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Ontario


Perth—Wellington


MPP: Rae, Matthew (PC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2023

Safe PCPO
Perth—Wellington 46% ± 9% PCPO 21% ± 7% NDP 17% ± 6% OLP 7% ± 4% GPO 6% ± 4% NBPO 3% ± 2% ONP PCPO 2022 46.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50% 100% Perth—Wellington >99% PCPO <1% NDP <1% OLP Odds of winning | March 17, 2023


Popular vote projection | Perth—Wellington

OLP 17% ± 6% PCPO 46% ± 9% NDP 21% ± 7% GPO 7% ± 4% NBPO 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Perth—Wellington 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO NBPO

Odds of winning | Perth—Wellington

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Perth—Wellington



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 39.0% 50.7% 46.8% 46% ± 9% NDP 18.9% 30.7% 22.1% 21% ± 7% OLP 33.1% 10.8% 16.1% 17% ± 6% GPO 4.9% 5.9% 6.3% 7% ± 4% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 6% ± 4% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 2.4% 3% ± 2%