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Ontario

Northern Ontario, 13 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2022)
1 5 1 0 7 7
2 1 1 2 6 6
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0




Projection | Northern Ontario


Latest update: August 26, 2023
Northern Ontario 37% ± 7% 35% ± 7% 13% ± 3% 9% ± 3% 3% ± 2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | August 26, 2023
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Northern Ontario, 13 districts 7 [6-8] 6 [4-7] 0 [0-1] 0 [0-1] 338Canada seat projection | August 26, 2023
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Northern Ontario

OLP 13% ± 3% PCPO 37% ± 7% NDP 35% ± 7% GPO 9% ± 3% NBPO 3% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Northern Ontario 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Seat projection | Northern Ontario

OLP 0 [0-1] PCPO 6 [4-7] NDP 7 [6-8] GPO 0 [0-1] Seat projection | Northern Ontario 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

List of electoral districts


Latest update: August 26, 2023
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
002 Algoma—Manitoulin Likely NDP
044 Kenora—Rainy River Safe PCPO
045 Kiiwetinoong Likely NDP
067 Mushkegowuk—James Bay Likely NDP
073 Nickel Belt Safe NDP
074 Nipissing Likely PCPO
086 Parry Sound—Muskoka Toss up PCPO/GPO
093 Sault Ste. Marie Leaning PCPO
105 Sudbury Likely NDP
107 Thunder Bay—Atikokan Toss up PCPO/NDP
108 Thunder Bay—Superior North Leaning NDP
109 Timiskaming—Cochrane Likely NDP
110 Timmins Safe PCPO