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Ontario

Mississauga—Lakeshore


MPP elect: Rudy Cuzzetto (PCPO)
Latest projection: February 28, 2025
Leaning PCPO

Candidates | Mississauga—Lakeshore


PC Party of Ontario Rudy Cuzzetto
Liberal Party Elizabeth Mendes
Ontario NDP Spencer Yang Ki
Green Party Julia Budahazy
New Blue Party Renata Cynarska
Moderate Party Oleksii Avdeiev
Independent Ayoub Bumbia

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Mississauga—Lakeshore 47% ± 0%▲ PCPO 44% ± 0%▲ OLP 5% ± 0%▼ NDP PCPO 2022 45.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 28, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mississauga—Lakeshore 82%▲ PCPO 18%▼ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 28, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Mississauga—Lakeshore

OLP 44% ± 0% PCPO 47% ± 0% NDP 5% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Mississauga—Lakeshore 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 28, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 43% OLP 40% NDP 8% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 44% OLP 40% NDP 8% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 47% OLP 39% NDP 8% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 47% OLP 38% NDP 8% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 46% OLP 39% NDP 8% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 46% OLP 40% NDP 7% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 46% OLP 40% NDP 7% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 47% OLP 39% NDP 7% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 47% OLP 39% NDP 7% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 44% OLP 41% NDP 7% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 45% OLP 40% NDP 7% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 45% OLP 41% NDP 7% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 45% OLP 41% NDP 7% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 44% OLP 42% NDP 6% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 45% OLP 42% NDP 7% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 45% OLP 42% NDP 6% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 44% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 44% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 OLP 44% PCPO 42% NDP 6% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 OLP 44% PCPO 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 OLP 43% PCPO 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 44% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 43% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 44% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 44% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 44% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 44% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO 44% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 44% OLP 43% NDP 6% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO 47% OLP 44% NDP 5% 2025-02-28

Odds of winning | Mississauga—Lakeshore

OLP 18% PCPO 82% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 28, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 71% OLP 29% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 73% OLP 27% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 89% OLP 11% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 90% OLP 10% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 87% OLP 13% NDP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 85% OLP 15% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 85% OLP 15% NDP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 90% OLP 10% NDP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 90% OLP 10% NDP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 68% OLP 32% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 77% OLP 23% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 73% OLP 27% NDP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 69% OLP 31% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 67% OLP 33% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 67% OLP 33% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 64% OLP 36% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 54% OLP 46% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 55% OLP 45% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 OLP 60% PCPO 40% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 OLP 58% PCPO 42% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 OLP 50% PCPO 50% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 53% OLP 47% NDP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 51% OLP 49% NDP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 53% OLP 47% NDP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 53% OLP 47% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 51% OLP 49% NDP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 51% OLP 49% NDP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO 56% OLP 44% NDP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 55% OLP 45% NDP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO 82% OLP 18% NDP <1% 2025-02-28

Recent electoral history | Mississauga—Lakeshore



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 33.5% 42.3% 45.0% 47% ± 0% OLP 50.5% 35.0% 36.8% 44% ± 0% NDP 10.7% 18.3% 8.5% 5% ± 0% GPO 3.2% 3.0% 5.0% 2% ± 0% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.4% 1% ± 0% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%