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Ontario


Flamborough—Glanbrook


MPP: Skelly, Donna (PCPO)


Latest projection: March 5, 2024

Safe PCPO
Flamborough—Glanbrook 43% ± 9%▲ 26% ± 7%▼ 19% ± 6%▼ 7% ± 4% 3% ± 2% PCPO 2022 46.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 5, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Flamborough—Glanbrook >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | March 5, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Flamborough—Glanbrook

OLP 26% ± 7% PCPO 43% ± 9% NDP 19% ± 6% GPO 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Flamborough—Glanbrook 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Odds of winning | Flamborough—Glanbrook

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Flamborough—Glanbrook



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 35.5% 43.5% 46.2% 43% ± 9% NDP 22.7% 34.2% 22.7% 19% ± 6% OLP 35.6% 15.4% 20.4% 26% ± 7% GPO 4.5% 4.5% 5.4% 7% ± 4% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 3.4% 3% ± 2% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 1% ± 1%