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Recent electoral history | Ottawa Centre


2018 2022 2025 Projection NDP 58% ± 9% 46.1% 54.4% 55.7% OLP 21% ± 7% 32.8% 22.5% 23.3% PC 16% ± 6% 16.1% 15.7% 16.4% GPO 2% ± 2% 3.5% 4.8% 2.7% NBPO 1% ± 1% 0.0% 1.4% 0.8% ONP 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% IND 0% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%

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338Canada Ottawa Centre projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Ottawa Centre 49% 67% 58% ± 9% NDP 15% 28% 21% ± 7% OLP 11% 22% 16% ± 6% PC NDP 2025 55.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Ottawa Centre >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% PC Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Ottawa Centre

Odds of winning | Ottawa Centre