338Canada.com - Ontario - New Democratic Party





Last update: December 10, 2020

LeaderAndrea Horwath
Popular vote in 201833.6%
Current vote projection23.3% ± 4.3%
Current number of MP's40
Current seat projection22 ± 13



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Hamilton Centre NDP safe >99%
2. Toronto—Danforth NDP safe >99%
3. Parkdale—High Park NDP safe >99%
4. Nickel Belt NDP safe >99%
5. Davenport NDP safe >99%
6. Timiskaming—Cochrane NDP likely >99%
7. Windsor—Tecumseh NDP likely 98%
8. Algoma—Manitoulin NDP likely 98%
9. London—Fanshawe NDP likely 90%
10. Hamilton Mountain NDP leaning 90%
11. London West NDP leaning 87%
12. Timmins NDP leaning 85%
13. University—Rosedale NDP leaning 84%
14. Hamilton East—Stoney Creek NDP leaning 78%
15. Windsor West NDP leaning 77%
16. Sudbury NDP leaning 72%
17. Spadina—Fort York NDP leaning 71%
18. Beaches—East York Toss up 67%
19. Waterloo Toss up 60%
20. Toronto Centre Toss up 57%
21. Mushkegowuk—James Bay Toss up 56%
22. Kiiwetinoong Toss up 56%
23. London North Centre Toss up 55%
24. Brampton East Toss up 49%
25. Niagara Falls Toss up 41%
26. Kitchener Centre Toss up 39%
27. Scarborough Southwest Toss up 36%
28. St. Catharines Toss up 35%
29. Toronto—St. Paul`s Toss up 34%
30. Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas PCO leaning 18%
31. York South—Weston Toss up 14%
32. Brampton North PCO leaning 13%
33. Humber River—Black Creek Toss up 13%
34. Niagara Centre PCO leaning 12%
35. Thunder Bay—Atikokan OLP likely 6%
36. Essex PCO likely 6%
37. Oshawa PCO likely 6%
38. Kingston and the Islands OLP leaning 3%
39. Ottawa Centre OLP likely 2%
40. Brampton Centre PCO likely <1%
41. Brantford—Brant PCO likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Hamilton Centre NDP safe
2. Toronto—Danforth NDP safe
3. Parkdale—High Park NDP safe
4. Nickel Belt NDP safe
5. Davenport NDP safe
6. Timiskaming—Cochrane NDP likely
7. Windsor—Tecumseh NDP likely
8. Algoma—Manitoulin NDP likely
9. London—Fanshawe NDP likely
10. Hamilton Mountain NDP leaning
11. London West NDP leaning
12. Timmins NDP leaning
13. University—Rosedale NDP leaning
14. Hamilton East—Stoney Creek NDP leaning
15. Windsor West NDP leaning
16. Sudbury NDP leaning
17. Spadina—Fort York NDP leaning
18. Beaches—East York Toss up
19. Waterloo Toss up
20. Toronto Centre Toss up
21. Mushkegowuk—James Bay Toss up
22. Kiiwetinoong Toss up
23. London North Centre Toss up
24. Brampton East Toss up
25. Niagara Falls Toss up
26. Kitchener Centre Toss up
27. Scarborough Southwest Toss up
28. St. Catharines Toss up
29. Toronto—St. Paul`s Toss up
30. Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas PCO leaning
31. York South—Weston Toss up
32. Brampton North PCO leaning
33. Humber River—Black Creek Toss up
34. Niagara Centre PCO leaning
35. Thunder Bay—Atikokan OLP likely
36. Essex PCO likely
37. Oshawa PCO likely
38. Kingston and the Islands OLP leaning
39. Ottawa Centre OLP likely
40. Brampton Centre PCO likely
41. Brantford—Brant PCO likely



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