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Recent electoral history | Simcoe—Grey


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 49% ± 10% 55.9% 51.2% 53.6% OLP 38% ± 9% 14.4% 22.1% 32.5% NDP 6% ± 3% 22.1% 11.0% 5.7% GPO 5% ± 3% 6.9% 9.0% 5.5% NBPO 3% ± 2% 0.0% 4.1% 2.7%

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338Canada Simcoe—Grey projection

Latest update: August 7, 2026

Simcoe—Grey 39% 58% 49% ± 10% PC 29% 47% 38% ± 9% OLP 3% 9% 6% ± 3% NDP 2% 8% 5% ± 3% GPO PC 2025 53.55% 338Canada Popular vote projection | August 7, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Simcoe—Grey 95%▲ PC 5%▼ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | August 7, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Simcoe—Grey

Odds of winning | Simcoe—Grey