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Recent electoral history | Beaches—East York


2018 2022 2025 Projection OLP 56% ± 9% 27.0% 35.4% 51.2% NDP 20% ± 7% 48.2% 33.2% 23.0% PC 19% ± 7% 18.4% 18.5% 21.4% GPO 3% ± 2% 4.3% 10.2% 3.1% NBPO 1% ± 1% 0.0% 1.1% 0.6% ONP 0% ± 1% 0.0% 0.8% 0.3% IND 0% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%

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338Canada Beaches—East York projection

Latest update: May 24, 2026

Beaches—East York 47% 65% 56% ± 9% OLP 13% 28% 20% ± 7% NDP 13% 26% 19% ± 7% PC OLP 2025 51.21% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Beaches—East York >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% PC Odds of winning | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Beaches—East York

Odds of winning | Beaches—East York