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Northern Ontario

13 provincial districts
Latest update: February 18, 2026

Northern Ontario 38% 52% 45% ± 7% PC 25% 39% 32% ± 7% NDP 8% 16% 12% ± 4% OLP 5% 10% 8% ± 2% GPO 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Northern Ontario, 13 federal districts 7 [6-8] PC 6 [5-7] NDP 0  [0-0] GPO 338Canada seat projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Ontario Projection | Northern Ontario

Ontario Seat Projection | Northern Ontario



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List of districts | Northern Ontario
Latest update: February 18, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Bill Rosenberg
PC Likely PCPO
Greg Rickford
PC Safe PCPO
Sol Mamakwa
N Likely NDP
Guy Bourgouin
N Toss up PC/NDP
France Gélinas
N Likely NDP
Vic Fedeli
PC Safe PCPO
Graydon Smith
PC Leaning PCPO
Chris Scott [Elected as PC]
I Toss up PC/NDP
Jamie West
N Likely NDP
Kevin Holland
PC Safe PCPO
N Likely NDP
John Vanthof
N Leaning NDP
George Pirie
PC Safe PCPO