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Ontario

Markham—Unionville


MPP: Pang, Billy (PCPO)
Latest projection: February 20, 2025
Safe PCPO

Candidates | Markham—Unionville


PC Party of Ontario Billy Pang
Liberal Party Jagbir Dosanjh
Ontario NDP Sameer Qureshi
Green Party Chris Madsen
New Blue Party Nick Boudreau

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Markham—Unionville 56% ± 9%▲ PCPO 34% ± 9% OLP 6% ± 3% NDP 4% ± 3% GPO PCPO 2022 55.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Markham—Unionville >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 20, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Markham—Unionville

OLP 34% ± 9% PCPO 56% ± 9% NDP 6% ± 3% GPO 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Markham—Unionville 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP GPO February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 55% OLP 32% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 55% OLP 32% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 57% OLP 31% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 57% OLP 31% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 57% OLP 31% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 57% OLP 32% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 57% OLP 32% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 58% OLP 31% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 57% OLP 31% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 55% OLP 34% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 55% OLP 33% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 55% OLP 33% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 55% OLP 34% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 55% OLP 34% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 55% OLP 34% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 55% OLP 34% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 56% OLP 34% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 56% OLP 34% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 54% OLP 35% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 55% OLP 35% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 55% OLP 34% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 56% OLP 34% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-20

Odds of winning | Markham—Unionville

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-20

Recent electoral history | Markham—Unionville



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 40.8% 62.4% 55.9% 56% ± 9% OLP 43.9% 18.0% 30.1% 34% ± 9% NDP 9.9% 16.6% 7.2% 6% ± 3% GPO 3.8% 2.1% 3.6% 4% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 1% ± 1%