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Recent electoral history | Brampton South


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 55% ± 10% 41.0% 45.4% 52.9% OLP 31% ± 10% 18.9% 27.8% 32.1% NDP 8% ± 5% 33.9% 19.1% 8.3% NBPO 3% ± 3% 0.0% 3.4% 3.6% GPO 3% ± 3% 3.9% 3.6% 3.1%

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338Canada Brampton South projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Brampton South 44% 65% 55% ± 10% PC 21% 40% 31% ± 10% OLP 3% 13% 8% ± 5% NDP PC 2025 52.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton South >99% PC <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Brampton South

OLP 31% ± 10% PC 55% ± 10% NDP 8% ± 5% NBPO 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Brampton South 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Election 2025 OLP PC NDP NBPO February 18, 2026 2025-01-27 PC 45% OLP 29% NDP 18% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 46% OLP 29% NDP 18% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 48% OLP 28% NDP 17% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 49% OLP 28% NDP 17% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 48% OLP 29% NDP 17% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 49% OLP 30% NDP 16% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 49% OLP 30% NDP 16% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 49% OLP 29% NDP 16% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 49% OLP 29% NDP 16% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 47% OLP 31% NDP 16% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 47% OLP 30% NDP 17% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 47% OLP 31% NDP 16% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 47% OLP 31% NDP 16% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 47% OLP 32% NDP 15% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 48% OLP 32% NDP 15% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 48% OLP 32% NDP 15% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 48% OLP 32% NDP 14% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 48% OLP 32% NDP 14% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 48% OLP 32% NDP 14% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 48% OLP 32% NDP 14% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 48% OLP 32% NDP 14% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 48% OLP 32% NDP 15% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 48% OLP 32% NDP 15% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 48% OLP 32% NDP 15% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 48% OLP 32% NDP 15% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 49% OLP 32% NDP 14% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 49% OLP 32% NDP 14% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 53% OLP 32% NDP 8% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 53% OLP 32% NDP 8% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 53% OLP 32% NDP 8% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 54% OLP 32% NDP 8% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 57% OLP 30% NDP 7% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 57% OLP 30% NDP 6% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 57% OLP 30% NDP 7% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 55% OLP 31% NDP 8% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 55% OLP 31% NDP 8% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 55% OLP 31% NDP 8% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Brampton South

OLP <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Election 2025 OLP PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-01-27 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2026-02-18