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Ontario


Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound


MPP: Byers, Rick (PCPO)


Latest projection: April 4, 2024

Safe PCPO
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound 45% ± 9% 24% ± 7%▼ 12% ± 5%▲ 11% ± 6%▼ 3% ± 3% PCPO 2022 48.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 4, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | April 4, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound

OLP 24% ± 7% PCPO 45% ± 9% NDP 12% ± 5% GPO 11% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Odds of winning | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 47.5% 54.7% 48.6% 45% ± 9% OLP 27.1% 12.3% 20.3% 24% ± 7% NDP 15.9% 24.1% 13.9% 12% ± 5% GPO 8.6% 6.0% 8.8% 11% ± 6% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 4.0% 3% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.7% 2% ± 2%