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Recent electoral history | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 39% ± 9% 54.7% 48.6% 44.1% OLP 35% ± 9% 12.3% 20.3% 29.4% GPO 12% ± 5% 6.0% 8.8% 12.5% NDP 8% ± 4% 24.1% 13.9% 7.9% NBPO 2% ± 2% 0.0% 2.7% 2.0%

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338Canada Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound projection

Latest update: May 24, 2026

Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound 30% 48% 39% ± 9% PC 27% 44% 35% ± 9% OLP 7% 18% 12% ± 5% GPO 4% 12% 8% ± 4% NDP PC 2025 44.14% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound 74%▼ PC 26%▲ OLP <1% GPO Odds of winning | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound

Odds of winning | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound