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Recent electoral history | Kingston and the Islands


2018 2022 2025 Projection OLP 60% ± 9% 27.5% 37.7% 61.6% PC 24% ± 7% 26.0% 24.6% 22.2% NDP 12% ± 5% 39.3% 31.2% 12.3% GPO 2% ± 2% 6.5% 3.3% 2.2% ONP 1% ± 1% 0.0% 1.7% 1.0%

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338Canada Kingston and the Islands projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Kingston and the Islands 52% 69% 60% ± 9% OLP 16% 31% 24% ± 7% PC 7% 17% 12% ± 5% NDP OLP 2025 61.57% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kingston and the Islands >99% OLP <1% PC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Kingston and the Islands

Odds of winning | Kingston and the Islands