Northern Ontario, 13 districts
Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2022) | |
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1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
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2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 |
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0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Projection | Northern Ontario
Latest update: August 26, 2023
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean.
Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
Popular vote projection | Northern Ontario
Seat projection | Northern Ontario
List of electoral districts
Latest update: August 26, 2023
Electoral district | Current party | Latest projection |
---|---|---|
002 Algoma—Manitoulin | ![]() |
Likely NDP |
044 Kenora—Rainy River | ![]() |
Safe PCPO |
045 Kiiwetinoong | ![]() |
Likely NDP |
067 Mushkegowuk—James Bay | ![]() |
Likely NDP |
073 Nickel Belt | ![]() |
Safe NDP |
074 Nipissing | ![]() |
Likely PCPO |
086 Parry Sound—Muskoka | ![]() |
Toss up PCPO/GPO |
093 Sault Ste. Marie | ![]() |
Leaning PCPO |
105 Sudbury | ![]() |
Likely NDP |
107 Thunder Bay—Atikokan | ![]() |
Toss up PCPO/NDP |
108 Thunder Bay—Superior North | ![]() |
Leaning NDP |
109 Timiskaming—Cochrane | ![]() |
Likely NDP |
110 Timmins | ![]() |
Safe PCPO |