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Ontario


Hamilton East—Stoney Creek


MPP: Lumsden, Neil (PC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2023

Likely PCPO
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek 34% ± 8% PCPO 25% ± 8% NDP 22% ± 7% OLP 7% ± 4% IND 5% ± 3% GPO 3% ± 3% ONP 2% ± 2% NBPO PCPO 2022 34.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50% 100% Hamilton East—Stoney Creek 96% PCPO 4% NDP <1% OLP Odds of winning | March 17, 2023


Popular vote projection | Hamilton East—Stoney Creek

OLP 22% ± 7% PCPO 34% ± 8% NDP 25% ± 8% GPO 5% ± 3% IND 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Hamilton East—Stoney Creek 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO IND

Odds of winning | Hamilton East—Stoney Creek

OLP <1% PCPO 96% NDP 4% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Hamilton East—Stoney Creek



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 18.1% 28.7% 34.6% 34% ± 8% NDP 45.9% 51.2% 27.3% 25% ± 8% OLP 29.9% 12.1% 21.1% 22% ± 7% GPO 3.9% 4.3% 4.9% 5% ± 3% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 3.0% 3% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 2% ± 2%