New Democratic Party
Latest update: March 20, 2026
| Leader | Marit Stiles |
| Popular vote in 2025 | 18.6% |
| Current vote projection | 17.5% ± 2.3% |
| Current number of MPP | 27 |
| Current seat projection | 27 [22-29] |
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.
Vote projection | March 20, 2026
Seat projection | March 20, 2026
List of favourable electoral districts | New Democratic Party
| Electoral districts | Current party | Projection | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Peter Tabuns
|
Safe NDP | |
| 2. | Marit Stiles
|
Safe NDP | |
| 3. | Catherine Mckenney
|
Safe NDP | |
| 4. | Catherine Fife
|
Safe NDP | |
| 5. | Chandra Pasma
|
Safe NDP | |
| 6. | Robin Lennox
|
Safe NDP | |
| 7. | Wayne J. Gates
|
Safe NDP | |
| 8. | Jessica Bell
|
Likely NDP | |
| 9. | Sol Mamakwa
|
Likely NDP | |
| 10. | Alexa Gilmour
|
Likely NDP | |
| 11. | Peggy Sattler
|
Likely NDP | |
| 12. | Terence Kernaghan
|
Likely NDP | |
| 13. | Chris Glover
|
Likely NDP | |
| 14. | Teresa Armstrong
|
Likely NDP | |
| 15. | Doly Begum
|
Likely NDP | |
| 16. | France Gélinas
|
Likely NDP | |
| 17. | Lisa Gretzky
|
Likely NDP | |
| 18. | Kristyn Wong-Tam
|
Likely NDP | |
| 19. | Jennie Stevens
|
Likely NDP | |
| 20. | Jamie West
|
Likely NDP | |
| 21. | Lise Vaugeois
|
Leaning NDP | |
| 22. | Sandy Shaw
|
Leaning NDP | |
| 23. | John Vanthof
|
Leaning NDP | |
| 24. | Jeff Burch
|
Leaning NDP | |
| 25. | Jennifer French
|
Leaning NDP | |
| 26. | Tom Rakocevic
|
Toss up PC/NDP | |
| 27. | Guy Bourgouin
|
Toss up PC/NDP | |
| 28. | Chris Scott [Elected as PC]
|
Leaning PCPO | |
| 29. | Stephanie Smyth
|
Likely OLP | |
| 30. | Mohamed Firin
|
Toss up OLP/PC | |
| 31. | Bill Rosenberg
|
Safe PCPO | |
| 32. | Monica Ciriello
|
Leaning PCPO | |
| 33. | Andrew Dowie
|
Safe PCPO |