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Recent electoral history | Hamilton East—Stoney Creek


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 42% ± 9% 28.7% 34.6% 42.1% OLP 33% ± 9% 12.1% 21.1% 31.6% NDP 16% ± 6% 51.2% 27.3% 17.6% GPO 5% ± 3% 4.3% 4.9% 5.3% ONP 2% ± 2% 0.0% 3.0% 1.5% NBPO 1% ± 2% 0.0% 2.0% 1.4%

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338Canada Hamilton East—Stoney Creek projection

Latest update: April 20, 2026

Hamilton East—Stoney Creek 33% 51% 42% ± 9% PC 24% 42% 33% ± 9% OLP 10% 22% 16% ± 6% NDP 2% 8% 5% ± 3% GPO PC 2025 42.07% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Hamilton East—Stoney Creek 95%▼ PC 5%▲ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Hamilton East—Stoney Creek

Odds of winning | Hamilton East—Stoney Creek