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Ontario


Kitchener Centre


MPP: Clancy, Aislinn (GPO)


Latest projection: December 1, 2023

Safe GPO
Kitchener Centre 47% ± 11%▲ 25% ± 8%▼ 17% ± 7%▼ 10% ± 5%▼ NDP 2022 40.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 1, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Kitchener Centre >99%▲ <1%▼ <1% Odds of winning | December 1, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Kitchener Centre

OLP 10% ± 5% PCPO 17% ± 7% NDP 25% ± 8% GPO 47% ± 11% Popular vote projection % | Kitchener Centre 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Odds of winning | Kitchener Centre

OLP <1% PCPO <1% NDP <1% GPO >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Kitchener Centre



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 26.8% 43.4% 40.6% 25% ± 8% PCPO 25.2% 27.7% 26.7% 17% ± 7% OLP 40.5% 20.1% 14.7% 10% ± 5% GPO 6.3% 6.8% 12.8% 47% ± 11% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 1% ± 2%