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Ontario

Central Ontario, 8 districts


Latest update: May 3, 2024
Central Ontario 46% ± 7%▲ PCPO 25% ± 6%▼ OLP 14% ± 4% NDP 10% ± 4% GPO 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 3, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Central Ontario, 8 districts 7 [6-8] PCPO 1 [0-2] OLP 0 [0-0] NDP 0 [0-0] GPO 338Canada seat projection | May 3, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Central Ontario

OLP 25% ± 6% PCPO 46% ± 7% NDP 14% ± 4% GPO 10% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Central Ontario 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Seat projection | Central Ontario

OLP 1 [0-2] PCPO 7 [6-8] Seat projection | Central Ontario 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO

Seat projection | Central Ontario


Latest update: May 3, 2024
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2022)
6 0 1 0 7 8
0 0 0 1 1 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0

List of electoral districts | Central Ontario


Latest update: May 3, 2024
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
004 Barrie—Innisfil Safe PCPO
005 Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte Toss up OLP/PCPO
023 Dufferin—Caledon Safe PCPO
035 Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock Safe PCPO
075 Northumberland—Peterborough South Safe PCPO
088 Peterborough—Kawartha Leaning PCPO
100 Simcoe North Safe PCPO
101 Simcoe—Grey Safe PCPO