± 3% NDP PCPO 2022 45.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mississauga—Lakeshore 72%▼ PCPO 28%▲ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Mississauga—Lakeshore

OLP 44% ± 10% PCPO 48% ± 10% NDP 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Mississauga—Lakeshore 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 2025-11-01 2025-12-01 Election 2025 OLP PCPO NDP June 27, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 43% OLP 40% NDP 8% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 44% OLP 40% NDP 8% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 47% OLP 39% NDP 8% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 47% OLP 38% NDP 8% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 46% OLP 39% NDP 8% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 46% OLP 40% NDP 7% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 46% OLP 40% NDP 7% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 47% OLP 39% NDP 7% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 47% OLP 39% NDP 7% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 44% OLP 41% NDP 7% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 45% OLP 40% NDP 7% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 45% OLP 41% NDP 7% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 45% OLP 41% NDP 7% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 44% OLP 42% NDP 6% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 45% OLP 42% NDP 7% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 45% OLP 42% NDP 6% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 44% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 44% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 OLP 44% PCPO 42% NDP 6% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 OLP 44% PCPO 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 OLP 43% PCPO 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 44% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 43% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 44% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 44% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 44% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 44% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO 44% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 44% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO 47% OLP 44% NDP 5% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PCPO 48% OLP 44% NDP 4% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PCPO 48% OLP 44% NDP 4% 2025-06-27

Odds of winning | Mississauga—Lakeshore

OLP 28% PCPO 72% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 2025-11-01 2025-12-01 Election 2025 OLP PCPO NDP June 27, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 71% OLP 29% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 73% OLP 27% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 89% OLP 11% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 90% OLP 10% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 87% OLP 13% NDP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 85% OLP 15% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 85% OLP 15% NDP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 90% OLP 10% NDP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 90% OLP 10% NDP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 68% OLP 32% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 77% OLP 23% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 73% OLP 27% NDP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 69% OLP 31% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 67% OLP 33% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 67% OLP 33% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 64% OLP 36% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 54% OLP 46% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 55% OLP 45% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 OLP 60% PCPO 40% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 OLP 58% PCPO 42% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 OLP 50% PCPO 50% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 53% OLP 47% NDP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 51% OLP 49% NDP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 53% OLP 47% NDP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 53% OLP 47% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 51% OLP 49% NDP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 51% OLP 49% NDP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO 56% OLP 44% NDP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 55% OLP 45% NDP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO 82% OLP 18% NDP <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PCPO 73% OLP 27% NDP <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PCPO 72% OLP 28% NDP <1% 2025-06-27