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Ontario

Windsor—Tecumseh


MPP: Dowie, Andrew (PCPO)
Latest projection: February 20, 2025
Safe PCPO

Candidates | Windsor—Tecumseh


PC Party of Ontario Andrew Dowie
Liberal Party Connor Logan
Ontario NDP Gemma Grey-Hall
Green Party Roxanne Tellier
New Blue Party Sophia Sevo
Ontario Party Steven Gifford
Communist Parti Kyle Ford

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Windsor—Tecumseh 54% ± 9% PCPO 21% ± 7% NDP 19% ± 6% OLP PCPO 2022 45.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Windsor—Tecumseh >99% PCPO <1% NDP <1% OLP Odds of winning | February 20, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Windsor—Tecumseh

OLP 19% ± 6% PCPO 54% ± 9% NDP 21% ± 7% GPO 3% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Windsor—Tecumseh 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP GPO February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 48% NDP 26% OLP 18% GPO 3% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 48% NDP 25% OLP 18% GPO 3% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 51% NDP 25% OLP 17% GPO 3% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 52% NDP 25% OLP 17% GPO 3% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 51% NDP 25% OLP 17% GPO 3% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 52% NDP 23% OLP 18% GPO 3% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 52% NDP 23% OLP 18% GPO 3% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 53% NDP 23% OLP 18% GPO 3% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 53% NDP 23% OLP 18% GPO 3% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 52% NDP 23% OLP 18% GPO 3% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 52% NDP 24% OLP 17% GPO 3% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 52% NDP 23% OLP 17% GPO 3% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 53% NDP 22% OLP 18% GPO 3% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 53% NDP 22% OLP 18% GPO 3% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 53% NDP 22% OLP 18% GPO 3% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 54% NDP 21% OLP 19% GPO 3% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 54% NDP 21% OLP 18% GPO 3% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 54% NDP 21% OLP 18% GPO 3% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 53% NDP 21% OLP 19% GPO 3% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 53% NDP 21% OLP 19% GPO 3% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 54% NDP 21% OLP 19% GPO 3% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 54% NDP 21% OLP 19% GPO 3% 2025-02-20

Odds of winning | Windsor—Tecumseh

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-20

Recent electoral history | Windsor—Tecumseh



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 15.0% 27.0% 45.9% 54% ± 9% NDP 62.2% 58.4% 30.0% 21% ± 7% OLP 15.3% 8.1% 14.5% 19% ± 6% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 3.2% 1% ± 2% GPO 5.8% 4.4% 2.6% 3% ± 2% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 1% ± 1%