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Ontario

Cambridge


MPP: Riddell, Brian (PCPO)

Latest projection: December 15, 2024
Likely PCPO
Cambridge 38% ± 9%▲ PCPO 24% ± 7% OLP 19% ± 6%▲ NDP 12% ± 6% GPO 6% ± 4%▼ NBPO PCPO 2022 37.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Cambridge >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Cambridge

OLP 24% ± 7% PCPO 38% ± 9% NDP 19% ± 6% GPO 12% ± 6% NBPO 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Cambridge 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO NBPO December 15, 2024 2022-04-30 OLP 35% PCPO 35% NDP 17% GPO 5% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PCPO 34% OLP 32% NDP 21% GPO 5% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PCPO 34% OLP 32% NDP 22% GPO 5% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PCPO 34% OLP 32% NDP 22% GPO 5% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PCPO 34% OLP 32% NDP 22% GPO 5% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PCPO 34% OLP 32% NDP 22% GPO 5% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PCPO 33% OLP 33% NDP 22% GPO 5% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PCPO 33% OLP 33% NDP 22% GPO 5% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 OLP 34% PCPO 33% NDP 22% GPO 5% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PCPO 34% OLP 32% NDP 22% GPO 5% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PCPO 34% OLP 32% NDP 22% GPO 5% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PCPO 35% OLP 32% NDP 21% GPO 5% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PCPO 35% OLP 33% NDP 22% GPO 5% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PCPO 36% OLP 32% NDP 22% GPO 5% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PCPO 35% OLP 33% NDP 22% GPO 5% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PCPO 36% OLP 32% NDP 22% GPO 5% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PCPO 35% OLP 32% NDP 22% GPO 5% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PCPO 35% OLP 31% NDP 22% GPO 7% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PCPO 34% OLP 30% NDP 22% GPO 7% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PCPO 34% OLP 30% NDP 22% GPO 7% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PCPO 34% OLP 30% NDP 22% GPO 7% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PCPO 35% OLP 30% NDP 22% GPO 7% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PCPO 35% OLP 30% NDP 22% GPO 7% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PCPO 33% OLP 30% NDP 22% GPO 7% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PCPO 33% OLP 30% NDP 22% GPO 7% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PCPO 33% OLP 28% NDP 24% GPO 7% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PCPO 34% OLP 28% NDP 23% GPO 7% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PCPO 34% OLP 28% NDP 23% GPO 7% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PCPO 34% OLP 29% NDP 23% GPO 7% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PCPO 34% OLP 29% NDP 23% GPO 7% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PCPO 36% OLP 27% NDP 22% GPO 7% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PCPO 37% NDP 22% OLP 21% GPO 9% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PCPO 37% NDP 23% OLP 21% GPO 9% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PCPO 36% OLP 21% NDP 21% GPO 10% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PCPO 36% OLP 22% NDP 20% GPO 10% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PCPO 36% OLP 22% NDP 21% GPO 10% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PCPO 36% NDP 21% OLP 21% GPO 10% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PCPO 32% NDP 22% OLP 21% GPO 13% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PCPO 32% NDP 22% OLP 21% GPO 13% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PCPO 33% NDP 22% OLP 21% GPO 12% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PCPO 34% NDP 22% OLP 21% GPO 12% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PCPO 32% NDP 23% OLP 22% GPO 12% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PCPO 33% NDP 22% OLP 21% GPO 12% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PCPO 36% NDP 23% OLP 21% GPO 12% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PCPO 36% OLP 22% NDP 22% GPO 12% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PCPO 36% OLP 23% NDP 22% GPO 11% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PCPO 33% OLP 27% NDP 19% GPO 12% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PCPO 34% OLP 26% NDP 18% GPO 12% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PCPO 35% OLP 25% NDP 19% GPO 12% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PCPO 35% OLP 25% NDP 19% GPO 12% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PCPO 36% OLP 24% NDP 19% GPO 12% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PCPO 38% OLP 23% NDP 18% GPO 12% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PCPO 37% OLP 24% NDP 18% GPO 12% 2024-10-09 2024-11-11 PCPO 37% OLP 24% NDP 18% GPO 12% 2024-11-11 2024-12-15 PCPO 38% OLP 24% NDP 19% GPO 12% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | Cambridge

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO December 15, 2024 2022-04-30 OLP 52% PCPO 48% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PCPO 68% OLP 32% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PCPO 68% OLP 32% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PCPO 68% OLP 32% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PCPO 61% OLP 39% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PCPO 59% OLP 41% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PCPO 55% OLP 45% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PCPO 51% OLP 49% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 OLP 54% PCPO 46% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PCPO 63% OLP 37% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PCPO 63% OLP 37% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PCPO 66% OLP 34% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PCPO 65% OLP 34% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PCPO 72% OLP 28% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PCPO 61% OLP 38% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PCPO 74% OLP 26% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PCPO 77% OLP 23% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PCPO 78% OLP 22% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PCPO 78% OLP 22% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PCPO 79% OLP 21% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PCPO 77% OLP 23% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PCPO 80% OLP 19% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PCPO 79% OLP 21% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PCPO 74% OLP 26% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PCPO 74% OLP 26% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PCPO 86% OLP 13% NDP 1% GPO <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PCPO 90% OLP 10% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PCPO 90% OLP 10% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PCPO 84% OLP 15% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PCPO 85% OLP 15% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PCPO 97% OLP 3% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PCPO >99% NDP <1% GPO <1% OLP <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% GPO <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% GPO <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PCPO 98% NDP 2% OLP <1% GPO <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PCPO 98% NDP 1% OLP <1% GPO <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PCPO 99% NDP 1% OLP <1% GPO <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PCPO 99% NDP <1% OLP <1% GPO <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PCPO 97% NDP 2% OLP 1% GPO <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PCPO 99% NDP 1% OLP <1% GPO <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% GPO <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% GPO <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PCPO 89% OLP 11% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PCPO 96% OLP 4% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PCPO >99% OLP <1% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PCPO >99% OLP <1% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-09 2024-11-11 PCPO >99% OLP <1% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-11 2024-12-15 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% GPO <1% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | Cambridge



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 32.5% 37.0% 37.0% 38% ± 9% NDP 21.7% 32.5% 22.2% 19% ± 6% OLP 38.9% 23.3% 20.7% 24% ± 7% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% 6% ± 4% GPO 5.6% 6.3% 9.0% 12% ± 6%