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Recent electoral history | Nickel Belt


2018 2022 2025 Projection NDP 53% ± 10% 63.5% 50.8% 48.4% PC 29% ± 9% 22.0% 29.9% 35.7% OLP 13% ± 6% 8.7% 9.9% 10.9% NBPO 2% ± 2% 0.0% 4.9% 1.9% GPO 2% ± 2% 3.1% 3.0% 1.8%

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338Canada Nickel Belt projection

Latest update: May 24, 2026

Nickel Belt 42% 63% 53% ± 10% NDP 20% 38% 29% ± 9% PC 8% 19% 13% ± 6% OLP NDP 2025 48.37% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Nickel Belt >99% NDP <1% PC <1% OLP Odds of winning | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Nickel Belt

Odds of winning | Nickel Belt