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Northern Ontario

13 provincial districts
Latest update: May 24, 2026

Northern Ontario 31% 45% 38% ± 7% PC 27% 40% 34% ± 7% NDP 13% 22% 17% ± 4% OLP 5% 10% 8% ± 2% GPO 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Northern Ontario, 13 federal districts 7 [6-7] NDP 5 [5-7] PC 1 ▲ [0-1] GPO 0  [0-0] OLP 338Canada seat projection | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Ontario Projection | Northern Ontario

Ontario Seat Projection | Northern Ontario



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List of districts | Northern Ontario
Latest update: May 24, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Bill Rosenberg
PC Likely PCPO
Greg Rickford
PC Safe PCPO
Sol Mamakwa
N Safe NDP
Guy Bourgouin
N Leaning NDP
France Gélinas
N Safe NDP
Vic Fedeli
PC Safe PCPO
Graydon Smith
PC Toss up PC/GPO
Chris Scott [Elected as PC]
I Leaning NDP
Jamie West
N Likely NDP
Kevin Holland
PC Likely PCPO
N Likely NDP
John Vanthof
N Likely NDP
George Pirie
PC Safe PCPO