New Democratic Party

Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | New Democratic Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Toronto—Danforth	Safe NDP	>99%
2.	Davenport	Safe NDP	>99%
3.	Ottawa Centre	Safe NDP	>99%
4.	Niagara Falls	Safe NDP	>99%
5.	Waterloo	Safe NDP	>99%
6.	Ottawa West—Nepean	Safe NDP	>99%
7.	University—Rosedale	Safe NDP	>99%
8.	Parkdale—High Park	Safe NDP	>99%
9.	Hamilton Centre	Safe NDP	>99%
10.	London West	Safe NDP	>99%
11.	London North Centre	Safe NDP	>99%
12.	Spadina—Fort York	Safe NDP	>99%
13.	London—Fanshawe	Safe NDP	>99%
14.	Kiiwetinoong	Likely NDP	>99%
15.	Scarborough Southwest	Likely NDP	>99%
16.	Nickel Belt	Likely NDP	>99%
17.	Windsor West	Likely NDP	>99%
18.	Toronto Centre	Likely NDP	98%
19.	St. Catharines	Likely NDP	97%
20.	Sudbury	Likely NDP	96%
21.	Thunder Bay—Superior North	Likely NDP	94%
22.	Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas	Likely NDP	93%
23.	Niagara Centre	Likely NDP	91%
24.	Timiskaming—Cochrane	Leaning NDP	89%
25.	Oshawa	Leaning NDP	86%
26.	Humber River—Black Creek	Toss up PCPO/NDP	57%
27.	Mushkegowuk—James Bay	Toss up PCPO/NDP	51%
28.	Sault Ste. Marie	Toss up PCPO/NDP	47%