logo
Ontario

Recent electoral history | Toronto—Danforth


2018 2022 2025 Projection NDP 61% ± 10% 64.3% 55.4% 60.4% OLP 23% ± 8% 14.1% 22.4% 21.2% PC 12% ± 5% 15.9% 13.4% 14.6% GPO 3% ± 2% 4.4% 6.1% 2.8% NBPO 1% ± 1% 0.0% 1.2% 1.0%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Ontario flag

338Canada Toronto—Danforth projection

Latest update: May 24, 2026

Toronto—Danforth 52% 71% 61% ± 10% NDP 16% 31% 23% ± 8% OLP 7% 17% 12% ± 5% PC NDP 2025 60.42% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Toronto—Danforth >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% PC Odds of winning | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Toronto—Danforth

Odds of winning | Toronto—Danforth