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Ontario

Brampton South


MPP elect: Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria (PCPO)
Latest projection: February 28, 2025
Safe PCPO

Candidates | Brampton South


PC Party of Ontario Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria
Liberal Party Bhavik Parikh
Ontario NDP Rajni Sharma
Green Party Rajinder Boyal
New Blue Party Johnny Nolan

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Brampton South 53% ± 0%▲ PCPO 32% ± 0% OLP 8% ± 0%▼ NDP 4% ± 0%▲ NBPO PCPO 2022 45.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 28, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton South >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 28, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Brampton South

OLP 32% ± 0% PCPO 53% ± 0% NDP 8% ± 0% GPO 3% ± 0% NBPO 4% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Brampton South 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP GPO NBPO February 28, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 45% OLP 29% NDP 18% GPO 4% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 46% OLP 29% NDP 18% GPO 4% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 48% OLP 28% NDP 17% GPO 4% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 49% OLP 28% NDP 17% GPO 4% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 48% OLP 29% NDP 17% GPO 4% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 49% OLP 30% NDP 16% GPO 4% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 49% OLP 30% NDP 16% GPO 4% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 49% OLP 29% NDP 16% GPO 4% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 49% OLP 29% NDP 16% GPO 4% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 47% OLP 31% NDP 16% GPO 4% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 47% OLP 30% NDP 17% GPO 4% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 47% OLP 31% NDP 16% GPO 4% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 47% OLP 31% NDP 16% GPO 4% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 47% OLP 32% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 48% OLP 32% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 48% OLP 32% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 48% OLP 32% NDP 14% GPO 4% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 48% OLP 32% NDP 14% GPO 4% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 48% OLP 32% NDP 14% GPO 4% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 48% OLP 32% NDP 14% GPO 4% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 48% OLP 32% NDP 14% GPO 4% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 48% OLP 32% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 48% OLP 32% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 48% OLP 32% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 48% OLP 32% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO 49% OLP 32% NDP 14% GPO 4% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 49% OLP 32% NDP 14% GPO 4% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO 53% OLP 32% NDP 8% GPO 3% 2025-02-28

Odds of winning | Brampton South

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 28, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-28

Recent electoral history | Brampton South



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 26.0% 41.0% 45.4% 53% ± 0% OLP 44.7% 18.9% 27.8% 32% ± 0% NDP 21.9% 33.9% 19.1% 8% ± 0% GPO 3.1% 3.9% 3.6% 3% ± 0% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 3.4% 4% ± 0%