Northern Ontario
13 provincial districts
Latest update: February 18, 2026
Seat and vote projections — Northern Ontario
→
List of districts — Northern Ontario
→
Ontario projection map
→
Ontario polls
→
Back to 338Canada Ontario home
→
Riding roulette!
→
Northern Ontario
13 provincial districts
Latest update: February 18, 2026
Methodology note.
Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Methodology note.
Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.
Ontario Projection | Northern Ontario
Ontario Seat Projection | Northern Ontario
List of districts | Northern Ontario
Latest update: February 18, 2026
| Electoral districts | Current party |
Projection |
|---|---|---|
Bill Rosenberg
|
Likely PCPO | |
Greg Rickford
|
Safe PCPO | |
Sol Mamakwa
|
Likely NDP | |
Guy Bourgouin
|
Toss up PC/NDP | |
France Gélinas
|
Likely NDP | |
Vic Fedeli
|
Safe PCPO | |
Graydon Smith
|
Leaning PCPO | |
Chris Scott [Elected as PC]
|
Toss up PC/NDP | |
Jamie West
|
Likely NDP | |
Kevin Holland
|
Safe PCPO | |
Lise Vaugeois
|
Likely NDP | |
John Vanthof
|
Leaning NDP | |
George Pirie
|
Safe PCPO |