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Ontario


Cambridge


MPP: Riddell, Brian (PCPO)


Latest projection: February 20, 2024

Leaning PCPO
Cambridge 33% ± 8%▼ 27% ± 7%▲ 19% ± 6%▼ 12% ± 6%▲ 8% ± 5% PCPO 2022 37.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Cambridge 89%▼ 11%▲ <1% Odds of winning | February 20, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Cambridge

OLP 27% ± 7% PCPO 33% ± 8% NDP 19% ± 6% GPO 12% ± 6% NBPO 8% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Cambridge 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO NBPO

Odds of winning | Cambridge

OLP 11% PCPO 89% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Cambridge



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 32.5% 37.0% 37.0% 33% ± 8% NDP 21.7% 32.5% 22.2% 19% ± 6% OLP 38.9% 23.3% 20.7% 27% ± 7% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% 8% ± 5% GPO 5.6% 6.3% 9.0% 12% ± 6%