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Recent electoral history | Cambridge


2018 2022 2025 Projection OLP 40% ± 9% 23.3% 20.7% 34.4% PC 38% ± 9% 37.0% 37.0% 43.7% NDP 11% ± 5% 32.5% 22.2% 11.6% GPO 6% ± 3% 6.3% 9.0% 5.7% NBPO 5% ± 3% 0.0% 11.1% 4.6%

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338Canada Cambridge projection

Latest update: May 24, 2026

Cambridge 31% 49% 40% ± 9% OLP 30% 47% 38% ± 9% PC 6% 16% 11% ± 5% NDP 2% 9% 6% ± 3% GPO 1% 8% 5% ± 3% NBPO PC 2025 43.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Cambridge 62%▲ OLP 38%▼ PC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Cambridge

Odds of winning | Cambridge