New Democratic Party
Latest update: August 7, 2026
| Leader | Marit Stiles |
| Popular vote in 2025 | 18.6% |
| Current vote projection | 18.8% ± 2.7% |
| Current number of MPP | 27 |
| Current seat projection | 28 [25-29] |
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.
Vote projection | August 7, 2026
Seat projection | August 7, 2026
List of favourable electoral districts | New Democratic Party
| Electoral districts | Current party | Projection | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Peter Tabuns
|
Safe NDP | |
| 2. | Catherine Mckenney
|
Safe NDP | |
| 3. | Marit Stiles
|
Safe NDP | |
| 4. | Catherine Fife
|
Safe NDP | |
| 5. | Chandra Pasma
|
Safe NDP | |
| 6. | Wayne J. Gates
|
Safe NDP | |
| 7. | Robin Lennox
|
Safe NDP | |
| 8. | Sol Mamakwa
|
Safe NDP | |
| 9. | Terence Kernaghan
|
Safe NDP | |
| 10. | Peggy Sattler
|
Safe NDP | |
| 11. | France Gélinas
|
Safe NDP | |
| 12. | Teresa Armstrong
|
Safe NDP | |
| 13. | Lisa Gretzky
|
Likely NDP | |
| 14. | Jessica Bell
|
Likely NDP | |
| 15. | Jamie West
|
Likely NDP | |
| 16. | Doly Begum
|
Likely NDP | |
| 17. | Lise Vaugeois
|
Likely NDP | |
| 18. | Jennifer French
|
Likely NDP | |
| 19. | Jennie Stevens
|
Likely NDP | |
| 20. | Alexa Gilmour
|
Likely NDP | |
| 21. | John Vanthof
|
Likely NDP | |
| 22. | Sandy Shaw
|
Likely NDP | |
| 23. | Chris Glover
|
Likely NDP | |
| 24. | Jeff Burch
|
Likely NDP | |
| 25. | Kristyn Wong-Tam
|
Leaning NDP | |
| 26. | Guy Bourgouin
|
Leaning NDP | |
| 27. | Chris Scott [Elected as PC]
|
Leaning NDP | |
| 28. | Tom Rakocevic
|
Toss up PC/NDP | |
| 29. | Bill Rosenberg
|
Likely PCPO | |
| 30. | Monica Ciriello
|
Toss up OLP/PC | |
| 31. | Andrew Dowie
|
Likely PCPO | |
| 32. | Stephanie Smyth
|
Likely OLP | |
| 33. | Kevin Holland
|
Likely PCPO | |
| 34. | Mohamed Firin
|
Leaning OLP | |
| 35. | Will Bouma
|
Safe PCPO |