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Ontario

Glengarry—Prescott—Russell


MPP : Stéphane Sarrazin (PCPO)
Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Likely PCPO

Recent electoral history | Glengarry—Prescott—Russell


2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 32.6% 41.0% 42.5% 51% ± 9% OLP 49.7% 31.7% 39.0% 37% ± 9% NDP 12.5% 21.8% 8.6% 5% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 4.4% 2% ± 2% GPO 3.2% 2.9% 3.8% 2% ± 2% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 1.9% 2% ± 2% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%

Glengarry—Prescott—Russell 51% ± 9% PCPO 37% ± 9% OLP 5% ± 3% NDP PCPO 2022 42.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Glengarry—Prescott—Russell 99% PCPO 1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Glengarry—Prescott—Russell

OLP 37% ± 9% PCPO 51% ± 9% NDP 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Glengarry—Prescott—Russell 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 2025-11-01 2025-12-01 Election 2025 OLP PCPO NDP June 27, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 44% OLP 39% NDP 8% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 45% OLP 39% NDP 8% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 48% OLP 38% NDP 8% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 48% OLP 37% NDP 8% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 47% OLP 38% NDP 8% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 47% OLP 39% NDP 7% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 47% OLP 38% NDP 7% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 48% OLP 38% NDP 7% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 48% OLP 38% NDP 7% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 48% OLP 38% NDP 7% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 48% OLP 37% NDP 8% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 48% OLP 38% NDP 7% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 48% OLP 38% NDP 7% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 48% OLP 39% NDP 7% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 47% OLP 38% NDP 7% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 47% OLP 39% NDP 6% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 48% OLP 38% NDP 6% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 48% OLP 38% NDP 6% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 46% OLP 39% NDP 6% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 47% OLP 39% NDP 6% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 47% OLP 39% NDP 6% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 48% OLP 38% NDP 6% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 47% OLP 39% NDP 6% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 48% OLP 38% NDP 6% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 48% OLP 38% NDP 6% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 48% OLP 38% NDP 6% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 48% OLP 38% NDP 6% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO 48% OLP 38% NDP 6% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 48% OLP 38% NDP 6% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO 51% OLP 37% NDP 5% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PCPO 51% OLP 37% NDP 5% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PCPO 51% OLP 37% NDP 5% 2025-06-27

Odds of winning | Glengarry—Prescott—Russell

OLP 1% PCPO 99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 2025-11-01 2025-12-01 Election 2025 OLP PCPO NDP June 27, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 80% OLP 20% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 82% OLP 18% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 92% OLP 8% NDP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 91% OLP 9% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 91% OLP 9% NDP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 91% OLP 9% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 88% OLP 12% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 87% OLP 13% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 91% OLP 9% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 92% OLP 8% NDP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 91% OLP 9% NDP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-06-27