logo
Ontario

Recent electoral history | Brampton South


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 46% ± 10% 41.0% 45.4% 52.9% OLP 39% ± 10% 18.9% 27.8% 32.1% NDP 8% ± 5% 33.9% 19.1% 8.3% NBPO 4% ± 3% 0.0% 3.4% 3.6% GPO 3% ± 3% 3.9% 3.6% 3.1%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Ontario flag

338Canada Brampton South projection

Latest update: May 24, 2026

Brampton South 36% 56% 46% ± 10% PC 29% 48% 39% ± 10% OLP 4% 13% 8% ± 5% NDP 0% 7% 4% ± 3% NBPO PC 2025 52.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton South 87%▼ PC 13%▲ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Brampton South

Odds of winning | Brampton South